Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (12)

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Talk about a shot to the confidence. At least I didn’t go 0-fer, but I managed to notch losses in both my POW & Teaser. JAX came in absolutely listless while IND’s “D” played out of their mind, esp in the secondary. Diving to bat would-be TDs & 1[SUP]st[/SUP] downs, Foles actually looked good in his comeback attempt, but his WRs were not making great efforts to catch balls & Marrone took Fournette, their backbone on “O”, out of the gameplan. Sad outing all around for JAX. PIT lost half their starters on “O” on Thurs, JAX performed so poorly that they also blew up my teaser, which is why I rarely have my POW in my teaser, but lowly NYJ & ARI helped soften what was another losing wk.

Regular Season POW 4-7, Teasers 8-3, GOY 1-0, Overall 27-28

DEN +4 is 3-7 while BUF is a perfect opposite 7-3. However, after coming in for an injured Flacco, Brandon Allen has quietly put together 2 very solid gms, against 2 fairly good teams. CLE still has a losing record, but they rattled off 2 straight impressive wins after their loss @ DEN. MIN is a PO contender & still look to win the NFC North. A 6[SUP]th[/SUP] rd pick out of Arkansas, Allen has been a journeyman in his short NFL career, being signed by DEN just a wk before the season opened. Against 2 talented “D”s, he’s compiled a modest 83.5 QBR, completing only 50% of his passes, but avg 7.3 yds per pass, which is very good. What really impressed me was his calm & accuracy in the final minutes @ MIN, where he needed to convert 3 4[SUP]th[/SUP] downs, to get near the goal line, for the gm winning TD. Several potential DPIs in the endzone prevented him from being the hero. In the 1[SUP]st[/SUP]half, DEN was actually up 20-0 on the Vikings. On the other side of the ball, DEN’s “D” is performing as they should, ranking 4[SUP]th[/SUP] in “D”, 8[SUP]th[/SUP] in scoring & 7[SUP]th[/SUP] against the run. I mention that last stat because that’s obviously important against BUF, who is 8[SUP]th[/SUP] best on the ground on “O”. BUF’s “D” is also tremendous this yr, however DEN has the horses (pun intended) to attack this “D”. BUF is 19[SUP]th[/SUP]against the run, giving up 11 TDs on the ground. DEN now has a 3-headed attack, w/Lindsay, Freeman & Booker @ RB. Allen (Brandon-type) also showed some legs on 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] downs against MIN. So I predict a few rushing TDs for DEN in this tilt. BUF CB Tre’Davious White shut down OBJ & McLaurin in recent wks, but struggled against 6’3 DeVante Parker. DEN has a trio of 6’4 targets in Sutton, Patrick & Fant. Allen has a nice touch on his jumpball passes to take advantage of that height. DEN’s “D” should have the smarts & speed to not let Allen (Josh-type) beat them, similar to CLE’s efforts against BUF several wks ago.

DEN 23
BUF 16
5 Units

GL to all & comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:

1 Unit ATL -4: ATL made a switch @ secondary coach during their bye, & ho boy has the team turned things around. 2 blowouts against div rivals, & now they face the bottom of the div in TB, who ATL owns a decided series advantage over, w/out their struggles. No Hooper or Freeman for ATL, no problem. Julio & Ridley should feast on this awful secondary.

1 Unit PIT/CIN Under 38: Playing the under in CIN gms are usually a winner already, but throw in the fact that both sides have significant injuries (or suspensions) along the oline & @ WR/RB, & scoring should be a premium. CIN’s “D” has played sneakily well this season, & everyone knows PIT’s “D” is 1 of the best currently.

3 Unit Wormy Teaser

ATL +9
TEN +9 ½
SF +10
SEA +14
 

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W/Pix......BOL with your action this week buddy.....here's to getting back on track with a sweep of your card......indy
 

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Wormy,BOL on your picks today my friend as I disagree on your POW but like the rest of your selections,If I dont chat with you before Thursday Happy Thanksgiving to you !
 

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W/Pix......BOL with your action this week buddy.....here's to getting back on track with a sweep of your card......indy
Thanks Indy! Let's get this!!!

Wormy,BOL on your picks today my friend as I disagree on your POW but like the rest of your selections,If I dont chat with you before Thursday Happy Thanksgiving to you !
Thanks Gravy Train! I'm glad you disagree w/my POW, because for a second, I thought you were just fading me all these wks! That would hurt my feelings, but would be very smart! LOL.
 

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Adding:

1 Unit DAL/NE Under 44: This gm had a great shot @ going under w/out the weather, as both teams sport very good “D”s. But w/heavy rain, & winds expecting to get stronger as gm rolls along, this should be a run heavy affair. Both “D”s are also very good against the pass, so this makes even more sense to see a lot of Elliott/Pollard & White/Michel. Kicking should be an issue too as DAL has a dome kicker & NE is down to their 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] kicker this yr.

And have a Happy Thanksgiving Gravy! I missed that.
 

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