Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

Some of the more interesting bowl spreads:
— Alabama (-13.5) vs Cincinnati
— Georgia (-7.5) vs Michigan
— Utah (-6.5) vs Ohio State
— Ole Miss (-1.5) vs Baylor
— Oklahoma (-4) vs Oregon
— Tennessee (-1.5) vs Purdue

Quote of the Day
“Today was a little bit uneven at times, but our guys played extremely hard, We were outstanding against the run, against a really, really good back. I thought we defended in the passing game. I really thought we rushed the quarterback at a high level. It was all hands on deck in the pass rush.”
Chargers coach Brandon Staley

Monday’s quiz
Ben Roethlisberger and Sean McVay went to the same college; which one?

Sunday’s quiz
Chargers drafted QB Justin Herbert with 6th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft; Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa were taken ahead of him.

Saturday’s quiz
Maryland won national title in basketball 20 years ago; Gary Williams was their coach.

**********************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Detroit 29, Minnesota 27:

— Vikings scored TD with 1:53 left to take 27-23 lead.
— Goff hit St Brown with 11-yard TD pass at 0:00 for the win.
— 11 of Vikings’ 12 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Over is 6-1 in Vikings road games this year.
— Minnesota has been outscored 103-28 in last 2:00 of each half.

— Minnesota has led by 6+ points in every game this year.
— Detroit is 1-10-1, but is 8-4 ATS (5-1 last six).
— Detroit converted only 2-11 third down plays.
— Lions’ last four games were decided by total of seven points.
— Detroit won this game despite questionable game management strategy.

Arizona 33, Chicago 22:
— Cardinals had three TD drives shorter than 30 yards.
— Arizona was +4 in turnovers, had 23-yard edge in field position.
— Cardinals are 9-3 ATS this season, 7-0 on road.
— Cardinals are +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Arizona has 51 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 29.

— Bears lost six of their last seven games (1-6 ATS).
— Last six games, Chicago was outscored 92-39 in first half.
— Last seven games, Bears are minus-11 in turnovers.
— Favorites won/covered all six Chicago home games TY.
— Bears are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as home underdogs.

Tampa Bay 30, Atlanta 17:
— Tampa Bay scared 30-38-30 points in winning last three games.
— Bucs drove 75 yards for TD on three of first four drives.
— Bucs have 46 TD’s on 126 drives this season.
— Tampa Bay outscored last three opponents 47-7 in 2nd half.
— Bucs won last five series games, scoring 37.2 ppg.

— Atlanta is 0-5 SU at home this year, outscored 140-66.
— Falcons in second half: 34 plays, 159 yards, no points.
— Falcons’ second TD was scored by the defense.
— Atlanta has been outscored 186-89 in second half.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.

Indianapolis 31, Houston 0:
— Colts won/covered seven of last ten games, after 0-3 start.
— Colts outgained Houston 389-141.
— Last four weeks, Indy led by 18-11-17-10-14 points at halftime.
— Last ten weeks, Colts outscored opponents 167-75 in first half.
— Colts are 6-0 giving up 24 or fewer points, 1-6 if they allow 25+.

— Texans lost ten of their last eleven games.
— Houston averaged 1.8 yards/pass attempt, was 3-12 on third down.
— Colts outscored Texans 61-3 in two meetings this season.
— Last seven games, Houston was outscored 93-37 in 1st half.
— Under is 8-2 in Texans’ last ten games.

Philadelphia 33, NJ Jets 18:
— Eagles scored TD on first three drives, kicked FG’s on next four.
— Philly ran ball for 211.8 ypg last six games (98.6 ypg previous five games)
— Minshew averaged 8.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Philly converted 6-13 on 3rd down, Jets 3-9.
— Last five weeks, Eagles outscored opponents 98-45 in first half.

— Jets’ first three drives: 25 plays, 164 yards, three TD’s
— Jets went 0-1 on PAT’s, 0-2 on 2-point conversions.
— Rest of game: 31 plays, 113 yards, no points.
— Jets lost four of their last five games.
— Seven of last nine Jet games went over the total.

