WNBA NEWS NOTES BEST BETS !

[CNOTES]

PLAYOFF RECORD & BEST BETS !

09/30/2025...............................1 - 1 - 0.........................50.00%.....................- 0.50
09/28/2025..............................3 - 1 - 0.........................75.00%.....................+ 9.50
09/26/2025..............................0 - 4 - 0.........................00.00%.....................- 22.00
09/23/2025..............................1 - 3 - 0..........................25.00%....................- 11.50
09/21/2025..............................3 - 1 - 0..........................75.00%....................+ 9.50
09/19/2025...............................2 - 0 - 0........................100.00%.....................+ 10.00
09/18/2025..............................1 - 3 - 0.........................25.00%....................- 11.50
09/17/2025..............................3 - 1 - 0........................75.00%.....................+ 9.50
09/16/2025..............................1 - 3 - 0........................25.00%.....................- 11.50
09/14/2025..............................4 - 4 - 0........................50.00%......................- 2.00

TOTALS..................................19 -21 - 0........................47.50%.......................- 20.50

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Most receiving yards in NFL, Week 4:
170— Puka Nucua, Rams
134— George Pickens,
126— Justin Jefferson, Vikings
126— DK Metcalf, Steelers
114— Jordan Addison, Vikings
110—Drake London, Falcons

Quote of the Day
“It’s a challenge that it doesn’t matter how difficult it is, no one [outside the building] really cares. You have to find a way to get yourself to continue to get better, like all teams, for you to stay in the win column.”
Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel

Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time the World Series went to seven games?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Jets, Joe Namath has thrown for the most yards.

Monday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford played his college football at Georgia.

****************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….​

— Tigers 2, Guardians 1
Cleveland had tying run on third, no one out in 9th inning, but didn’t score.
Tarik Skubal struck out 14 guys in 7 IP, throwing 107 pitches.
Zach McKinstry knocked the game-winning run in with a sac bunt in 7th inning.

— Cubs 3, Padres 1
Chicago’s bullpen got 14 outs, didn’t allow a baserunner.
Suzuki/Kelly hit back/back home runs in fifth inning.
Top three hitters in San Diego’s lineup were a combined 0-11.

— Red Sox 3, Bronx 1
Yoshida’s 7th inning pinch-hit single was a game-winner.
Max Fried got 19 outs, didn’t allow a run.
New York’s bullpen gave up three runs in 2.2 IP.
Bronx had bases loaded, none out in 9th inning, but didn’t score.

— Dodgers 10, Reds 5
Hernandez, Ohtani both homered twice for the Dodgers.
Pitching in his hometown, Reds P Greene gave up 5 runs in three IP
Blake Snell allowed four hits in seven IP.

— Since the current best-of-three Wild Card series began in 2022, road teams have won 8 of 12 series including three of four last year.
How big is Game 1? The winner of Game 1 has won all 12 series, 10 of those in a 2-game sweep.

— Toronto Blue Jays have a bye this week; they’re hosting intrasquad games at Rogers Centre this week, to keep their players sharp. Fans can attend for $10.
First pitch is 4:00, with gates opening at 3:15. Games “will be four to five innings and structured as informal scrimmages, featuring players from the Blue Jays and AAA Buffalo Bisons”

— Angels parted ways Tuesday with manager Ron Washington, interim manager Ray Montgomery. 73-year old Washington was 99-137 managing the Angels; he had health issues this year and missed most of the season.

— Giants’ SS Willie Adames hit 30 home runs this year, the first player to hit 30 homers in one season for San Francisco since Barry Bonds, in 2004.

— Famous birthdays, October 1st
Julie Andrews, 90
Rod Carew, 80
Mark McGwire, 62
Zach Galifianakis, 56
Matt Cain, 41
Brie Larson, 36
Dustin Hopkins, 35
Robbie Ray, 34
Xander Bogaerts, 33
Cedric Mullins, 31
Otto Lopez, 27
Jordan Whittington, 25

— College football conference ATS trends:
American- Home teams 1-7 ATS in conference play.
ACC- Non-conference home favorites are 6-11 ATS
Big 18- Underdogs are 9-4 ATS in conference games.
Big X- Home favorites are 6-3 ATS in conference games.
C-USA- Home teams are 6-3 ATS in non-conference games.
MAC- Home teams are 5-0 ATS in conference games.
Mountain West- Teams are 21-10 ATS in non-conference games.
SEC- Underdogs are 8-4 ATS in conference games.
Sun Belt- Home teams are 4-1 ATS in conference games.

