Zogby Poll for Saturday: Obama up 49-44

[primetime21+]

http://www.zogby.com/main.htm

Despite the fact that mccain had an isolated good day of polling, he is still trailing Obama by according to Zogby:

Released: 11-01-2008
Subscribers can login here: https://interactive.zogby.com/clickon/index2.cfm
Next Release: 11-02-08, 1:00AM
​

UTICA, New York -- Republican John McCain made a small gain against Democrat Barack Obama and has pulled back within the margin of error, now trailing Obama by five points, 49.1% to 44.1%, the latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone poll shows.


arty:arty:arty:

 

[Willie99]

And now for the unedited words.
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http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN3134134020081101





McCain, who made solid gains in Friday's single day of polling, sliced Obama's lead among independents from 15 points to 6 points and among women from 9 points to 4 points.


"There is no doubt that McCain made some gains," said pollster John Zogby. "It is enough to raise the question, is McCain making a move?"


Obama's support dropped below the 50 percent mark after two consecutive days at that level. McCain's support has never moved above the 45 percent mark in the more than three weeks the tracking poll has been taken.


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are those gains on Friday an abberation? will know on Sunday

 

[primetime21+]

And now for the unedited words.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN3134134020081101





McCain, who made solid gains in Friday's single day of polling, sliced Obama's lead among independents from 15 points to 6 points and among women from 9 points to 4 points.


"There is no doubt that McCain made some gains," said pollster John Zogby. "It is enough to raise the question, is McCain making a move?"


Obama's support dropped below the 50 percent mark after two consecutive days at that level. McCain's support has never moved above the 45 percent mark in the more than three weeks the tracking poll has been taken.


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are those gains on Friday an abberation? will know on Sunday

Don't know if we have to wait until sunday. There should be a few national polls out there today like Rasmussen and Gallup.

 

[Willie99]

Don't know if we have to wait until sunday. There should be a few national polls out there today like Rasmussen and Gallup.

OK, I was just sticking to your poll in your thread.

 

[primetime21+]

Obama lead up to 5 in Rasmussen

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Barack Obama with 51% of the vote, John <nobr>McCain </nobr> with 46%. The race continues to remain remarkably stable at the national level--this is the 37th straight day that Obama’s support has been between 50% and 52% (see trends).
Nearly a third of voters say they have already cast their ballot and Obama leads by nine among this group. Obama also has a similar lead among the small group who have not voted but still plan to vote early. The candidates are essentially even among those who plan to vote on Tuesday.

 

[Legend-I-Aint]

The polls could be tightening but this does not mean that Obama couldn't still win the electoral college in a landslide.

 

[gtc08]

polls are meaningless. i said this before, 1/3rd of the country has already voted. electoral college is only thing that matters.

 

[Legend-I-Aint]

polls are meaningless. i said this before, 1/3rd of the country has already voted. electoral college is only thing that matters.

I don't think they are entirely meaningless as they do help shape public opinion. The electoral college is all that matters though.

 

[primetime21+]

polls are meaningless. i said this before, 1/3rd of the country has already voted. electoral college is only thing that matters.

And according to rasmussen today:
"Nearly a third of voters say they have already cast their ballot and Obama leads by nine among this group."

- Presuming Rasmussen is correct, and i have no reason to think otherwise, its almost at the point where Obama has an existing lead that is virtually insurmountable and it's not even election day. As an Obama supporter, i have to admit that there is something very wrong with that.

 

[primetime21+]

Another good national poll for Obama today

New York, NY - Today's Diageo/Hotline Daily Tracker Poll finds that Obama-Biden lead McCain-Palin among likely voters, 51%-44%, with 5% undecided.

​

<table align="center" border="1" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td>
</td> <td>Likely Voters**</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Obama-Biden</td> <td>51%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>McCain-Palin</td> <td>44%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Undecided</td> <td>5%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

n=876 - Margin of Error = +/- 3.3%​

* Based on 902 interviews conducted October 29-31.

 

[primetime21+]

I don't think they are entirely meaningless as they do help shape public opinion. The electoral college is all that matters though.

We all know that the electoral college is all that matters. However, if a candidate, for either party, has a 6 or 7 point lead nationally its virtually impossible for that candidate to lose. Even if a candidate gets 2 or 3 percent lead its very unlikely for him to lose the electoral college unless one candidate just demolishes in the few states he wins.

 

[gtc08]

yea i said from the get go early voting would kill mccain. and him being a republican. and palin.

the sarah palin costume was one of the most popular ones this year. that should tell you enough.

 

[Legend-I-Aint]

We all know that the electoral college is all that matters. However, if a candidate, for either party, has a 6 or 7 point lead nationally its virtually impossible for that candidate to lose. Even if a candidate gets 2 or 3 percent lead its very unlikely for him to lose the electoral college unless one candidate just demolishes in the few states he wins.

Do you believe polls can shape public opinion?

 

[primetime21+]

Do you believe polls can shape public opinion?

Of course it can.

 

[RobFunk]

Do you believe polls can shape public opinion?

I think they can. In 2004 when Kerry and Bush were polling close, some voters saw that and felt more comfortable with the incumbent.

You are not too far off with that thinking in my opinion.

 

[Legend-I-Aint]

And according to rasmussen today:
"Nearly a third of voters say they have already cast their ballot and Obama leads by nine among this group."

- Presuming Rasmussen is correct, and i have no reason to think otherwise, its almost at the point where Obama has an existing lead that is virtually insurmountable and it's not even election day. As an Obama supporter, i have to admit that there is something very wrong with that.

I would think you would want to keep this information quiet. If I'm an Obama backer and I see he is leading with a third of the votes already cast I might just say "ta heck with it" and not go and vote. Obama has it in the bag.