Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (13) GOY

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WAS stunk it up vs SEA, as injuries to WAS's "D" made the gm much closer than it should've. Portis had an inspiring performance, but it was Betts' FL that cost me the cover as WAS may have kicked a late FG or scored a TD if he had held on. As it was, I was lucky to get the tie and shalt move forward.

Pix POW now stands at 8-3-1.

Well, with that meager POW pick last wk, now leads me to this wk's GOY. The NYG are clearly the best team in football now. I was waiting for TEN's first loss before anointing the Gmen. I still believe TEN & NYG's "D"s are conquerable, with NY having a better pass rush. What really separates the 2 is WR's. Even with Burress out, NYG's WR's are very good. Toomer is still a stable, veteran presence, and Hixon/Smith/Sinorice are young talents. Throw in athletic TE Boss in the mix, and you can see why Eli is having continued success off his SB MVP run. But, of course, the main reason for his success is his line. They are dominating the line of scrimmage, giving Eli ample time to scan the field, and more importantly, leading the way for a bruising run gm. Jacobs is a beast, and both Ward & Bradshaw are easily picking up where Brandon leaves off. This is why even if Jacobs doesn't play (which I'm fairly certain he will), this is still a great gm for NY. Their "D" may struggle to shut down Portis completely, but they will do enough to allow Eli & co to cover 3 1/2. Tuck is leading a great run stuffing, and pass rushing front 7 that is terrorizing opposing "O"s. And their secondary is taking advantage of this, getting 15 INT's, returning 2 of them for TD's. WAS was winning gms earlier because of their "D" and Portis. When their "D" began sustaining critical injuries, gms started to get real close, even vs the terrible teams. WAS has been lucky to keep gms close and then winning them in the end. But now that their front 7 more than likely will be gutted this sunday, it will come at the worst possible time. Sack leader Andre Carter, DT's Griffin & Golston, and tackles leader Fletcher are all game time decisions. And it looks highly doubtful any of them will play. WAS will already be w/out starting LB Washington. These men are the heart & soul of the WAS "D", which is the heart & soul of the team. I think this will be far too much to overcome vs the juggernaut that is the NYG. And if this wasn't a divisional rivalry, then I might suspect NY to not come ready. But as everyone knows, NYG are road warriors, and shouldn't let this one slip away vs a much lesser team. WAS owner Dan Snyder was smart in saving this gm for Sean Taylor's induction into their ring of honor, and will surely pump up their "D". This may work for the 1st half, but come 2nd half, WAS will be worn down with little depth on "D", and NY will literally run away.

NYG 31
WAS 10

BOL all, and as always comments are welcome.
 

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Here's my 4 teamer:

NYG +9 1/2
NYG o28
BAL +6
IND +8 1/2

Don't really care for the rest of the card, as my stronger plays were on thurs. Luckily a GOY came out sunday, otherwise I might not have played at all!

BOL everyone.
 

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I like it...can't see was being too competitive either.


$$$$

Thanks QW. With the way NYG handled their last 5 opponents, all playoff contenders, and WAS struggling vs sub-500 teams (SEA, DET, CLE, STL) I strongly believe 3 1/2 is a small spread. And the way NY plays on the road, that 3 pt home field rule should be thrown out the window. Throw in all the injuries to WAS's "D", and NYG don't even have to come with their best gm to cover this. I was worried when I found out about Sean Taylor's induction, but if it's mostly backups in there, how much can they really do against this NYG o & dline?
 
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Dub-p, in years past, I would have called this line a "trap." The last two years, such games have all but disappeared. I'm not into trends heavily, however I have tough time riding teams who are good against the spot in 3+ contests. I working on trying to come up with a more complex formula to create a line that show value against the spot. (Shout out to crunch for tips and hints) I've added several other factors for this week. Nyg, along w/ 4 other sides show value...I've got nyg at like -7.5. I think the only thing that keeps us from cashing is EMOTION.
Divisional matchups, as I'm sure you know, can get strange...just hoping that whoever that squad that showed up in cleveland doesn't bite us.
 

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QW, great to hear you're following Cruncher's lead. I really miss his threads here. As for the CLE gm, as I mentioned earlier, because this is a major division rivalry, NYG will not sleepwalk thru this one. And with WAS's front 7 banged up, Eli should have good time to throw, not to mention how it'll help that potent run gm!
 

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Wormy,BOL with your NYG pick on Sunday as i might have to tag along for the ride.Gravy :103631605
 

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Because of dire weather projections in Tampa, I'm adding TB and the Under.

TB -4
TB u46 1/2


Noticed the Total drop to 46, so if interested in playing that one, might want to hop on now. NO is bad enough outdoors on grass, now they'll have to play with t-storms & 20+ mph winds. Yikes.
 

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Wormy,BOL with your NYG pick on Sunday as i might have to tag along for the ride.Gravy :103631605

Thanks Gravy! So much people are on NYG it's worrisome. But sometimes the obvious gms are also the right ones. I hope this is such a case!

:toast:
 
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QW, great to hear you're following Cruncher's lead. I really miss his threads here. As for the CLE gm, as I mentioned earlier, because this is a major division rivalry, NYG will not sleepwalk thru this one. And with WAS's front 7 banged up, Eli should have good time to throw, not to mention how it'll help that potent run gm!

Well, I won't be starting any threads until I get about 10 formulas dialed in, as I don't want to post a bunch bogus info. Been doing nicely this year and hope to contribute excellent picks next year.

What are your thoughts on jet/donkeys? Liking nyj--feeling a rare two teamer w/ b-more.
 

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Well, I won't be starting any threads until I get about 10 formulas dialed in, as I don't want to post a bunch bogus info. Been doing nicely this year and hope to contribute excellent picks next year.

What are your thoughts on jet/donkeys? Liking nyj--feeling a rare two teamer w/ b-more.

Gotta believe NYJ cover that one. DEN had a fluke win @ ATL, but DEN lost to NE & MIA already, so the Jets should be no different. Plus I heard Cutler was giving bulletin board material about him throwing harder than Favre? Not a good thing, with the way NYJ are playing.

I like BAL as well, although CIN tends to play them hard, but w/out Palmer I think you can throw history out of this one. Looks like a winner teaser to me!
 

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Great cover by the Giants. They dominated on "D", and the "O" kinda walked thru this one. Lot's of dropped passes for Eli, and WAS was obviously keying on the run. Toomer had a great gm. WAS shouldn't have even scored that TD, because Campbell was picked off the very play before, but was nullified by a bogus defensive penalty.

Anyway, teaser hit as well, and juiced out on the TB plays. Didn't post, but also played BAL small. Hope to carry this feeling into WK 14! Congrats to all the NYG backers.

:toast:
 

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Congrats!! :toast:

Big G MAN FAN HERE, LOVED ALL THE HYPE ABOUT tAYLOR N HOW THE SKINS WERE GUNNA PLAY TOUGH:nohead: Goin next week, should be a GOODY! Always love beatin up on the Iggles:lol:
 

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I think that PHI/NYG gm will be a bit tougher. McNabb is a better QB, and they still have Westbrook too. We'll see what the line is. Plus, NY might be on cruise control now that the East is pretty much locked up, and they're in the driver's seat for best in NFC. They'll still play well tho!
 

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The game Im thinkin cruise control is the last one vs Vikes. May be a great go against. I still think they kick the shit outta philly but thats more from the heart not wallet yet :toast:
 

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