LA Chargers 41, Cincinnati 22:
— Chargers’ first 3 drives: 18 plays, 132 yards, 17 points.
— Bolts led 24-0; Bengals cut lead to 24-22 early in 4th quarter.
— Campbell ran fumble back 61 yards for Charger TD with 13:43 left.
— Last five years, LA is 12-7-2 ATS as road underdogs.

— Burrow played lot of game with dislocated pinky on his right hand
— Cincy had only one TD drive longer than 32 yards.
— Four of last five Bengal games went over the total.
— Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-4 otherwise.
— Cincy is 8-11-2 ATS last 21 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Last three years, Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS coming off a win.
— Five of last six Bengal games went over the total.

Miami 20, NY Giants 9:
— Giants have one TD on 20 drives since they fired OC Garrett.
— Giants have been outscored 74-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Giants are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a win.
— Last six Giant games stayed under the total.
— QB Glennon got concussion; newly acquired Fromm could play next week.

— Dolphins won/covered last five games, giving up 11.0 ppg.
— Dolphins allowed 17 or fewer points in all six of their wins.
— Miami gave up four TDs on opponents’ last 58 drives.
— Miami is 23-12-3 ATS in last 37 home games.
— Five of last six Dolphin games stayed under the total.

Washington 17, Las Vegas 15:
— Johnson kicked 48-yard FG with 0:37 left for the win.
— Washington won all four games since its bye.
— Washington converted 29 of last 58 third down plays.
— Washington is 9-4-1 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Washington is 14-7 ATS last 21 games coming off a win.

— Las Vegas is 6-0 when it scores 26+ points, 0-6 when it does not.
— Washington was 7-13 on third down, Raiders 2-8
— Raiders converted only 18 of last 69 third down plays.
— Las Vegas is 3-6 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
— Raiders lost four of last five games, outscored 89-48 in second half.

LA Rams 37, Jacksonville 7:
— Jaguars lost four in row, 25 of their last 27 games.
— Jacksonville has seven losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have six TD’s on their last 48 drives.
— Jacksonville is minus-13 in turnovers (5-18)
— Jaguars are 8-16-1 ATS in last 25 games as road underdogs.

— Rams’ first two drives started at Jaguars’ 34/27-yard line.
— Rams’ first three drives in 2nd half: 24 plays, 202 yards, 21 points.
— LA outgained Jacksonville, 418-197
— Last eight games, LA converted only 33-95 on 3rd down
— Last two years, under is 10-4 in Rams’ home games.

Pittsburgh 20, Baltimore 19:
— Ravens scored TD with 0:12 left, went for 2 points but failed.
— Last four weeks, Baltimore scored 10-16-16-19 points.
— Five trips to red zone, Ravens scored only 19 points.
— Last four Baltimore games stayed under the total.
— Underdogs are 11-1-1 ATS in last 13 games vs Steelers.

— Steelers drove 69 yards, took lead for good with 1:48 left.
— Pittsburgh held Ravens to 107 rushing yards.
— Last five games, Pittsburgh converted 33-69 on third down.
— Pittsburgh covered last six games as a home underdog.
— Steelers are 6-2 ATS in last eight AFC North home games.

Seattle 30, San Francisco 23:
— 49ers led 17-7 midway thru second quarter.
— 49ers in first half: 30 plays, 184 yards, 23 points.
— 49ers In second half: 26 plays, 137 yards, no points.
— San Francisco averaged 9.5 yards/pass attempt.
— 49ers are 1-5 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.

— Seattle tied game 23-23 with third quarter safety on a sack.
— Seahawks ran for 146 yards, threw for only 4.4 yards/attempt.
— Seattle won 15 of last 17 games against the 49ers.
— Seahawks had 12-yard edge in field position.
— Both teams turned ball over three times.

Kansas City 22, Denver 9:
— Denver had 20-play, 88-yard drive but didn’t score on it.
— Broncos scored only nine points on three trips to red zone.
— Denver had 3 turnovers, converted 4-14 on third down.
— Denver has lost 11 in a row SU to Kansas City.
— Broncos are 4-11-1 ATS in last 16 AFC West road games.

