Wrong team favored

Search

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,669
Tokens
I see a whopping 5 of them this week. Vikings, Chargers, Commanders, Chiefs, Lions. Who's the bait? Think you can take the points against all
 

Active member
Handicapper
Joined
Jun 18, 2007
Messages
77,679
Tokens
Vikings -3 to the Jets at home is fishy bait.
Jets +3
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2017
Messages
21,698
Tokens
Everyone will think KC wants revenge and will win just like they did with Tenny
This is their toughest remaining game and the 1st of 3 road games in a row

Jets got the D like Dallas to beat Viking on the other hand everyone thinks Mike White is the savior again like last year when he lloked great beating the Bengals. But he was trash in his other games


Redskins play that weird back to back with the Giants shit with a bye in between
Giants have Skins/Eagles/Skins
Looks klike they probably split
But who wins which?
Feels like Giants need it more with Eagles on deck then @ skins

Vikings and Lions are definitely not wrong team favored
The other 3 maybe
Chiefs definitely imo
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,669
Tokens
My Jax figures have been surprisingly high. Finally paid off on the field I had them a pick em at home to baltimore. Signature win there I don't give the Lions much chance. Jax by 3 or 4
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,669
Tokens
Skins getting a lot of attention while it's backed off of the G men. All Ron gambles worked in Philadelphia. Still the qb is doing it with a low 80s rating and they give more on the ground than they churn. Natural ebbs flows of the NFL should work. I'll be aggressive with the home team.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,669
Tokens
Now Jax wrestled favoritism away. All the way to 1.5 just now. If your book is slow then go now . Wouldn't doubt if this swells to 2 5
 

Member
Joined
Jul 16, 2007
Messages
9,697
Tokens
I think Minnesota wins by a touchdown or more at home against the jets.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Jan 18, 2017
Messages
8,460
Tokens
I see a whopping 5 of them this week. Vikings, Chargers, Commanders, Chiefs, Lions. Who's the bait? Think you can take the points against all
I agree on a few that you mentioned. Prob is there's not enough value. A wrong team favored giving points over a key number such as Seattle vs the Raiders last week (+4) and you have value. A few of these are just getting 1-1.5 not enough for me to jump.

With the few that I agree Cin is the closest to value but I'd have to get at least 3 or 3 1/2.

You forgot 1 and its the LAR and they are giving us a gift at +8. That line suggests Seattle would be favored by 14 at home vs the LAR which is pretty close to the Kc/LAR line last week. Sea is no KC.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,669
Tokens
I think Seattle is every bit as good as KC so agree to disagree. I also disagree with your view on value. If you think they're going to give you upwards of 5 points value ever than your estimation needs to be rethought. Kc plays in a doormat division but is pretty good by themselves. 3 possibly 4 teams in the afc are better Public affinity for both kc and minny will keep these 2 play against sound through the week. You might want to move on the others. 1 to 1.5 is plenty value in the nfl unless they don't mind you taking .
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Jan 18, 2017
Messages
8,460
Tokens
I think Seattle is every bit as good as KC so agree to disagree. I also disagree with your view on value. If you think they're going to give you upwards of 5 points value ever than your estimation needs to be rethought. Kc plays in a doormat division but is pretty good by themselves. 3 possibly 4 teams in the afc are better Public affinity for both kc and minny will keep these 2 play against sound through the week. You might want to move on the others. 1 to 1.5 is plenty value in the nfl unless they don't mind you taking .
You're wrong because I got 6 points of value with Las Vegas last week.

If you think Seattle is every bit as good as Kansas City you may want to rethink how you rate teams.

1-1 1/2 points of "value" may be enough for you but it's not enough for me. I have personal lines that I use and if I'm not getting value over a key number I don't place the wager. I have to say it works pretty well for me.

Good luck.
 

L5Y, USC is 4-0 vs SEC, outscoring them 167-48!!!
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
7,025
Tokens
I think Seattle is every bit as good as KC so agree to disagree. I also disagree with your view on value. If you think they're going to give you upwards of 5 points value ever than your estimation needs to be rethought. Kc plays in a doormat division but is pretty good by themselves. 3 possibly 4 teams in the afc are better Public affinity for both kc and minny will keep these 2 play against sound through the week. You might want to move on the others. 1 to 1.5 is plenty value in the nfl unless they don't mind you taking .
Seattle isn't even close to KC
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,669
Tokens
They get em week 16 . We will see . Fading kc vs any worthy team. Overrated.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Jan 18, 2017
Messages
8,460
Tokens
Glad I'm not in the majority. Have fun with your jazz baths.
"Seattle is just as good as KC" after losing at home to two mediocre teams (Tampa Bay & Las Vegas) ruins any credibility you may have had. As of today they aren't even one of the NFC playoff teams. Please tell me you live in Seattle lol
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2017
Messages
21,698
Tokens
So, Seattle is giving up 50 more yards a game and 3 more points defensively
KC has the far superior QB
And Seattle only has 120 more total rushing yards
One team is 9-2 with a history of winning
The other 6-5 with no history of winning with Geno

I am confused how they are just as good
Put them on a neutral field and the winner get 1 bilion dollars so they have something to play for
Who are you betting on SU to win?
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,669
Tokens
"Seattle is just as good as KC" after losing at home to two mediocre teams (Tampa Bay & Las Vegas) ruins any credibility you may have had. As of today they aren't even one of the NFC playoff teams. Please tell me you live in Seattle lol
I think those are less than mediocre. You give too much credibility to how much value you can find, also to the Chefs. I'll fade them against cincy this week Seattle coming up and every game they might play in playoffs. So there you've got these 5 and a couple more to handicap me since you can't them.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Jan 18, 2017
Messages
8,460
Tokens
I think those are less than mediocre. You give too much credibility to how much value you can find, also to the Chefs. I'll fade them against cincy this week Seattle coming up and every game they might play in playoffs. So there you've got these 5 and a couple more to handicap me since you can't them.
I can't make sense of any of that but good luck to you lol
 

Member
Joined
Jan 5, 2008
Messages
3,021
Tokens
Sea is not Kc worthy. Sea D is just too bad imo. Plus a very easy schedule masking the record. Sea can be a good dog team. They got Over valued off the record and early start

However Sea I’d play vs KC. Sea has pieces to score if aggressive vs KC. And win the shootout type game vs KC. The wild 38-36 or 41-38 type game. Odd as it sounds, Sea is not close enough to KC but one of a few teams I’d argue matchup wise to beat KC. If they play aggressive. Most team shell up vs KC to eat clock. Sea has the RB and WR duo to press the vulnerability in KC D.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,623
Messages
13,453,008
Members
99,426
Latest member
bodyhealthtechofficia
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com