— NFL divisional ATS trends:
AFC East- home teams 1-3 ATS in divisional games.
AFC North- teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
AFC South- teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
AFC West- teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC East- teams are 6-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC North- home teams are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC South- home teams are 1-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC West- teams are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill dislocated his left knee Monday night, is out for the rest of this year and maybe longer- he’ll need multiple surgeries.

— There is a survivor pool at the Circa Sportsbook in Las Vegas that has over 12,000 entries; this past week, 784 people got knocked out when the Chargers lost to the Giants.

— Sunday was Davante Adams’ 64th career game with 50+ receiving yards and a receiving touchdown.
That is 5th-most in the last 25 years, behind:
73- Larry Fitzgerald
69- Antonio Gates
68- Terrell Owens
66- Mike Evans

— Tampa Bay kicker Chase McLaughlin kicked a 65-yard field goal, the longest outdoor field goal in NFL history.

— Random trivia: Jesse Owens won four gold medals at the 1936 Olympics in Germany, one of which was in the 200-meter sprint, where he set a new Olympic record.
The person who won the silver medal in the 200-meter sprint was Matthew Robinson, who also broke the Olympic record in that race. He had a younger brother who was became a lot more famous, baseball player Jackie Robinson.

 

[Udog]

No games today. The finals begin on Friday.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Best college football teams against the spread this year:
5-0— Louisiana Tech
5-0— Memphis
5-0— Mississippi State
5-0— Utah State
4-0— James Madison
3-0-1— Ohio State

Quote of the Day
“From the second he’s (Dillon Gabriel) been here, he’s been working very hard. He’s a very intelligent young man. He’s done a nice job throughout practice, and this whole season he’s been learning how to get yourself ready and understand the rhythm of an NFL week and what that looks like as a backup. Obviously, now feel like he’s ready to go as a starter.”
Browns coach Kevin Stefanski

Thursday’s quiz
Which major league team has gone the longest since the last time they won a playoff series?

Wednesday’s quiz
2019 was last time the World Series went to seven games, when Washington beat Houston.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Jets, Joe Namath has thrown for the most yards.

************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….​

— ESPN had a good day Wednesday; three of the four Wild Card series are tied 1-1, so we have three winner-take-all games Thursday. Winner-take-all games get good ratings.
Here is the schedule:
3:00 Tigers @ Cleveland
5:00 Padres @ Chicago
8:00 Red Sox @ New York
This is the first time since 1981 there are three winner-take-all games on the same day.

— Guardians 6, Tigers 1
Cleveland scored five runs in the bottom of the 8th.
Rocchio, Naylor homered in that 8th inning.
Flaherty vs Cecconi is Thursday’s matchup.

— Padres 3, Cubs 0
San Diego bullpen got 16 outs, allowed one baserunner.
Machado hit a 2-run homer in the fifth inning.
Darvish vs Taillon is Thursday’s matchup.

— New York 4, Red Sox 3
Austin Wells had game-winning hit, in the 8th inning.
Trevor Story knocked in all three Boston runs.
Early vs Schlittler is Thursday’s matchup.

— Dodgers 8, Reds 4
Mookie Betts went 4-for-5, with three RBI
Spots 7-9 in Dodger batting order went 7-12 with five runs scored.
Dodgers move on to play the Phillies in the next round.

— Monday in New York City, Mets’ president of baseball operations David Stearns hosted a press conference the day after the Mets’ season ended without the Mets making the playoffs, even though their payroll was $340,085,003.
What went wrong? Mets were 45-25 on June 13th, then went 38-54 the rest of the season.
Lot of tough questions at the news conference, Stearns kept his cool, it is all part of the job, but it had to be a rough couple of hours for him.
Juan Soto, Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso earned a combined $125,975,000 this year, that’s $126M for three guys, but three really good guys, money well spent. Some of the other high-paid players didn’t do so well.
$22,009,731- Sean Manaea
$20,250,000- Brandon Nimmo
$19,500,000- Starling Marte
$17,000,000- Frankie Montas
$7,500,000- Jesse Winker
These are the guys that Stearns has to answer for; the Marlins had a payroll of $69,510,827 and they went 79-83, only four games behind the Mets.
By way of comparison, Stearns’ old team, the Milwaukee Brewers had the #23 payroll this year, $115,136,217, and they got a first round bye in the playoffs.

— Famous birthdays, October 2nd:
Lorraine Bracco, 71
Dave Beard, 66
Mark Rypien, 63
Kelly Ripa, 55
Aaron McKie, 53
Tyson Chandler, 43
Joe Ingels, 38
Lance McCullers Jr, 32

— Brian Snitker won’t be back as manager of the Atlanta Braves next year; he went 835-691 in 10 years managing the Braves, winning the 2021 World Series, but Snitker is going to be 70 in a couple weeks, and the Braves went 76-86 this year, their first losing season since 2017.

