Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (16)

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Boy oh boy. What a rough little stretch for the Worm. Flacco stunk it up, and BAL's "D" still almost won them the gm. I know that Holmes TD was a bad call, but that definitely wasn't the gm. If Flacco had just focused a little more this would've been an easy one. And in actuality I liked the Under more than the side, but my mild hatred of Totals kept me from making that a POW. Lesson learned.

Wormy Pix POW now stands at a ho-hum 9-5-1, and on a 2 gm slide, which is absolutely unacceptable. Hope to get back on track here.

This'll seem like a performance chasing pick, but it's not. PIT is on a roll now, having beaten NE, DAL, BAL, and are on a 5 gm win streak (4-0 ATS). TEN is on a 2 gm slide, and like the NYG are losing momentum fast. So people expect TEN to come up big at home. But, if TEN's "O" had trouble scoring, and more importantly running, on NYJ & HOU's "D", what makes people think they can do it against PIT? And TEN's success has been due largely to their run gm. When Collins has to win the gm, that's when they lose! And Collins is doing well actually, as it's his receivers that's screwing up most of the time. Which brings me to PIT. Their "D" is the best in the league right now. They are playing with so much intensity, it's no wonder Ben can play with such confidence, even if he's stinking up the joint early & often. Then, when PIT goes into the no-huddle, and Ben starts finding his receivers, boom, they win the gm in the end. The largest factor here also happens to be the largest player on "D". Albert Haynesworth is the cog that makes this whole TEN "D" go 'round. He demands double teams, which opens up the rest of the dline, and he'll occasionally bust thru that anyway. And with his pressure, the TEN secondary takes advantage. More important than his pass rush (which is great) is his run stuffing. Teams almost have to go to the DE's to run the ball. He was having a career yr, and now 275 lb rookie Jason Jones, a converted DE who has only 25 tackles on the yr, is starting at Tackle. On a lesser note, but still very important, non-stop DE Kyle Vanden Bosch is out too. I promise you, PIT's "O" will do far better than most pundits believe this sunday. Haynesworth changes the whole dynamic of this team. And his absence will not be made up against a crushing PIT "D", and an "O" that never gives up. I expect a defensive battle, so again, the Under is a great play as well.

PIT 16
TEN 9

BOL gentlemen, & comments are always welcome.
 

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Here's my honorable mentions:

TEN u34 Like last wk, we've got 2 so-so "O"s going against premiere "D"s in a critical gm. Field position battle for the coaches the whole way. My only concern is will Haynesworth's absence be so huge that PIT scores 30+ like they did vs HOU, CIN, & NE.

HOU -7 This would've been my POW if it wasn't an afternoon gm. I don't know about you guys, but I've been losing a lot on the late gms, and mostly due to bad officiating and/or fluke plays. It's also expected to rain, so HOU may have trouble passing. But, if this gm goes as it should, HOU will crush this hapless OAK team. There's locker room turmoil, the team isn't executing, and even coaches are leaving before the season ends! Star DB Asomugha's quote sums up the Raiders best: “It’s stuff you guys don’t even know, blown assignments, blown coverages, that’s where we’re at right now. We’re not close,” Asomugha said. “You can’t lie to yourself and say the gap is closed or we’re any better than we were in the past. It’s still the same league and we have the same record.”

PHI -4 1/2 Why this line is going down I'll never know. Perhaps due to Curtis & Baskett being out? Not having those talented WR's on the field definitely hurts, but they still have dynamo DeSean Jackson & Avant to start, and brings back incumbent starter Reggie Brown. With Westbrook & the resurgent McNabb anyway, I strongly believe PHI covers this with style. Besides, it's WAS's disgusting "O" that's going to do them in. Zorn will surely press here with his job apparently on the line. Again though, this is an afternoon gm.

MIA -3 (Buy 1/2 pt) Wow, people are pounding the Chefs. Why? Sure Pigpen has ignited this "O", but vs so-so "D"s. MIA ranks #11 in "O" & "D". And KC has been losing close gms, where MIA has been winning close gms. MIA is 4-2 ATS on the road, and 3-0 vs the AFC West. Why not again?
 

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Best Bet on the board sunday is the SD Supachargers +3.5! Chargers are not actually out of it and have nothing to lose! They will play loose and cover or win this.

I like Pitt again this week, not the best spot, but i like them similar to last week, just an average bet, it will be a tough game.
They are the real deal, so you will have a good chance to win!