— Chiefs won last five games, giving up 11.2 ppg.
— Kansas City is 6-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
— Denver outgained the Chiefs, 404-267, ran 18 more plays than KC.
— Chiefs have ten takeaways in last four games (+6)
— Six of Chiefs’ last seven games stayed under the total.

Sunday’s college basketball highlights:
— Xavier 77, Oklahoma State 71
— Northwestern 67, Maryland 61
— Kansas State 65, Wichita State 59
— Minnesota 81, Mississippi State 76
— Siena 60, Saint Peter’s 58
 

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OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after scoring 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 194-248 ATS (-78.8 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1996.

MIAMI is 156-198 ATS (-61.8 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

ATLANTA is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) in road games in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.

PHOENIX is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Monday, December 6


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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Charlotte
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Detroit
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Detroit
Oklahoma City is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Washington @ Indiana
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Washington

Memphis @ Miami
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Memphis

Denver @ Chicago
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing Denver
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Cleveland @ Milwaukee
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Atlanta @ Minnesota
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

San Antonio @ Phoenix
San Antonio
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games

Orlando @ Golden State
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Golden State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

LA Clippers @ Portland
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Portland
LA Clippers is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Portland
Portland
Portland is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Clippers


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NBA
Dunkel

Monday, December 6


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The Nuggets are 2-7 ATS across their last nine games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six Bulls' games.
The total has gone OVER in seven straight Nuggets' games.
The Bulls are 4-1 ATS across their last five games.
 

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 6
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


WAS at IND 07:00 PM
WAS +5.5
U 211.5
+500 +500

OKC at DET 07:00 PM
DET -3.0
U 205.0
+500 +500

PHI at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA +6.5
U 217.0

+500 +500

MEM at MIA 07:30 PM
MEM +4.5
U 214.0
+500 +500

ATL at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN -2.5
O 222.5
+500 +500

DEN at CHI 08:00 PM
DEN +3.5
O 218.0
+500 +500

CLE at MIL 08:00 PM
MIL -6.5
U 213.5
+500 +500

SA at PHO 09:00 PM
PHO -7.5
O 216.0
+500 +500

LAC at POR 10:00 PM
POR +3.0
U 215.5
+500 +500

ORL at GS 10:00 PM
GS -16.0
O 218.0
+500 +500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:............31-44-0...........41.33%............-87.00


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:...............17-32-0................34.69%............-91.00


UPDATED 12/06/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

Six interesting NFL spreads for Week 14:
— Pittsburgh @ Minnesota (-3)
— New Orleans (-5.5) @ NJ Jets
— San Francisco @ Cincinnati (-1)
— Baltimore @ Cleveland (-2.5)
— Atlanta @ Carolina (-3)
— Dallas (-4) @ Washington

Quote of the Day
“Everybody’s trying to get to the NBA off the ranking we had, but nobody is willing to sacrifice minutes, touches, anything. It’s been miserable…I’m going to have to be a complete asshole from this point on and only play the players that care.”
Memphis basketball coach Penny Hardaway

Tuesday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the first pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; which former Chargers’ QB was the second pick in that draft?

Monday’s quiz
Ben Roethlisberger and Sean McVay went to the same college, Miami OH. Roethlisberger is actually four years older than the Rams’ coach.

Sunday’s quiz
Chargers drafted QB Justin Herbert with 6th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft; Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa were taken ahead of him.

************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

12) Purdue Boilermakers are #1 in country in college basketball, first time they’ve ever been atop the national rankings. Purdue made the Final Four in 1969/1980, losing the national title game to UCLA in 1969.

Matt Painter is 15-11 in NCAA Tournament games; lot of time will pass between now and March, but couple of pundits have already picked the Boilermakers to win it all this season.

11) Memphis Tigers lost their last three games, after a 5-0 start; apparently the team doesn’t have good chemistry. coach Penny Hardaway

Freshmen Bates and Duren were the top two recruits in the Class of 2022 and were considered future NBA lottery picks, but they re-classified to Class of ’21 and went to college a year early- they’ve both been starting, which apparently irked the older players on the squad.

