Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Denver has failed to cover the spread in five straight games.
Milwaukee has covered the spread in two straight games.
Milwaukee has gone UNDER the point total in 14 of its last 19 games.
 

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 26
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


DET at LAC 03:30 PM
LAC -11.5
O 205.0

+500 +500
 

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 26
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


MIN at CHA 07:00 PM
MIN +2.5
O 225.5
+500 +500

PHO at NY 07:00 PM
PHO -3.5
O 216.0
+500 +500

CHI at ORL 07:00 PM
CHI -9.5
U 211.5

+500 +500

WAS at OKC 08:00 PM
OKC +7.0
U 206.5
+500 +500

TOR at IND 08:00 PM
IND -4.0
U 209.5
+500 +500

ATL at MEM 08:00 PM
ATL +1.0
O 226.5
+500 +500

BOS at SA 08:30 PM
SA +4.5
U 213.5

+500 +500

NO at UTA 09:00 PM
UTA -13.5
U 218.0
+500 +500

MIL at DEN 09:00 PM
MIL -3.5
U 214.0
+500 +500

POR at GS 10:00 PM
GS -6.0
O 225.0

+500 +500

SAC at LAL 10:30 PM
SAC +8.0
O 229.5
+500 +500
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/26/2021.......16-8-0.......66.66%.........+36.00
11/24/2021.....12-14-0.......46.15%..........-17.00
11/23/2021........2-5-1........28.57%..........-17.50
11/22/2021.......6-11-0........35.29%.........-30.50
11/21/2021.........7-3-0........70.00%........+18.50
11/20/2021.......10-8-0.........55.56%.........+6.00
11/19/2021.......10-8-0.........55.55%..........+6.00
11/18/2021.........8-4-0.........66.67%........+18.00
11/17/2021.......8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/16/2021.........4-2-0.........66.67%..........+9.00
11/15/2021........12-9-0.........57.14%........+10.50
11/14/2021..........5-9-0........35.71%..........-24.50
11/13/2021..........4-9-1........30.76%..........-29.50
11/12/2021........8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/11/2021.........3-3-0..........50.00%..........- 1.50
11/10/2021......15-10-1..........60.00%.........+20.00
11/09/2021..........2-4-0..........33.33%..........-12.00
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%..........-18.50
11/07/2021..........6-4-1..........60.00%..........+ 8.00
11/06/2021..........3-8-0..........27.27%..........-29.00
11/05/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%.........+16.50
11/03/2021..........7-4-0..........63.64%.........+13.00
11/02/2021..........5-5-0..........50.00%............-2.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%............-2.00

TOTALS:........172-174-4..........49.71%..........- 97.00


BEST BETS:

11/25/2021..........8-4-0..........66.66%.....+18.00
11/24/2021..........5-6-0..........45.45%......-8.00
11/23/2021..........2-5-1..........28.57%......-17.50
11/22/2021..........3-8-0..........27.27%......-29.00
11/21/2021..........5-2-0..........71.42%.....+14.00
11/20/2021..........8-4-0..........66.66%.....+18.00
11/19/2021..........9-2-0..........81.81%.....+34.00
11/18/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.......+8.50
11/17/2021..........4-8-0..........33.33%.......-24.00
11/16/2021..........3-2-0..........60.00%......+ 4.00
11/15/2021..........9-5-0..........64.28%......+17.50
11/14/2021..........4-6-0..........40.00%.......-13.00
11/13/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%.......-18.00
11/12/2021..........7-9-0..........43.75%.......-14.50
11/11/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%.........-6.50
11/10/2021 B E S T B E T S N O T P O S T E D
11/09/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%........- 6.50
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%........-18.50
11/07/2021..........4-3-0..........57.14%........+3.50
11/06/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%........-18.00
11/05/2021..........3-4-0..........42.85%.........-.7.00
11/03/2021..........3-3-0..........50.00%.........- 1.50
11/02/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%..........-2.00

TOTALS:.........105-106-1..........49.76%.........-58.00


UPDATED 11/25/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:

Six of college basketball’s most inexperienced teams:
358) Dayton
357) Wisc-Green Bay
356) Arizona
355) Temple
353) Duquesne
352) Marquette

Quote of the Day
“A little song, a little dance……a little seltzer down your pants.”
Chuckles the Clown

Saturday’s quiz
Who was the first man to walk on the moon?

