Would you all be kind enough to give me some solid conservative advice?

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I'm down $1200 for the year which is a lot for me being a lowly underpaid tree surgeon. But I'm having a good week up $340. I would to have the other $860 back by the end of football Sunday. Should I bet $300 on a single team at 1 PM? And then put $560 on another single at 4 PM or 830. Or vice versa. Or should I mess around with a $200 2 teamer or a $150 3 teamer ? Some solid pics would be good as well . Thanks for all your help. There's a lot of sharp players on this board. Problem is I'm not one of them!! Earlier in the day I mentioned I like the Packers and the consensus is shooting me down so I'm gonna scrap that play
 

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Don't do any 2 teamers or 3 teamers. Go to the RX LVH contest thread and the actual LVH thread here and pick a game that successful people are selecting.
 

sdf

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take your lumps and pay it off. if you chase and try to win your negative balance back with huge bets, you're just asking for trouble.
 

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No decent capper is going to offer you any concrete advise on how to win back your losses in one day. Manage your bankroll the rest of the season and see if you can cut into the debt. Follow the top picks from the LVH post, enfuego, parga, etc. GL!
 

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Last two post are balls-on accurate.

Funny.... you asked for conservative advice.... then listed dog-stupid choices.

Proceed with caution. Stick to reasonable units.
 

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take your lumps and pay it off. if you chase and try to win your negative balance back with huge bets, you're just asking for trouble.

I'm paid up for the year just I've been keeping track and that's how much I'm down
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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top play in the Super contest is 11-3 - This week Buffalo is the top play.
 

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Thanks for the advice guys I knew guys are intelligent and smart players
 

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Mark my word, Houston covers ATS @ Colts. If you want my advice, QUIT NOW. This isn't for you! GL
 

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Don't care if the top pick at the Hilton is 11-3 so far, no way I'm playing against Aaron Rodgers right now. I'm not saying Bills won't cover but I think there's better options out there. Good luck.
 

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Remember its a marathon..not a sprint....never ever chase ..keep chiping away ...its better to lose 500 than 1500!!! p.s if u are depending soley on the rx cappers and not doing your on home work on games then you might consider another hobby!!!
 

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Remember its a marathon..not a sprint....never ever chase ..keep chiping away ...its better to lose 500 than 1500!!! p.s if u are depending soley on the rx cappers and not doing your on home work on games then you might consider another hobby!!!

Thanks for the advice my friend. I'm An arborist so I gamble with my life every day climbing trees. Been playing The ponies since I was 18 years old. It turned me into degenerate spend a lot of time and don't win much money.actually that's an untruth I'm down about 80 K lifetime. Just missed the pick six though that would've paid 150,000 had to take it written down in the money in my pocket but figured I wouldn't win so didn't bet it. Been playing football for three years. Up 3500 the first year up 1600 the second year and this year I'm down about 1200. It's fun to watch the games and try and predict the future and compared to horses its only two teams compared to 10 horses. My book is an old-timer you can bet till Sunday morning you can bet money lines. But he doesn't move the line. What he makes it in the morning is where it stays. So if the prime time game starts moving I can get appointment have for free. Brilliant
 

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"Getting it back" or "getting even" should not be a consideration.
 

Dogfather
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Bilbo said "I'm down $1200 for the year which is a lot for me being a lowly underpaid tree surgeon. But I'm having a good week up $340. I would to have the other $860 back by the end of football Sunday."

You don't owe any money so what I can't figure out is why you would like all your losses back by the end of the week. DO NOT TRY TO GET YOUR LOSSES BACK IN ONE DAY. Help me understand why you would risk losing $300 and $560 on a single game. Being down $1200 is not a lot for $500 bettors, but you are not a $500 bettor so do not start now or there is a good chance you will wake up Monday morning mad at yourself for giving back your weekly winnings and then even more.

Sure, you might win and get it all back, but that's not the way you play. You have done OK the past three years, don't dig a bigger hole for yourself by betting too much in one day.

PS: Wish you were in Calif. I've got two big pine trees that the drought killed which need to come down.
 

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Bilbo,

My recommendation is to VERY SELECTIVE on your plays. Play one play you feel is the very best on the day. If you win, you have won that day. If you lose, that's ok, move on to the next day. Play the same amount every game. If you follow these simple rules, you will find if you lose it is not total devastion, and when you win, you feel pretty good knowing you made some cash that day. BIG PICTURE.

Good luck to you!
 

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listens up bubbalouski gamblin is a marathons not a sprints. their or guy here tell u that or other who bet with their heart not wallat. i see guy go 0-4 then sudenly they bet 20 "unit" (lol) on one gm to recope there loss. dont see thaat to be a good gambler. i would say take the dough today an relax or if u have to put thebworkbin like i do and disect thebgms. gluck to u n merry chrismas
 

709

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Bilbo, this is a fun game to play today. I would have bet on NE Over for the reason: NE played 3 straights under and now coming home which they can score over 30 pts at home and to play w/ the team that they have their 1st lost of season,div. game, the game that they were up 20-10 at half and came apart in the heat of Miami. They revenge this game and if they win, they ll clinch the div. All factor could make this game a high scoring game. No matter if NE cover or not
 

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