Memphis doesn’t have a true point guard; they tried to make the 6-9 Bates a PG, but he isn’t a point guard and now he isn’t even starting anymore- he played 22 minutes off the bench at Ole Miss Saturday.

You can’t force chemistry on a team; having talent is great, but if they don’t play together, it is mostly wasted talent. Will be interesting to see how their season plays out.

10) You watch the New Orleans Saints play and you know they need a quarterback; last time the Saints drafted a QB in the first round was 1971, when they drafted Archie Manning in the first round. Archie was a lot different than his two sons; he played like a right-handed Steve Young, ran around a lot, but he was stuck on a terrible team and mostly got pummeled in the NFL.

But Archie Manning is a legend at Ole Miss; the speed limit on their campus is still 18 miles an hour, because Manning wore number 18 playing for the Rebels.

9) NBA’s Houston Rockets started the season 1-16, losing 15 games in a row, but all of a sudden they’ve gotten hot and won six straight games. Five of those six games went over the total; under was 12-5 in their first 17 games.

Houston plays the Nets Wednesday, which should test that winning streak.

8) Maryland fired basketball coach Mark Turgeon last week; Turgeon went 226-116 at Maryland, 105–79 in conference games, 5-5 in NCAA Tournament games. He signed a contract extension last April, but apparently is getting paid $5M to go away.

Wish the hell someone would pay me $5M to go away; I’d go away for $50, maybe $25.

7) A new bowl game this fall is the Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl, which will be played December 18 at SoFi Stadium, where Rams/Chargers play.

Kimmel said: ”This is not a joke. This is a real bowl game named after me, so mark your calendars. … It’s like an early Christmas gift for all of us.”

The Super Bowl is at SoFi Stadium this season; the college football national title game is at SoFi in January 2023.

6) There are seven first-time head coaches in the NFL this season; they are a combined 37-48 against the spread.

5) Tony Romo makes $18M a year doing NFL games on CBS? Seriously? Cris Collinsworth makes $12.5M from NBC? If I’m home and hear Collinsworth’s voice on TV, I hit the mute button, he is so annoying.

Romo is good, but he ain’t $18M worth of good. No one is.

4) Feel like this fact fell thru the cracks little bit last week, but it bears repeating; of the last 55 NFL teams who threw 4+ interceptions in a game, Baltimore Ravens in Week 12 are only team that won that game- they beat the Browns 16-10 on a Sunday night game, surviving four INTs thrown by Lamar Jackson, three of them on consecutive possessions.

3) Odd scheduling quirk with Cleveland; they’re playing consecutive games against Baltimore, with their bye week in between. That doesn’t happen much.

2) Carolina Panthers fired OC Joe Brady during their bye week; Brady was the OC at LSU two years ago, when Joe Burrow led the Tigers to the national title, but Carolina has stammered thru this season, and they told Brady to take a hike.

Sounds like head coach Matt Rhule is taking the rap for owner David Tepper here; really rich hedge fund traders aren’t terribly patient people- that’s how Tepper became wealthy, and he is really, really wealthy— $13 billion worth.

Brady is only 32 years old, so he’ll re-surface soon with a big coordinator’s job, probably back at the college level.

1) Weird news item of the day:
A couple has sued Texas Longhorns’ special teams coach Jeff Banks and his girlfriend, saying Thomas’ monkey bit their child in the backyard of Banks’ house on Halloween night.

The girlfriend was identified in the lawsuit as “Pole Assassin” which her stage name when she dances. She once appeared on “The Jerry Springer Show” with the monkey.

Wish I was making all that up, but I’m not that creative.
 

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BROOKLYN is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.




NBA

Tuesday, December 7

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Trend Report
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Brooklyn @ Dallas
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn

New York @ San Antonio
New York
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New York's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games on the road
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York

Boston @ LA Lakers
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games when playing Boston


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Nets are 1-6 ATS across their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 12 Nets' games.
The Mavericks are 3-12 ATS across their last 15 home games.
The Mavericks are 2-7 SU across their last nine games.


