Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (3)

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BAL got the pressure I was expecting on Rivers, but Vincent Jackson had a huge gm to keep it closer than I wanted. Ah, even if Lewis doesn't make the incredible play to end the gm, SD still wouldn't have covered.

POW now stands at 2-0.

This was a tough wk to handicap due to injuries. But, after all the major injury reports came out today, I've settled on the football Giants (-6 1/2). NYG's run "D" could be better, which worried me going against a run first team in TB. WAS kept it close because they stuck with the run despite being down early vs NY. TB's oline is weaker than WAS's, so I'm banking on NY's front 7 to contain Ward. I would like to think his old teammates would be familiar enough to know his tendencies (Cadillac may not play much w/bad knees). There's a lot of injuries on both sides, and I believe NY's depth to be far better than TB's. DE Tuck is 50/50 to play, but his b/u Kiwanuka is very able. NY's secondary is decimated, so I am concerned with how they'll defend Leftwich's quick throws. Both DAL & BUF got great pressure on Leftwich, but he was still able to create a few first downs by releasing the ball quickly, and accurately. But, NYG's pass rush is a lot better than both of those teams. But equalling out NY's injured secondary a little is WR's Bryant & his replacement Stovall being doubtful. In the run gm, I think Bradshaw will have a big gm. Both WAS & DAL focused heavily on the run when Jacobs was in. So the play-action was deadly, esp vs DAL's secondary. So when Bradshaw is in, TB will have a hard time guessing if he'll get it, or Eli throws. What a luxury for Coughlin to have calling plays come Sunday. TB's "O" has one other key injury, and that's to starting C, and oline leader, Jeff Faine. With TB's oline already young & inexperienced, that loss will hurt. Rookie FA Compas will most likely start. Not good vs NYG's dreaded pass rush. What worries most is NYG's possible letdown after a huge divisional win last wk. But Coughlin's teams do relatively well following NFC East wins, which is indicative of his focus during practice.

NYG 27
TB 13

Wish me luck, and as always, all comments are welcome.
 

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Gravy, thanks for the well-wish. How's your College pix going? I just may quit college altogether, where the "good" teams underperform on a weekly basis.

Koops, I hope you tail at the right time! I was very strong on my previous 2 POW's, but this gm smells like a trap for some reason. But, there are numerous "trap" gms this week, like NO, CHI, NE, NYJ, and GB. So hopefully I picked the right one to come thru. I mean, the ONLY way NY doesn't cover is a "fix" or if NY comes out seriously, seriously flat. And that's what I try to look for when capping: A gm where only crazy circumstances can influence the win.
 

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Here's my honorable mentions:

CHI -1 1/2 Too much important injuries for SEA to overcome, despite one of the best homefields in the NFL.

NYJ -2 1/2 Lot's of experts are predicting TEN's arrival here. But if they can't pull out close victories vs PIT or HOU, then it's only going to be harder with Rex Ryan's awesome "D". Bought 1/2 pt.

DEN -1 1/2 I'm banking on Mike Nolan's "D" continuing to improve, and Jamarcus continuing to decline.

NE -4 Belicheat never loses 2 in a row. I'm really looking for Brady to finally shake the rust off and score some real pts, with Welker back. I know ATL will score on NE's "D", but I feel NE's "O" will be up to the scorefest.

Finally, the Wormy Teaser:

DET +19
NE +9
CHI +11 1/2
DEN +11 1/2
 

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the giants just won a huge emotional divisional road game spoiling the opening of jerryland T.B. just got smoked by the bills the line was 7 now is 6 with over 80% on the giants I took T.B earlier at 7:toast:
 

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the giants just won a huge emotional divisional road game spoiling the opening of jerryland T.B. just got smoked by the bills the line was 7 now is 6 with over 80% on the giants I took T.B earlier at 7:toast:

I would expect a lot of people on NY. Yes, it was a big win for the Gmen, but they're a championship team with maturity & decent coaching. And TB has injuries stemming from that BUF gm, so they're worse off now, against a much better team.

You are brave for going with TB, but at least one of us will win!
 

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Wormy,your up might early for Saturday lol and yes I still post my college plays and about .500 for the year.Only a few are above water this year as its been a strange year so far and more to come I think in the next couple of weeks.
 

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Wormy,your up might early for Saturday lol and yes I still post my college plays and about .500 for the year.Only a few are above water this year as its been a strange year so far and more to come I think in the next couple of weeks.

Ok, so it's not just me. College has been so topsy-turvy, I'm nauseous just thinking about it! Look at yesterday! Crazy.

I would say .500 in college this yr is a great average!
 

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Holy crapsticks, the Worm went perfect today. I swear I thought this was going to be the day of traps, but it turns out to be similar to Wk 1 when all the heavy fav's covered. BAL, NYJ, NO, NE, GB, NYG, and CHI all covered, which IMO were public plays. I only wish I had played a parlay today!

I got completely lucky with CHI, as SEA was running the ball well, and Seneca did what he had to. Cutler made that gm waaaaay too exciting for my tastes. The rest of my plays did ok, with DEN & NYG being the most relaxing gms. Even my small action play on DEN Under hit. Teaser hit, but too bad I didn't put a parlay on those 4. Great feeling, and hope to keep this going.
 

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No joke Bill! I was comparing sports betting to drugs yesterday. You have incredible highs, and devastating lows. I'm going to continue studying to avoid the lows!

Tonight I'm going to avoid, as sunday/monday nighters need a different type of capping that involves primetime performances. CAR has the ability to beat DAL SU. But if they get down early, DAL can roll easily. GL to anyone deciding to play tonight.
 

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Great day man and very wise avoiding 2night :toast:
 

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i love how people go the other way cause of action bet.

if anything should have rolled the j E T S jets jets jets
over tenn in the hilton contest there was over 120 pick on tenn.not the bucs there trash. Anyways BOL to all
 

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i love how people go the other way cause of action bet.

if anything should have rolled the j E T S jets jets jets
over tenn in the hilton contest there was over 120 pick on tenn.not the bucs there trash. Anyways BOL to all

Huh? I don't understand. Are you trying to say I should've made NYJ a POW instead of NYG? If so, NYG covered by 17 1/2 and the gm was never in doubt, while the Jets scored twice off of my man Mouton's kick return fumbles. If that's the Hilton's expert's best pick, they must've been squeezing during the gm. I stopped watching the Giants to watch the Jets actually, because that gm was in doubt. I felt lucky to win that one, and CHI too.
 

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Huh? I don't understand. Are you trying to say I should've made NYJ a POW instead of NYG? If so, NYG covered by 17 1/2 and the gm was never in doubt, while the Jets scored twice off of my man Mouton's kick return fumbles. If that's the Hilton's expert's best pick, they must've been squeezing during the gm. I stopped watching the Giants to watch the Jets actually, because that gm was in doubt. I felt lucky to win that one, and CHI too.



i dont think even he knows what he was talking about.
great job with your pics and the giants what do you think this week im on k.c , the g-men on the road for a third straight game :toast:
 

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Love NYG here, despite KC being better than last yr. KC is giving up 113 rypg, and 5 rushing TD's. I predict Bradshaw to have another good gm, with Jacobs scoring a TD. Eli will have a generally easy day. With Bowe a gametime decision, and Cassel playing dump-off ball all day (avg 5 ypc vs PHI), NYG's "D" should be successful. Too much pts on the road to be my POW, but will definitely be a play.

Please stop by my POW Wk 4 thread which I should put up tomorrow or friday.
 

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