Not gonna knock your opinion. Schedule is considered.
Problem with pointing out a weak SOS is it doesn’t really “prove” anything
Beating up on bad teams normally correlates to being successful and a top tier NFL team.
i think there is something to consider in the sense of “this team hasn’t been tested”, but you can’t make any conclusions about the team being fraudenlent or something to that degree. I think there is just less known
We see this dynamic a lot in college
Nobody said anything about htf could you have the Jets favored on the road over Minnesota. Now the NFC North has had a schedule outsode the division. I don't have but a point difference between Philly and KC on schedule. An avg of the opponent on the rating the week that you played them. I've been suspect of the AFC West early . Surprise teams get questioned always.
I have made good money over the years betting against a team that has a weak SOS against a team that has a good SOS but lesser W-L record.
NO not every time, but it is a factor.
In college I had a good 3 yr bowl run simply betting against the Pac 12, conference value shifts and the linemakers adjust, too.
Agree:
Strength of schedule is crucial in college games and most bettors never consider why a team is favored until its brought out to compare.
Its very important in NFL- especially out of division/conference games.
This from the guy who has been in the hole from his first pick this season and is currently near the bottom in the Rx forum handicapping contest standings.
Go figure lol
You just put the jinx on KC for Sunday. Cincy it is ?
Its not so much of the Bengals being undervalued. They were a FG favorite last week on the road at first place Tennessee. Its prob more of KC being overvalued and a very popular public side.
