Your a book, what do you do

[winbet]

Its a bit slow here so I'll ask a question. Your a Book and your linesman has given you a Baseball Total of 8.5 but you have a lean for the over.

Do you stay at 8.5 -105 or move to 9 and give plus Money your lean knowing landing on 9 is at least a 10/1 shot. :drink:

 

[thinkmcflythink]

i stay at 8.5 when you start playing with the lines the betting gods will get you.

 

[nhoj]

8.5 -135

 

[BronxCheer+]

9 is a very important number in baseball, I would use it 9 depending on what the rest have, for example if they had 8.5 over -120 I would probably use 9 flat
If they had 8.5 flat I would use 9 un -120 etc etc

 

[winbet]

Just to clarify, the line is over 8.5 -105. To go on to 9, the line would be over 9 +117 :drink:

 

[BronxCheer+]

I would use 9+117 on the over just to be on the safe side

 

[winbet]

I wo uld use 9+117 on the over just to be on the safe side

Understood, but once again, considering the push on 9 is over 10/1 you are now giving plus cash your own lean. :drink:

 

[chowie]

8.5-140

 

[winbet]

8.5 -135

thats not a lean, thats gambling :drink:

 

[BronxCheer+]

my point was I will try and stay as much as I can on numbers like 7 or 9, thats being said then yes I woud, I would probably just lower the moneyline on the over to mabe a 9+110 instead of +117

 

[OnWisconsin]

why give plus money? if your lean is making you sweat, why not go with 9 at even money or even -105, try to force the action on to someone else giving the same value at 8.5? after all, what does the linesmaker get paid to do? i'd leave it alone or become my own linemaker....

 

[BronxCheer+]

because if you do that you are gambling with the companies money, and the players will pass and look for another book

 

[nhoj]

Whats the right answer winbet??? Isn't a lean in a way gambling anyway?

 

[winbet]

Glad to see some posts. the reason for the thread is because the vast majority of posters on here view things from a punters point of view where to be successful at sports betting you have to appreciate things from a Books view.

What the majority dont understand and what happens on a regular basis is, as a Book you wont take any Money at the ridiculous odds offered. Thats why some Books are nothing short of gambling at good odds (vig) suddenly, offering the extra 1/2 run can be problematic.

The answer by the way is you stay at 8.5 -105 knowing any idiots betting the under who have read all the shit on the internet will buy the 1/2 for more than its worth, once you have soaked up all that extra vig on the under you then move the total to 8 and get the over bettors at silly vig thus giving you a nice return regardless of the chances of a push.

Of course this only works in soft markets but not where there is heavy money on one side. In that instance the Books quickly reavaluate the Game, disregard their now old bets and start again. This brings up another point, Books look on a moving price as just another market, they may have laid something but thats the same as a bet yesterday, now its a new market fornew bets.:drink:

 

[nhoj]

I guess I wasnt thinking in the right direction but knowing my sharper players would be betting early I would raise the juice hoping to grab a few taking a shot at the soft number. I guess it has alot to do with your customers also.

 

[X-Files]

Its a bit slow here so I'll ask a question. Your a Book and your linesman has given you a Baseball Total of 8.5 but you have a lean for the over.

Do you stay at 8.5 -105 or move to 9 and give plus Money your lean knowing landing on 9 is at least a 10/1 shot. :drink:

Neither!

Being the super sharp that i have always been since the age of 2,
i would create the 8 and 3/4 baseball totals line, in accord with
the geniuses of what is called "football" on God's Island of England.

God save the Queen! Brittania rules the universe & the underverse!

:drink:

"You think you know who you are. What's to come.
You haven't even begun yet."

 

[OnWisconsin]

Glad to see some posts. the reason for the thread is because the vast majority of posters on here view things from a punters point of view where to be successful at sports betting you have to appreciate things from a Books view.

What the majority dont understand and what happens on a regular basis is, as a Book you wont take any Money at the ridiculous odds offered. Thats why some Books are nothing short of gambling at good odds (vig) suddenly, offering the extra 1/2 run can be problematic.

The answer by the way is you stay at 8.5 -105 knowing any idiots betting the under who have read all the shit on the internet will buy the 1/2 for more than its worth, once you have soaked up all that extra vig on the under you then move the total to 8 and get the over bettors at silly vig thus giving you a nice return regardless of the chances of a push.

Of course this only works in soft markets but not where there is heavy money on one side. In that instance the Books quickly reavaluate the Game, disregard their now old bets and start again. This brings up another point, Books look on a moving price as just another market, they may have laid something but thats the same as a bet yesterday, now its a new market fornew bets.:drink:

hmmmmm.....:think2:

 

[OnWisconsin]

Glad to see some posts. the reason for the thread is because the vast majority of posters on here view things from a punters point of view where to be successful at sports betting you have to appreciate things from a Books view.

What the majority dont understand and what happens on a regular basis is, as a Book you wont take any Money at the ridiculous odds offered. Thats why some Books are nothing short of gambling at good odds (vig) suddenly, offering the extra 1/2 run can be problematic.

The answer by the way is you stay at 8.5 -105 knowing any idiots betting the under who have read all the shit on the internet will buy the 1/2 for more than its worth, once you have soaked up all that extra vig on the under you then move the total to 8 and get the over bettors at silly vig thus giving you a nice return regardless of the chances of a push.

Of course this only works in soft markets but not where there is heavy money on one side. In that instance the Books quickly reavaluate the Game, disregard their now old bets and start again. This brings up another point, Books look on a moving price as just another market, they may have laid something but thats the same as a bet yesterday, now its a new market fornew bets.:drink:

hmmmmm....:think2:

 

[OnWisconsin]

Glad to see some posts. the reason for the thread is because the vast majority of posters on here view things from a punters point of view where to be successful at sports betting you have to appreciate things from a Books view.

What the majority dont understand and what happens on a regular basis is, as a Book you wont take any Money at the ridiculous odds offered. Thats why some Books are nothing short of gambling at good odds (vig) suddenly, offering the extra 1/2 run can be problematic.

The answer by the way is you stay at 8.5 -105 knowing any idiots betting the under who have read all the shit on the internet will buy the 1/2 for more than its worth, once you have soaked up all that extra vig on the under you then move the total to 8 and get the over bettors at silly vig thus giving you a nice return regardless of the chances of a push.

Of course this only works in soft markets but not where there is heavy money on one side. In that instance the Books quickly reavaluate the Game, disregard their now old bets and start again. This brings up another point, Books look on a moving price as just another market, they may have laid something but thats the same as a bet yesterday, now its a new market fornew bets.:drink:

thank you for that....a nugget of wisdom that i must say i will remember....if not ever fully comprehend, but i think i understand....(<)<

 

[ElTaino]

unless you think the over is going to get hammered, leave it. if you do get hammered, raise your line and dump the 8.5 onto another book if you are scared or over extended