Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (8)

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Soooo, HOU is up 21-0 at the half, SF then benches their QB, and HOU proceeds to let Davis catch not one, not two, but 3 TD's. Meanwhile, HOU kicks a 50 yd FG for their only score in the 2nd half. Riiiight.

Wormy POW now stands at an incredible 3-3-1. Plays are 25-18-1 overall. Teasers are 7-1.

Gotta go against the Niners one more time. They had their bye wk to prep for HOU, and Alex Smith at least got something out of it. But, they still managed only 59 yds rushing, and less than 300 yds overall, against an improving, but still mediocre "D". Enter IND (-13). Their "D" has given up only 4 rushing TD's, and 2 passing (with 6 INT's & 16 sacks), mostly w/out Bob Sanders. He, Wayne, and Freeney are all expected to start for a high-flying IND team, led by THE best QB in the league. 13 seems high, but only JAX in their season opener, and their slugfest w/MIA after that, would not have covered that spread (24 ppg margin since then). And despite being up 28-6 in the 4th vs STL, Peyton was still in, and led the "O" down the field for yet another TD. Gotta like that when you got a big spread to cover. SF's WR's are better (slightly) then STL, but other than that, STL's "O" is similar or better than SF's. So the pressure IND's front 4 got on Bulger should be conquerable to that of what Smith will be experiencing. Because, RT Pashos is out, so the merry-go-round on the right side of SF's line continues. Robert Mathis with 5 sacks & 3 FF's on the right side should give SF's protection fits all gm. Any double teams there will be foolish, with Freeney & his 7 sacks coming from the left. So unless Shaun Hill comes off the bench to lead 3 TD's in the 2nd half, I'd say IND has this gm in hand.

SF 9
IND 34

Wish me luck, as I wish you luck! BOL!!!

Oh yeah, comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:

ARI -10: ARI's "D" has got to be licking their chops. The QB they forced 6 INT's out of last yr, comes limping into their house this time. To make things worse, 2 of Delhomme's more reliable targets in WR Mushin and TE Rosario, are out. Ouch. Oh yeah, and ARI sports the #1 run "D" in the land, so Delhomme will have to lead this team. Ouch ouch.

HOU -3: I'm giving HOU one more chance. Schaub is doing his best work on the road. HOU's "D" will be good enough to stop BUF's "O", which is the 6th worst (below even WAS, STL, & DET). Fitzpatrick workable, but no better than Edwards.

GB -2 1/2: This is more a hunch, but I just feel Rodgers does his usual, but the difference from the gm @ MIN will be GB's "D". I say they're twice as fired up for this one, and the crowd will be a factor. Not to mention the weather, where Favre's old bones tend to break down. He got his win in a great gm for him @ MIN. Could he repeat in a cold, hostile environment?

Wormy Teaser:

DEN +16
HOU +9 1/2
IND PK
MIA o27 1/2
 

Chomping at the bits
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I've been riding the Colts' money train as well, and my crunching tells me there's no reason to get off this week. BOL!
 

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Great news, Crunch! I swear, I don't need good luck, I just need no luck!
 

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Adding:

DEN +3 1/2:
Feel DEN matches up well with BAL, and bye wk makes up for going on the road. I really think DEN has a better "D" than BAL right now! And, DEN's "O" a little more reliable than BAL's too. With the hook, I feel safe that even if DEN loses, it'll be close.
 
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Adding:

DEN +3 1/2: Feel DEN matches up well with BAL, and bye wk makes up for going on the road. I really think DEN has a better "D" than BAL right now! And, DEN's "O" a little more reliable than BAL's too. With the hook, I feel safe that even if DEN loses, it'll be close.


Balty is averaging 28 a game..
 

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Balty is averaging 28 a game..

True Gyne, I meant to say that DEN's "O" isn't more explosive, but more reliable in the sense that they'll play it safe, get first downs, and play for the FG if need-be. Whereas BAL's "O" kinda relies on the big play to score. And against one of the better pass rushes/secondaries in the league, I'd bet against the BAL big play.

Are you with BAL this wk, Gyno? GL either way you go.
 
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Yes, I'm going against Denver again.. They have burned me a couple of times, haven't learned my lesson yet.

GL man
 

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True Gyne, I meant to say that DEN's "O" isn't more explosive, but more reliable in the sense that they'll play it safe, get first downs, and play for the FG if need-be. Whereas BAL's "O" kinda relies on the big play to score. And against one of the better pass rushes/secondaries in the league, I'd bet against the BAL big play.

Are you with BAL this wk, Gyno? GL either way you go.

Orton is a weak quarterback.. but he is amazingly safe.. The dude throws it out when he needs to.. he listens to his coach and hasent done anything dumb on his own account all season.. This may sound like a bad quarterback to alot of people.. but with recievers like Marshal, Royal and Stokley you dont need to be Paton to get completions.. Completions + very low chance of turnovers = win.. its how they beat the patriots, and its how they will beat the ravens.

Denvers offence is explosive and safe.. plus the running game gets it done... On D.. Dumerville will get a sack or two.. bailey will keep great coverage with a very high chance of interceptions all game...

Denver has been very good to me this season.. I wish i would have started with them earlyer.. but really, who thought they would be such a rock solid team?? no one.. GL and your pick for denver is solid..
 

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Mimic, we are in total agreement. Orton plays the gm to not screw over his great "D". Bailey & Dawkins are terrific veteran presences on the field, and Nolan is a good DC. BAL clearly misses Rex Ryan.
 

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Well, IND comes out flat as a pancake, as SF plays like they're in the super bowl. I guess IND doesn't want to go undefeated. And BAL came out just as hard. Lots of people won on BAL, congratulations. It was never in doubt. McDaniels did not have his "O" ready for this one. Orton was lucky he didn't get picked off a few times. Sad day once again. My POW is officially cursed.
 

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