Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (4)

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Every yr I think my POW can go perfect, then wks like last wk happen where players like Roethlisberger & Palmer conveniently forget how to play football, that makes that dream seem an impossibility. Indeed both PHI & BUF played inspired ball, but even when those 2 QBs had receivers open or time in the pocket, they still misfired. PIT was definitely one of the worse beats I’ve ever had here at the fine RX forum. Since last wk seemed to be a dark day for the public, I’m betting this wk the house gives back.

POW 1-1-1, Teasers 2-1, Overall 7-6-1.

DEN (-3) could not imagine a better start to their title defense than this. A gritty win in their SB rematch, a test against one of the best QBs in the gm, & then a dominant performance @ CIN. Trevor Siemian has been a renaissance thus far. How proud must Kubiak be of his decision to go w/the unproven 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] yr signal caller over a veteran QB the team traded for, & their 1[SUP]st[/SUP] rd draft pick? Indeed this is not an easy rd trip as TB is forecasted for thunderstorms & 90 degree temps. However, TB’s “D” has been very weak over the top where Siemian proved he could go @ CIN last wk. So if he can overcome wet conditions & get some help from his RBs, I have no doubt Sanders & Demaryius can get open deep. On the other side of the ball is where I’m more confident. DEN has been relatively weak against the run so far, but w/Doug Martin out, Chris Sims has been terrible between the tackles. He’s done well w/screens & dump-offs, but DEN’s attacking “D” will be able to contain that. Due to digging themselves into early holes & a lack of a run gm, Winston has been forced to throw a gross amount of times. DEN’s secondary can be had, but that’s normally when the opponent’s run gm is working. If DEN’s front 7 is allowed to pin their ears back on obvious passing downs, you often get sacked QBs. Through 3 gms so far, TB has given up a league worst 101 total pts. Throw in DE Ayers being out 1 more gm & that’s less to worry about for DEN’s oline. Weather could make this close (not to mention public all over DEN), but I feel they can cover a FG @ one of the worse home field advantages in the NFL (18-41-1 ATS @ hm).

DEN 30
TB 17
4 Units

GL to all & comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:

1 Unit CHI +3: Upset of the wk. W/so much public action on DET, I had to take a look @ this one. DET has some significant injuries on “D” that’s showing up on the scoreboard. Hoyer will once again sling the pigskin, but rookie RB Howard has shown some flash so far this season. He will now be the bell cow & should have success against a reeling DET “D”. Jeffery, White & Royal give enough threat downfield for Howard & TE Miller to have success underneath. CHI’s “D” isn’t awful, so Jerrell Freeman & co just need to contain Marvin Jones because DET’s run gm is non-existent. Also putting ½ unit on ML.

1 Unit PIT -3 ½: Big Ben & PIT normally bounce back after historically bad losses like last wk. They’re back hm against a fairly strong team (but 0-4 ATS off a win), in a primetime slot. Here’s their chance to show the country that last wk was a fluke. This is also a revenge gm for PIT as they lost @ KC last yr w/out Ben. In that gm, both Antonio & Le’Veon Bell had big gms, so that shouldn’t change here. Jamal Charles also returns for KC, but he should be worked in slowly as I expect KC to go w/Spencer Ware for most snaps since he’s done well in Charles’ absence.

2 Unit Wormy Teaser:

SEA/NYJ Under 52 ½
HOU +8 ½
OAK +17
DAL +12
 

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Strong looking card my friend. Bears made my lean list but didn't make the final cut. I just don't trust their offense and Hoyer did not look good last week. I do think they have a shot at this one. It's not like Detroit (1-2) has looked good. They were very lucky to have the w at Indy in week.

Also like Denver. Tampa will be a hungry team at home. I like your reasoning on Pitt. The teaser looks strong.

Good luck Wormy Pix
 

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Wormy, Just wanted to wish you GL today as Im taking a break this week
 

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Very cool, United. We're both on DEN, so I hope the public doesn't sink our ship!

It was a rough wk last wk, so let's get it back here. :toast:
 

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And so goes this crazy NFL we all know & (most of the time) love. I go a perfect 0-4 last wk, just to come back a perfect 4-0 this wk (barring a miracle comeback by KC). Luckily I picked the big public upset & went with the big public win. I was so worried that if DET covered somehow, my DEN play @ TB was screwed. And teaser was never in jeopardy.

I hope everyone else cashed in as well.
 

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