Los Angeles has seen the underdog win four of its last five games
Boston has covered the spread in six straight games when facing Los Angeles.
Los Angeles has gone into OT in three of its last six home games when facing the Eastern Conference
Jayson Tatum has scored 30 points or more in seven of eight games vs. the Western Conference.
 

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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 7
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


BK at DAL 07:30 PM
DAL +1.5
U 221.0

+500 +500

NY at SA 08:30 PM
SA +1.5
O 211.0
+500 +500

BOS at LAL 10:00 PM
LAL -4.0
O 219.0

+500 +500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/07/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%............+4.00
12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:............34-44-1...........43.58%............-83.00


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/07/2021.............2-3-0................40.00%............- 6.50
12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:...............19-35-0................35.18%............-97.50


UPDATED 12/07/2021
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:

NFL leaders in receptions:
100— Cooper Kupp, Rams
86— Keenan Allen LAC, Tyreek Hill KC, Jaylen Waddle Mia
82— Chris Godwin, TB
80— Davante Adams, GB
78— Justin Jefferson, Minn
76— Diontae Johnson, Pitt

Quote of the Day
“Let’s not give more credit than we need to give credit to Bill Belichick in this one. Whether it was Bill or anybody else, they beat us, right? But you sit here and you tell me when we start with an average starting field position of the 40-yard line and he starts with the 23-yard line — I’m rounding up in both cases — and we were 1 for 4 in the red zone and they were 0 for 1 in the red zone? You give me that ahead of time, I’d say I like my chances. I like my chances.”
Buffalo coach Sean McDermott

Wednesday’s quiz
Jim Valvano won a national title coaching NC State; where did he coach before NC State?

Tuesday’s quiz
Peyton Manning was the first pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; Ryan Leaf was the second pick in that draft.

Monday’s quiz
Ben Roethlisberger and Sean McVay went to the same college, Miami OH. Roethlisberger is actually four years older than the Rams’ coach.


*********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Miami Hurricanes are paying U of Oregon $9M, which was the buyout in Mario Cristobal’s contract with the Ducks. Cristobal will make $8M a year with Miami.

12) McNeese State football coach Frank Wilson quit this week, will join Brian Kelly’s staff at LSU as an associate head coach. Wilson was an assistant at LSU from 2010-15, then became head coach at Tex-San Antonio, where he went 19-29 before being shown the door there.

Wilson is regarded as an outstanding recruiter, especially in Louisiana; he is going to have to recruit a QB- LSU’s QB Max Johnson hit the transfer portal Tuesday night.

That leads me to a question: when a newly-hired coach talks to his new team, and obviously tells some of them that they’re going to be replaced, or that their starting spots aren’t guaranteed, what are those conversations like? What %age of them are civil? Some of them have to be at least a little contentious, yes?

Max Johnson’s dad played in the NFL, was the Buccaneers’ QB in a Super Bowl. Jake Johnson is his brother, a highly-touted tight end recruit who is also leaving LSU. That would be excellent really TV, to hear those conversations.

11) Right now, if they held voting for college basketball Coach of the Year, I’d vote for Minnesota coach Ben Johnson, whose Gophers are off to a 7-0 start.

They only have one top 100 win, but when Johnson was hired by Minnesota, he had one player on the team— 10 other guys transferred, and an 11th one is hurt and won’t play this season. To cobble together a squad quickly, and have that team be successful, is really difficult.

10) Several college basketball leagues are playing 20-game conference schedules now; big part of the reason why is that these leagues have their own TV networks- they need games to provide programming for those networks.

It is also better for fans than seeing big-name schools play cruddy opponents in December.

9) James Madison 52, Virginia 49:
— Huge win for JMU’s program- they opened a new 8,500-seat arena.
— Dukes are now 1-11 against their in-state rival.
— 6-4 Virginia has losses to Navy/JMU; they were 4-26 on arc.