Friday’s quiz
Michael Jordan played baseball for the Birmingham Barons, the White Sox’ AA team.

Thursday’s quiz
Before moving to Baltimore and becoming the Ravens, the Ravens were the Cleveland Browns. The new Cleveland Browns started playing three years after they became the Ravens.

*********************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday…….

13) Duke 84, Gonzaga 81:
— Excellent game; seemed like March, or April.
— Duke outscored Gonzaga 15-7 on foul line.
— Banchero scored 20 points in first half, one in second half.
— Zags were only 6-21 on the arc.

12) Dayton 74, Kansas 73:
— 16-point underdogs pull biggest upset of season so far.
— Dayton is least experienced team in country.
— Amzil hit game-winning hoop, his only basket of the game.
— Dayton-Belmont is the final of this tournament, on Sunday.

11) Baylor 75, Michigan State 58:
— Bears win the Battle of Atlantis.
— Baylor outscored Spartans 37-22 in second half.
— Bears shot 65.7% inside the arc.

10) NC State 34, North Carolina 30:
— Tar Heels kicked 50-yard FG to lead 30-21 with 2:12 left.
— NC State then scored two touchdowns in 26 seconds for the win; they recovered an onside kick after the first TD.

9) Weird Stats of the Day:
— Last three years, NFL road teams are 9-0 on Thanksgiving Day
— Nebraska finished 1-8 in conference games this season, but Cornhuskers scored 239 points, gave up 239 points in those games- their one Big 14 win was 49-7 over Northwestern, the eight losses were by total of 42 points.

8) Raiders-Cowboys game Thursday got the NFL’s best TV ratings since 1990; they also the most penalties in a game since 2016. Those two facts are not connected.

7) Cincinnati 35, East Carolina 13— Bearcats finish regular season a perfect 12-0, now have to win the AAC title game, then hope the voting system isn’t corrupt, so they can play for a national title.

6) San Diego State has won its last six basketball games against Big East opponents.

5) Detroit Lions are 0-10-1, but they’ve led four games in 4th quarter, are 7-4 vs spread. Their four blown leads in 4th quarter are most in league this season.

4) College football coaching stuff:
— Louisiana Tech told football coach Skip Holtz to take a hike; is this a landing spot for former LSU coach Ed Orgeron?
— Wake Forest wisely signed coach Dave Clawson to a contract extension.
— TCU signed coach Sonny Dykes away from SMU.

3) There are six bowl games on December 18, not really sure why, but that’ll be a busy TV day.

2) New York Mets were busy Friday:
— They are signing OF Starling Marte to a 4-year, $78M contract
— They signed OF Mark Canha to a 2-year, $26.5M deal
— They signed IF Eduardo Escobar to a 2-year, $20M deal.

1) Blind resume for college football coaches. Here is one, for a guy in his third year as a college head coach.
2019— School A- Goes 5-7, then jumps to a new school.
2020— School B— Goes 2-5 in a year where the pandemic screwed things up.
2021— Is 9-2 in his second year at School B, a school in a major league.

Three years as a head coach, 16-14 record. Any guesses who he is?

Michigan State just gave Mel Tucker a 10-year, $95M contract; he is 16-14 as a head coach. Lot of faith for a coach with one winning season.
 

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PHILADELPHIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 16-4 ATS (11.6 Units) in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.

PHOENIX is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games on Saturday games in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 4-23 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 292-220 ATS (50 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread since 1996.

CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game in the current season.

