Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (4)

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In a highly public day, CIN was just one large fav to cover on the day. As predicted, CIN's "D" dominated the hapless Locker led "O" & AJ Green returned to contribute 100 yds to help pace great balance "O". The 1st half cover was stress-free as well. However, the rest of my slate including my normally dependable teaser crushed any hopes of a positive day. DAL & STL's "D"s took the day off but both still scored a TD themselves to destroy my under, then MIA was a complete embarrassment @ hm vs the pathetic Chiefs. GB & DET both had too many TO's on "O" for my teaser's over play. Even my additional play of CLE came up just short @ BAL.


POW 2-1, Teasers 1-2, Overall 4-8-1


IND (-6 1/2 @ -110) got a much needed win after an 0-2 start. Sure it was against the awful Jaguars, but their 1st 2 losses were @ DEN (almost completed comeback) & vs PHI in a thriller on MNF. So those were 2 marquee opponents that IND had great chances to beat. Then against a much lesser opponent, IND blew out JAX. I believe that experience will help them as they continue div play. It is beginning to look like only HOU will be competing w/IND for the South. Everyone knows about Luck & their always dangerous "O", but it's their "D" that's stepping it up w/out all-Pro Robert Mathis. This unit is not particularly stout in any 1 area, rather they play well enough in series. IND's run "D" is doing well @ 111 ypg, & allowing QBs to throw @ less than 60% comp rate (which is even more impressive seeing as they've faced Peyton & Foles). And now they'll likely face Charlie Whitehurst, who is a checkdown master. If IND can stuff the run, I foresee a lot of TEN punts giving Luck more possessions, which is never good for an opposing team. Rising TE Delanie Walker is questionable. If he doesn't play that will greatly hinder TEN's "O" as good ol' Chuck doesn't like to throw deep. Whitehurst also hasn't started a gm since 2011, & last played in Wk 1 of preseason. W/Locker this "O" has struggled mightily thus far, & it should only get worse here. TEN's pass "D" looks great on paper, but that's more because their run "D" is so bad teams keep the ball on the ground. This plays rt into IND's hands as Richardson is starting to improve, his oline is gaining chemistry, & Bradshaw is a threat every touch. If TEN doesn't stop the run this will be a blowout. IND owns a 5 gm win streak (SU & ATS) against TEN & there's no reason why that shouldn't continue.


TEN 13
IND 27
4 Units
1 Unit IND @ half (will update later)


BOL to all, and as always comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:


1 Unit ATL -3: There is so much public backing on Falcons here that it's scary (nearing 80% which was where DEN was last yr vs DAL & Romo had the gm of his career). But MIN has so much key injuries & although Bridgewater looked functional last wk, he's still a rookie QB starting his 1st gm. ATL's "D" isn't show stopping, but even they have the ability to succeed against a team w/out 3 "O" starters (AP, Cassel, Rudolph).


1 Unit GB -1: GB has looked awful thus far, drawing negative attention to Rodgers, Lacy, their "D" & even HC McCarthy. I think they finally get off the schneid here as CHI's run "D" should be the tonic for Lacy (faced SEA, NYJ & DET) which will help GB's pass gm against a CHI "D" that's faced 3 subpar QB's. GB cannot afford to go down 0-2 in the North.


1 Unit TB +7 1/2: Playing a hunch here as TB gets DT McCoy back who anchors the entire "D". PIT can play down to their opponents & suffered some key "D" injuries last wk that led to them pulling James Harrison out of retirement! Throw in QB Glennon getting his 1st start under Lovie's regime, Doug Martin returning, a long wk to prep, & there's a lot of variables leaning towards a tight gm in PIT.


2 Unit Wormy Teaser:


CHI +14
DET +12
SD Pk
ATL +10
 

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Got IND @ the half for -4 1/2. TEN is a notorious slow starter & that should continue w/a new QB @ the helm.
 

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Good luck today Worm! This week looks a bit dicey as I think we'll see some doggies come out barking. Agree with your TB pick- time for them to get a cover.
 

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Good luck today Worm! This week looks a bit dicey as I think we'll see some doggies come out barking. Agree with your TB pick- time for them to get a cover.
Looks scary indeed seeing how well all those big fav's did last wk. BOL to you too, Jax!

Wormy,BOL on yor picks today !
Thanks Gravy, let's hit it!!

bol wormy
Appreciate it fly! BOL to you too.

As expected, Locker is inactive, but unfortunately Delanie Walker will be starting. Let's see where the cards fall.
 

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I think you are going to have a good day. The Colts need to finish their drives with Td's instead of Fg's .

good lucky friend
 

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Love your TB angles. You may have swayed my opinion on that game.
BOL, CC
Great to hear! Hope you went w/your hunch. Thanks for stopping by.

I think you are going to have a good day. The Colts need to finish their drives with Td's instead of Fg's .

good lucky friend
Thanks United! You're having a great SEASON! Your Colts looked terrific today. But don't get too excited, it was Charlie Whitehurts @ the helm after-all. Would've been a much better day if not for my dang teaser again. I really need to start digging deeper into them. I think I'm putting them in too quickly w/out doing my due diligence.
 

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Thanks for the kind words, Johnny.

I'm surprised no one pointed out that I had GB winning yet put CHI on my teaser. That was a complete mistake & I wish someone had called me out on that. Thankfully (depending how you look @ it) ATL would've blown my teaser anyway.
 

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Nice hit on the Colts. I noticed your teaser but I honestly thought you would hit that both ways.

Next week, my friend
 

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