Dont like miami in this spot. Philly is ok, can zorn get them up for the upset, don't know... probably not against a good philly d.

ok with GB and Sea for regular dog plays..

GL worm! :toast:
 

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Bill my late night friend! Wow, I was looking at SD. However, Garcia returns and SD has been awful on the east side. But, SD also has a great record in December! BOL on that one!

MIA IMO is finally giving a fair amount of pts. All the previous ATS losses were due to ridiculous spreads. MIA just wins, and they'll probably do it again vs a weak KC "D". My only worry is I'm kind of siding with the public on most of them. Hate that.

Not looking at the BUF/DEN gm?
 

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Here's my teaser special:

PIT +11
TEN u47
MIA o25
PHI +8 1/2


About as confident as last wk's Teaser. GL.
 

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the hell with the bills... their just in garbage territory this time of season, like alot of teams, cant deal with them for the rest of this season.

i like the teaser! :toast::toast::toast:
are you doing any bowl biznees? any bowl picks i can get from you?
 

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I am Bowling. I posted thoughts in Gravy & Boxslayer's threads, but for this weekend, I like Navy, Colo St, Memphis, Ari (a lot), and S.Miss. I did horribly last Bowl season, and okay the previous. I've been perfect on the championship the last 4 (knock on wood). We'll see on the rest.
 

Chomping at the bits
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BOL, wormy, I think that big PIT/TEN match up is too close to call. You are right about the performances from recent games being a good indicator though. If they stay on form PIT will win. TEN has a better head coach -- who know's, maybe it'll end up making a difference.
 

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Billbeater,

I would NEVER trust Norv Turner in the CLUTCH. How he ever became a head coach I will never know. But he sure didn't get football knowledge through osmosis with Jimmy Johnson

TB all the way.
 

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Billbeater,

I would NEVER trust Norv Turner in the CLUTCH. How he ever became a head coach I will never know. But he sure didn't get football knowledge through osmosis with Jimmy Johnson

TB all the way.

i hear ya, this guy could turn you off from a wet dream.... i just think that SD comes on strong at the end of this season but fails to make the playoffs.
lord knows they screwed up enough games already, so i think they screw people up more and win the last two to finish the season strong.
then that coach has to go, so that can be for espn to debate all summer....
GL with your plays!
:toast:
 

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Best Bet on the board sunday is the SD Supachargers +3.5! Chargers are not actually out of it and have nothing to lose! They will play loose and cover or win this.

I like Pitt again this week, not the best spot, but i like them similar to last week, just an average bet, it will be a tough game.
They are the real deal, so you will have a good chance to win!

Dont like miami in this spot. Philly is ok, can zorn get them up for the upset, don't know... probably not against a good philly d.

ok with GB and Sea for regular dog plays..

GL worm! :toast:

Supaaa-Chargers! :money8:
 

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Great call Bill! LOL, how could you possibly see that tho? SD continues their hot DEC streak!

And speaking of streaks, Wormy's isn't looking very good. This now marks a 3 gm slide for my POW. Yikes, what a difference not having James Harrison for PIT. Rookie Jason Jones stepped it up too for TEN, but I think if Harrison didn't get hurt, the score would be a lot different. However, with Ben Shitburger in there tho, maybe not. PIT blows up my POW & Teaser, so I need HOU & PHI to come up big for me to even out the losses. Man, what a horrible stretch run.
 

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Hey Worm, pitt just due for a bad game, they have played great against alot of good teams. Very hard to keep that high emotion up game after game.
If Steelies do play at Tennesse in the playoffs, take Pitt very large! :toast:

Get a little next week and alot in the playoffs! %^_
 

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Thanks Bill! The only good thing to come out of sunday (including my only win) was the Dolphins coming out of KC alive! Now for a great gm against NYJ for the division, and the greatest turnaround in the history of the NFL!! GO FINS!
 

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Week 17: I see J-E-T-S winning and Patriots winning which will put Pats in the playoffs....

Thats the way i would bet it if your gonna....
(i kinda hate the pats this year, so im not talking from a fan stand point)

Farve will win potentially his last game ever!

If you personally want miami to win, then put some on the Jets just in case.

GL Any way you play it! :toast:
 

Chomping at the bits
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Extra incentive to root for Miami next Sunday -- my bet that they'd win the AFC East made early in the season at +1000. Go Fins!
 

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