DALLAS are 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games off a road win in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Saturday, November 27


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Minnesota @ Philadelphia
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

New York @ Atlanta
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 9 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Phoenix @ Brooklyn
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games

Miami @ Chicago
Miami
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Miami is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chicago's last 17 games at home

Orlando @ Cleveland
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games at home

Charlotte @ Houston
Charlotte
Charlotte is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Houston is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Charlotte

Washington @ Dallas
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 12 games
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Dallas is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing Washington

New Orleans @ Utah
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Orleans's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games when playing New Orleans


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Brooklyn has won six of its last seven games when facing Phoenix.
Phoenix has gone OVER the point total in five straight games.
Phoenix has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine road games when playing the second game of a back-to-back.
 

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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 27
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


MIN at PHI 06:00 PM
PHI -5.0
U 216.0
+500 +500

PHO at BK 07:30 PM
PHO +1.5
O 224.5

+500 +500

NY at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL -7.0
U 216.0
+500 +500

MIA at CHI 08:00 PM
CHI +1.5
U 211.5
+500 +500

CHA at HOU 08:00 PM
CHA -6.0
U 226.5
+500 +500

ORL at CLE 08:00 PM
CLE -9.5
U 205.5
+500 +500

WAS at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -6.5
U 212.0
+500 +500

NO at UTA 09:00 PM
UTA -12.5
O 215.5
+500 +500
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/27/2021........7-9-0.......43.75%..........-14.50
11/26/2021.......16-8-0.......66.66%.........+36.00
11/24/2021.....12-14-0.......46.15%..........-17.00
11/23/2021........2-5-1........28.57%..........-17.50
11/22/2021.......6-11-0........35.29%.........-30.50
11/21/2021.........7-3-0........70.00%........+18.50
11/20/2021.......10-8-0.........55.56%.........+6.00
11/19/2021.......10-8-0.........55.55%..........+6.00
11/18/2021.........8-4-0.........66.67%........+18.00
11/17/2021.......8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/16/2021.........4-2-0.........66.67%..........+9.00
11/15/2021........12-9-0.........57.14%........+10.50
11/14/2021..........5-9-0........35.71%..........-24.50
11/13/2021..........4-9-1........30.76%..........-29.50
11/12/2021........8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/11/2021.........3-3-0..........50.00%..........- 1.50
11/10/2021......15-10-1..........60.00%.........+20.00
11/09/2021..........2-4-0..........33.33%..........-12.00
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%..........-18.50
11/07/2021..........6-4-1..........60.00%..........+ 8.00
11/06/2021..........3-8-0..........27.27%..........-29.00
11/05/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%.........+16.50
11/03/2021..........7-4-0..........63.64%.........+13.00
11/02/2021..........5-5-0..........50.00%............-2.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%............-2.00

TOTALS:........179-183-4..........49.44%..........- 111.50


BEST BETS:

11/27/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%.....-18.00
11/26/2021..........8-4-0..........66.66%.....+18.00
11/24/2021..........5-6-0..........45.45%......-8.00
11/23/2021..........2-5-1..........28.57%......-17.50
11/22/2021..........3-8-0..........27.27%......-29.00
11/21/2021..........5-2-0..........71.42%.....+14.00
11/20/2021..........8-4-0..........66.66%.....+18.00
11/19/2021..........9-2-0..........81.81%.....+34.00
11/18/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.......+8.50
11/17/2021..........4-8-0..........33.33%.......-24.00
11/16/2021..........3-2-0..........60.00%......+ 4.00
11/15/2021..........9-5-0..........64.28%......+17.50
11/14/2021..........4-6-0..........40.00%.......-13.00
11/13/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%.......-18.00
11/12/2021..........7-9-0..........43.75%.......-14.50
11/11/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%.........-6.50
11/10/2021 B E S T B E T S N O T P O S T E D
11/09/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%........- 6.50
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%........-18.50
11/07/2021..........4-3-0..........57.14%........+3.50
11/06/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%........-18.00
11/05/2021..........3-4-0..........42.85%.........-.7.00
11/03/2021..........3-3-0..........50.00%.........- 1.50
11/02/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%..........-2.00

