Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (14)

Search

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,993
Tokens
BAL would’ve blown out SD if not for silly offside penalties BAL’s dline was gift wrapping on 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] downs, or if BAL’s WR’s just caught half the balls they dropped on their own critical downs (2 for possible TDs). Just amazing poor play ruined what would’ve been a big day for me. PIT was the other downer for me almost taking down my teaser. Tomlin must sleep the 2 wks he’s on bye every yr.

POW 8-5, Teasers 6-7, Overall 37-29-1

MIN (-5) took advantage of CAR’s poor preparation off their bye for an exclamation mark win @ hm last wk 31-13. That likely won’t be the score this wk (although it’s very possible) against a much better “D”. That said, DE Mo Wilkerson will miss another gm which hurts NY’s pass rush. Bridgewater has shown poise down the stretch & esp last wk (120 QBR & 71% comp). Compare this to Geno Smith’s numbers last wk: 35 QBR & 53% comp. Now Rex Ryan totally sabotaged his QB vs MIA by running the ball a ridonkulous amt of times & never getting Smith a chance to get any rhythm passing. So he could set him loose here, although it’s unlikely since MIN’s run “D” is much worse than it’s pass “D” too. The big issue for me here w/NYJ is what’s the state of the locker room? What can Ryan say to them to get them fired up for a cold, miserable, no-frills matchup @ MIN? Last wk they were @ hm vs a hated div rival on primetime. I can easily see the Jets march out for warm-ups in 32 degrees & possible snow & say to each other, “Let’s get this over with & go hm.” Whatever good players there are on NY’s squad can’t possibly be motivated to play up for a lameduck HC in foul weather (no pun intended). Meanwhile on the other side MIN is still in the PO hunt, are @ hm, like their HC, & like their QB. Losing McKinnon for the yr is not good for this “O”, & w/Asiata & Tate looking like a pair of plow oxen, NY should have little problems containing them from making big plays. But, w/All-State hands Greg Jennings & the arrival of 4[SUP]th[/SUP] yr man Charles Johnson (3 straight gms w/22 or greater yd plays), Norv Turner has been able to move the ball thru the air w/the maturation of Teddy. Indeed ST’s helped greased the skids vs CAR w/2 blocked punts last wk, but MIA also blocked a punt for great field position & the game tying TD. Percy Harvin returns to the team that drafted him, but I hardly see that as a factor (already played them w/SEA). To add on to NY’s misery, their best player on “O” kicker Nick Folk is dealing w/a hip issue that likely contributed to his 2 missed FG’s that cost them the gm.

NYJ 13
MIN 24
5 Units

BOL to all, and as always comments are most welcome.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,993
Tokens
Honorable Mentions:

1 Unit MIA -3: Phew, Harbaugh is an impressive 4-0 vs MIA, ATS & SU. And I’ve watched all those dabacles, w/last yr’s tilt being just as close as MIA’s other near misses this yr against the league’s best. I think MIA plays w/passion after their run “D”s been talked about all wk. I feel Philbin will challenge his secondary to be on islands for most of the gm against BAL’s talented receivers, limiting the big plays from Flacco & Forsett. I expect scoring here, as Ngata’s suspension opens up some run lanes for Miller, & b/u TE Sims caught some important passes last wk. Mike Wallace’s chest is injured which worries me as that’s where he catches all his balls. When he does catch them.

1 Unit DEN -9 1/2: Big spread for big team @ hm. BUF’s “D” is no joke, but unless Manning implodes (which he’s yet to do @ hm) BUF will not be able to keep up w/pts. BUF’s “D” gets worn out @ Mile High as Peyton mixes it up w/CJ Anderson.

1 Unit NE -3 1/2: Belicheat just doesn’t lose back-to-back wks. You’d have to go back to Sept 2012 @ BAL (Belicheat’s kryptonite) where they lost by 1 & Torrey Smith had a career gm after his younger brother died that morning in an accident.

2 Unit Wormy Teaser:

STL +10
DEN +3
SEA +14 1/2
GB Pk
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
It would be Miami or no play for me in that one. Agree on Denver at home as that D of theirs has stepped it up. Great points about the Pats. While they may win this game the Chargers are no slouch and are at home. They are riding a 3 game winning streak. That 1/2 a point could loom big in that one. I was close to playing the Chargers but also didn't want to go against Brady to lose two in a row.

Good luck Wormy Pix
 

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,993
Tokens
it would be miami or no play for me in that one. Agree on denver at home as that d of theirs has stepped it up. Great points about the pats. While they may win this game the chargers are no slouch and are at home. They are riding a 3 game winning streak. That 1/2 a point could loom big in that one. I was close to playing the chargers but also didn't want to go against brady to lose two in a row.

Good luck wormy pix
go colts! Go broncos! Go phins!
 

Member
Joined
Jan 25, 2009
Messages
11,263
Tokens
GL Worm... Minny game in the dome yes?
 

Member
Joined
Nov 13, 2011
Messages
108
Tokens
I'm probably playing Minny as well this week. Road teams are 0-5 this year after covering on MNF. A bad Jets team plays right into this angle.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,993
Tokens
I'm probably playing Minny as well this week. Road teams are 0-5 this year after covering on MNF. A bad Jets team plays right into this angle.
Yes, all motivation will be w/MIN here. Will they cash in on it, is a different story. But so far MIN has won the gms they could win & was only out of it vs GB, NE & @ NOR.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 19, 2006
Messages
3,993
Tokens
Well, MIN looked like on the path to an easy cover. So although I completely lucked out on a fluke play in OT, I'll gladly take it. Can you imagine how good this team would be if AP were playing the whole season?

Just need GB to win tomorrow to end a good wk. ATL shouldn't have me worried, but this is the NFL after all.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,858
Messages
13,574,196
Members
100,878
Latest member
lisasdanceandexercise
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com