8) When the Bills lost at home to New England Monday night, Buffalo had a 17-yard edge in field position, an unusually big margin. Teams with a 17-yard edge in field position almost never lose; so far this season, teams that won field position by 10+ yards are 46-6 SU.

7) NFL stuff:
— Rookie Davis Mills (0-6 as starter) figures to start this week for Houston.
— Giants have QB injury issues; Jake Fromm may play in his first NFL game Sunday against the Chargers. Few weeks ago, Fromm was Buffalo’s 4th-string QB. He was a 5th-round draft pick out of Georgia in 2020.

6) NBA’s Cleveland Cavaliers are a surprising 19-6 ATS as an underdog this season, 13-3 as a road dog.

5) Starting January 15, unvaccinated NBA players can’t travel to Canada, which obviously means unvaccinated Raptors can’t play at home either.

4) Michigan was pounding Iowa 35-3 in the Big 14 title game Saturday night; they scored another TD with 1:25 left, making the final margin 42-3. I’m guessing that touchdown will be remembered by the Hawkeyes; usually, there is something of a code about running up the score. Something to tuck away for the future.

3) PNC Arena in Raleigh is a busy place; Louisville-NC State played a basketball game there at 2:00 Saturday, then at 7:30 that night, Sabres-Hurricanes played an NHL game there.

On TV, they said it takes 90 minutes to switch the arena from basketball to hockey.

2) There are murmurs on the Interweb that Max Scherzer wants the Mets to hire Buck Showalter as their new manager; owner Steve Cohen is apparently on board with that.

1) Was daydreaming yesterday and thought of a weird rule change that would make football more interesting.

On kickoffs, if a kicker boots the ball thru the uprights 75 yards away, his team gets a point. It would add some interest to kickoffs, for sure.
 

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NEW YORK is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 19-5 ATS (13.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 25-11 ATS (12.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.


DALLAS are 172-123 ATS (36.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% since 1996.

DENVER is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

ORLANDO is 425-489 ATS (-112.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game since 1996.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after a cover as a double digit favorite over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 24-10 ATS (13 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, December 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Charlotte
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Chicago @ Cleveland
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago

Washington @ Detroit
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

New York @ Indiana
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games

Milwaukee @ Miami
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games

Oklahoma City @ Toronto
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games

Brooklyn @ Houston
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Memphis
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Utah @ Minnesota
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Utah's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Utah
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Denver @ New Orleans
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games

Portland @ Golden State
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games on the road
Portland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Golden State is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Portland

Orlando @ Sacramento
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Orlando is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Sacramento's last 13 games at home

Boston @ LA Clippers
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 8 games when playing Boston
LA Clippers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Milwaukee has won 11 straight games when playing as the favorite.
Milwaukee has gone OVER the point total in five of its last six games.
Miami has covered the spread in six of its last seven games when playing as the underdog.


Portland has failed to cover the spread in nine straight games when playing as the underdog.
Golden State has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last seven games.
Portland has lost 12 of its last 13 road games.
 

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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 8
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


WAS at DET 07:00 PM
DET +5.0
+500

NY at IND 07:00 PM
U 207.5
+500

PHI at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA +6.0
+500

CHI at CLE 07:00 PM
CLE -3.0
+500

OKC at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR -7.5
+500

MIL at MIA 07:30 PM
MIA +6.0
+500

BK at HOU 08:00 PM
HOU +3.5
+500

UTA at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN +6.5
U 218.0

+500 +500

DEN at NO 08:00 PM
DEN -2.0
+500

DAL at MEM 08:00 PM
MEM -2.0
+500

POR at GS 10:00 PM
POR +14.5
+500

ORL at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC -7.0
+500

BOS at LAC 10:30 PM
LAC -3.5
+500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/08/2021..........8-6-0.........57.14%.............+7.00
12/07/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%............+4.00
12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:............42-50-1...........45.65%............-76.00


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/08/2021.............4-4-0................50.00%............- 2.00
12/07/2021.............2-3-0................40.00%............- 6.50
12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:...............23-39-0................37.09%............-99.50


UPDATED 12/08/2021
 

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