TOTALS:.........108-112-1..........49.09%.........-76.00


UPDATED 11/27/2021
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:

$$$ that college football coaches got after they were fired this year:
$17M— Ed Orgeron, LSU
$12M— Dan Mullen, Florida/Gary Patterson, TCU
$10M— Clay Helton, USC
$9.9M— Jimmy Lake, Washington
$8.7M— Justin Fuente, Virginia Tech
$7.4M— Matt Wells, Texas Tech

Quote of the Day
“There were a lot of things we had to fix, but I think the one thing you can say is … the fact that the players played hard and really wanted to win the game and made an outstanding effort to do it………It was a great comeback. There were many times we could have thrown in the towel.”
Nick Saban

Sunday’s quiz
Which team lost the first Super Bowl?

Saturday’s quiz
Neil Armstrong was the first man to walk on the moon, in 1969.

Friday’s quiz
Michael Jordan played baseball for the Birmingham Barons, the White Sox’ AA team.

*****************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Saturday…….

13) Michigan 42, Ohio State 27:
— Haskins ran ball 28 times for 169 yards and five TD’s.
— Michigan snaps 8-game series losing skid.
— Only 8 of Michigan’s 61 plays were on third down.

12) Alabama 24, Auburn 22, OT:
— Auburn led this game 10-0 in 4th quarter.
— Alabama tied game with 0:24 left in regulation.
— Crimson Tide outgained Auburn, 388-159.

11) Oklahoma State 37, Oklahoma 33:
— Oklahoma’s offense didn’t score in second half; game was 24-24 at halftime.
— Both teams fumbled a punt inside their own 5-yard line.
— OSU’s stadium is weird; very little room between the sidelines and stands.
— Cowboys snap a 6-game series losing skid; with Oklahoma jumping to the SEC, this rivalry might not go on much longer. Too bad.

10) There are rumors on the Interweb that Lincoln Riley is going to bolt Oklahoma for LSU; Oklahoma is jumping to the SEC, so Riley must think the Sooners won’t be faring too well in a deeper league, where even LSU struggled this year, two years after they won the national title. Not a lot of loyalty in the world these days.

9) San Diego Padres traded 2B Adam Frazier to Seattle for two minor leaguers, one of whom is a promising reliever. Frazier hit .305 LY, made All-Star Game for first time.

8) College football upsets:
— Hawai’i (+13) 38, Wyoming 14
— Minnesota (+7) 23, Wisconsin 13
— Virginia Tech (+7) 29, Virginia 24
— Michigan (+6.5) 42, Ohio State 27
— Tulsa (+6.5) 34, SMU 31
— Bowling Green (+6) 21, Ohio U 10

7) Air Force 48, UNLV 14:
— Air Force ran ball 69 times for 511 yards.
— They didn’t throw a pass the whole game; not one.

6) North Texas 45, Tex-San Antonio 23:
— First loss in 12 games this season for the Roadrunners.

5) Minnesota 23, Wisconsin 13— Gophers’ upset win creates an Iowa-Michigan matchup in the Big 14 title game next week.

4) College basketball upsets:
— Eastern Washington (+19) 76, Washington State 71
— Monmouth (+11) 61, Cincinnati 59
— Northern Iowa (+9.5) 90, St Bonaventure 80
— UMBC (+5.5) 87, Pittsburgh 77

3) Monmouth 61, Cincinnati 59:
— Walker Miller scored 13 points for Monmouth; his brother Wes is Cincinnati’s coach.
— Cincinnati led by 12 early in second half.
— Bearcats were 4-28 on arc; Monmouth was 8-16.

2) Northern Iowa 90, St Bonaventure 80— Handicapping is tough; Bonnies looked so good winning the tournament in Charleston last week, then come home and lose this game, to a very mediocre Northern Iowa squad. UNI made 15-31 3-pointers, but Bonnies made 12-31.

1) USC 58, San Diego State 43:
— Teams combined to go 10-29 on foul line. Seriously.
— Teams also combined to go 7-31 on arc; lot of rebounds in this game.
— USC outrebounded the Aztecs, 49-33.
 

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GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 144-111 ATS (21.9 Units) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more since 1996.

LA LAKERS
are 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=43% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.




NBA

Sunday, November 28


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Golden State @ LA Clippers
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games at home

Milwaukee @ Indiana
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Sacramento @ Memphis
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Sacramento's last 11 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Boston @ Toronto
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

Detroit @ LA Lakers
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 28
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


GS at LAC 03:30 PM
GS -2.5
U 215.5
+500 +500

MIL at IND 05:00 PM
MIL -2.0
U 216.5

+500 +500

SAC at MEM 06:00 PM
SAC +3.0
O 222.5

+500 +500

BOS at TOR 06:00 PM
TOR -1.0
U 209.0
+500 +500

DET at LAL 09:30 PM
DET +10.5
O 215.0
+500 +500
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/28/2021.......7-3-0........70.00%.........+18.50
11/27/2021........7-9-0.......43.75%..........-14.50
11/26/2021.......16-8-0.......66.66%.........+36.00
11/24/2021.....12-14-0.......46.15%..........-17.00
11/23/2021........2-5-1........28.57%..........-17.50
11/22/2021.......6-11-0........35.29%.........-30.50
11/21/2021.........7-3-0........70.00%........+18.50
11/20/2021.......10-8-0.........55.56%.........+6.00
11/19/2021.......10-8-0.........55.55%..........+6.00
11/18/2021.........8-4-0.........66.67%........+18.00
11/17/2021.......8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/16/2021.........4-2-0.........66.67%..........+9.00
11/15/2021........12-9-0.........57.14%........+10.50
11/14/2021..........5-9-0........35.71%..........-24.50
11/13/2021..........4-9-1........30.76%..........-29.50
11/12/2021........8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/11/2021.........3-3-0..........50.00%..........- 1.50
11/10/2021......15-10-1..........60.00%.........+20.00
11/09/2021..........2-4-0..........33.33%..........-12.00
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%..........-18.50
11/07/2021..........6-4-1..........60.00%..........+ 8.00
11/06/2021..........3-8-0..........27.27%..........-29.00
11/05/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%.........+16.50
11/03/2021..........7-4-0..........63.64%.........+13.00
11/02/2021..........5-5-0..........50.00%............-2.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%............-2.00

TOTALS:........186-186-4..........50.00%..........- 93.00


BEST BETS:

11/28/2021..........3-2-0..........60.00%.....+4.00
11/27/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%.....-18.00
11/26/2021..........8-4-0..........66.66%.....+18.00
11/24/2021..........5-6-0..........45.45%......-8.00
11/23/2021..........2-5-1..........28.57%......-17.50
11/22/2021..........3-8-0..........27.27%......-29.00
11/21/2021..........5-2-0..........71.42%.....+14.00
11/20/2021..........8-4-0..........66.66%.....+18.00
11/19/2021..........9-2-0..........81.81%.....+34.00
11/18/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.......+8.50
11/17/2021..........4-8-0..........33.33%.......-24.00
11/16/2021..........3-2-0..........60.00%......+ 4.00
11/15/2021..........9-5-0..........64.28%......+17.50
11/14/2021..........4-6-0..........40.00%.......-13.00
11/13/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%.......-18.00
11/12/2021..........7-9-0..........43.75%.......-14.50
11/11/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%.........-6.50
11/10/2021 B E S T B E T S N O T P O S T E D
11/09/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%........- 6.50
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%........-18.50
11/07/2021..........4-3-0..........57.14%........+3.50
11/06/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%........-18.00
11/05/2021..........3-4-0..........42.85%.........-.7.00
11/03/2021..........3-3-0..........50.00%.........- 1.50
11/02/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%..........-2.00

TOTALS:.........111-114-1..........49.33%.........-72.00


UPDATED 11/28/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

Interesting Week 13 NFL spreads:
— Dallas (-5.5) @ New Orleans
— Arizona (-7) @ Chicago
— Denver @ Kansas City (-9.5)
— Baltimore (-3) @ Pittsburgh
— San Francisco (-2.5) @ Seattle
— Minnesota (-7) @ Detroit

Quote of the Day
“Sweat equity is the most valuable equity there is. Know your business and industry better than anyone else in the world. Love what you do or don’t do it.”
Mark Cuban

Monday’s quiz
In the classic movie All the President’s Men, which famous actors played writers Woodward and Bernstein?

Sunday’s quiz
Green Bay beat the Chiefs 35-10 in the first Super Bowl.

Saturday’s quiz
Neil Armstrong was the first man to walk on the moon, in 1969.

*********************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

New England 36, Tennessee 13:

— Tennessee ran ball for 270 yards, but was minus-4 in turnovers.
— Titans averaged only 3.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Patriots had 10 drives; three TD’s, tried six field goals
— New England had TD drives of 37-56-21 yards.
— Patriots had 17-yard edge in field position.

— New England won seven of last eight games, scoring 33.1 ppg.
— Patriots scored 135 points in winning last three home games.
— Since 2015, New England is 30-14-3 ATS as home favorites.
— Patriots are +16 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
— New England has 22 takeaways in last eight games (+15)

NJ Jets 21, Houston 14:
— Jets outscored Houston 10-0 in second half.
— Jets ran ball for 157 yards, outgained Texans 266-202.
— Six of last eight Jet games went over the total.
— Jets have been outscored 68-24 in first quarter, 189-65 in first half.

— Texans in second half: 21 plays, 45 yards, 3 first downs.
— Houston is 2-8 ATS last ten games as home favorites.
— Under is 7-2 in Texans’ last nine games.
— Underdogs are 4-0-1 ATS in last five series games.

NY Giants 13, Philadelphia 7:
— Eagles turned ball over four times on 10 drives (minus-4)
— Philly averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
— Philly ran ball for 215.2 ypg last five games (98.6 ypg previous five)
— Eagles are 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a road favorite.

— Giants won their last three home games.
— Eagles outgained Giants 332-264.
— Giants are 11-6 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
— Last five Giant games stayed under the total.

Tampa Bay 38, Indianapolis 31:
— Fournette had 131 total yards, four TD’s.
— Tampa Bay ran ball for 142 yards (5.3 yards/carry).
— Bucs have 42 TD’s on 117 drives this season.
— Last ten games, Tampa Bay is +11 in turnovers.

— Indianapolis led 24-14 at halftime.
— Bucs in 2nd half: 30 plays, 222 yards, 24 points.
— Colts turned ball over three times in five 2nd half drives.
— Six of their last eight games went over the total.

Atlanta 21, Jacksonville 14:
— Atlanta was perfect in red zone (21 points/3 drives)
— Atlanta is 4-2 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Falcons led seven of last nine games at halftime.
— Atlanta has been outscored 176-89 in second half.

— Jacksonville converted 9-16 on 3rd down, outgained Atlanta 357-332.
— Jaguars are 7-14 ATS in last 21 home games.
— Last five games, Jacksonville was outscored 77-21 in first half.
— Jaguars lost 24 of their last 26 games.

Miami 33, Carolina 10:
— Newton was 5-21 passing, with two INT’s; not good.
— Carolina lost seven of last nine games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-6 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Last nine games, Panthers were outscored 128-63 in second half.

— Dolphins won last four games, giving up 11.5 ppg.
— Miami gave up four TD’s on opponents’ last 47 drives.
— Dolphins allowed 17 or less points in their wins.
— Dolphins are 0-7 when they give up more than 17 points.
— Miami is 22-12-3 ATS in last 36 home games.

Cincinnati 41, Pittsburgh 10:
— Steelers are 0-2-1 in last three games, giving up 41-41 points in last two.
— Bengals took opening kickoff, drove 75 yards for quick 7-0 lead.
— Bengals led 31-3 at halftime after a pick-6 with 0:23 left in half.
— Pittsburgh is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games on artificial turf.

— Cincy’s first four drives: 34 plays, 226 yards, 24 points.
— Mixon ran ball for 165 yards, two TD’s.
— Cincinnati scored 31+ points in five of last six games.
— Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
— Cincinnati won three of last four series games.

Denver 28, LA Chargers 13:
— Chargers lost four of last six games, after a 4-1 start.
— LA’s first four drives: 21 plays, 64 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
— Bolts are 6-10-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
— Last five games, Chargers lost field position by 8+ yards four times.

— Denver is 25-7 ATS in their last 32 post-bye games
— Surtain broke game open with third quarter pick-6.
— Nine of 11 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 26.6 ppg in losses.

San Francisco 34, Minnesota 26:
— Over is 5-0 in Vikings road games this year.
— Nwangwu ran a kickoff back 99 yards for a Viking TD.
— Minnesota has been outscored 91-22 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Minnesota has led by 7+ points in every game this year.

— 49ers won four of their last five games.
— San Francisco outgained Vikings 423-323.
— Last three games, 49ers ran ball for 156-171-208 yards.
— Niners had 10-yard advantage in field position.

Green Bay 36, LA Rams 28
— Rams were 0-3 in November, giving up 28-31-36 points.
— Stafford threw a pick-6 all three of those games.
— Last three games, Rams are minus-5 in turnovers.
— Last seven games, LA converted only 28-83 on 3rd down.

— Packers won/covered all five home games TY.
— Green Bay started three drives inside Rams’ 30-yard line.
— Pack is 11-5-2 ATS last 18 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last three years, Green Bay is 9-0 ATS coming off a loss.

Baltimore 16, Cleveland 10:
— Browns scored 17 or fewer points in six of last seven games.
— Cleveland ran ball 17 times for only 40 yards.
— Last four games, Cleveland converted 16-56 third down plays.
— Browns are 2-6 ATS in last eight AFC North road games.

— Jackson threw INT’s on 3 straight drives in 2nd quarter.
— NFL teams had lost 52 games in row when throwing 4+ INTs.
— Baltimore’s last three wins were by 3-3-6 points.
— Ravens won 23 of last 27 series games.

— USC hired 38-year old Lincoln Riley as its new football coach; Riley went 55-10 in his time coaching the Sooners. Unclear if Oklahoma’s bolting to the tougher SEC was a factor in Riley’s decision to jump ship.

Baseball signings:
— Toronto signed P Kevin Gausman to a 5-year, $110M deal.
— Texas signed SS Marcus Semien to a 7-year, $175M deal.
— Rangers also signed P Jon Gray for four years, $56M
— Marlins gave P Sandy Alcantara a 5-year, $65M extension.
— Minnesota gave OF Byron Buxton a 7-year, $100M deal.
 

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ORLANDO is 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 5-23 ATS (-20.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game in the current season.

WASHINGTON
is 194-247 ATS (-77.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1996.

PORTLAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.

NEW ORLEANS are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA
Dunkel

Monday, November 29


YzRVekb.png
 

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NBA

Monday, November 29


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Orlando @ Philadelphia
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 11 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando

Denver @ Miami
Denver
Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Charlotte @ Chicago
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Chicago's last 16 games when playing Charlotte

Oklahoma City @ Houston
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Indiana @ Minnesota
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

Cleveland @ Dallas
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Cleveland is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Washington @ San Antonio
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing Washington

Portland @ Utah
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
Utah is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Portland

New Orleans @ LA Clippers
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Orleans's last 11 games on the road
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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