— Colorado Rockies went 43-119 this year; they fired GM Bill Schmidt this week, largely because their team really sucks- the last three years, they’ve lost 323 games. Colorado had winning years as recently as 2017-2018, but that seems like a long time ago.

— Red Sox P Garrett Crochet threw 100+ pitches in 16 games this season, the most of any major league pitcher this year.

— Movie of the Day: Hustle (2022)- A basketball scout discovers a great ballplayer in Spain, and sees the prospect as his chance to move up from scouting to being an assistant coach.
Adam Sandler is the scout, Queen Latifah is his wife, Robert Duvall has a cameo as the owner of the 76ers, and a lot of NBA players appear in the movie.
If you like basketball, you’ll like this movie. It is really good.

— Cleveland Browns will start rookie QB Dillon Gabriel Sunday when they play the Vikings in London; Browns scored only 14 ppg in their 1-3 start.
Gabriel will become the 41st different quarterback the Browns have started since returning to the NFL in 1999, the most in the league during that time.

— Last 25 years, 2018 Houston Texans are the only team that started a season 0-3 and made the playoffs that year.

— Pitches thrown by the starting pitchers the last couple days:
Tigers- Skubal 107, Mize 62
Guardians- Williams 88, Bibee 87
Red Sox- Crochet 117, Bello 28
Bronx- Fried 102, Rodon 91
Padres- Pivetta 85, Cease 69
Cubs- Boyd 58, Imanaga 67 (opener Kittredge threw 20)
Reds- Greene 65, Littell 52
Dodgers- Snell 91, Yamamoto 113

 

[CNOTES]

Friday’s 6-pack:
Thru four weeks, most pass plays of 20+ yards:
17— Rams
16— 49ers
15— Raiders
14— Bills, Bears, Seahawks
13— Cowboys, Chargers, Buccaneers
12— Packers, Texans, Colts, Giants, Patriots

Quote of the Day
“I’d love to manage again. Obviously, Atlanta would be amazing, but there’s nothing to really elaborate on.”
Former major league catcher/manager David Ross

Friday’s quiz
In the history of the Houston Oilers/Tennessee Titans, who has thrown for the most yards?

Thursday’s quiz
1995 was the last time the Cincinnati Reds won a playoff series, the longest current drought in the major leagues.

Wednesday’s quiz
2019 was last time the World Series went to seven games, when Washington beat Houston.

*************************************************

Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Thursday……​

— Tigers 6, Guardians 3
Dillon Dingler hit the go-ahead homer in the 6th inning.
Tigers broke game open, scoring four runs in 7th inning.
Detroit-Seattle will meet in the ALDS.

— Cubs 3, Padres 1
Taillon allowed two baserunners in four scoreless IP (60 PT)
San Diego was 0-8 with runners in scoring position.
Cubs play Milwaukee in the NLDS.

— Bronx 4, Red Sox 0
Rookie Schlittler struck out 12 in eight scoreless IP.
Bronx scored all four of its runs in the fourth inning.
New York-Toronto will meet in the ALDS.

— 49ers 26, Rams 23 OT
SF stopped the Rams on 4th-and-1 to end the game.
Rams forced OT, kicking a 48-yard FG with 0:02 left
Rams also fumbled on the 49ers’ 1-yard line with 1:02 left.
49ers’ five games have all been decided by 5 or fewer points.
SF WR Bourne caught 10 passes for 142 yards.
49ers’ first two drives: 25 plays, 163 yards, 14 points.
49ers won six of last eight visits to Los Angeles.
Underdogs are 5-0-1 ATS in last six series games.

— New Mexico State 37, Sam Houston State 10
New Mexico State led 13-10 after the third quarter.
Aggies threw ball for 255 yards (9.4 yards/attempt)
Aggies were 9-13 on third down, Sam Houston 3-11

— Knicks 99, 76ers 84
Exhibition game was played in Abu Dhabi.
Knicks outscored Philly 28-18 in second quarter.
Knicks played 19 different players, 76ers played 13 guys.

— Movie of the Day: All the President’s Men (1976)- Washington Post reporters Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein uncover details of the Watergate scandal that leads to President Richard Nixon’s resignation.
Tremendous cast: Robert Redford, Dustin Hoffman, Jack Warden, Hal Holbrook, Jason Robards, Martin Balsam, Ned Beatty, Meredith Baxter.

—Famous birthdays, October 3rd:
Dave Winfield, 74
Greg Foster, 57
Janel Moloney, 56
Anquan Boldin, 45
Courtney Lee, 40
Mike Gesicki, 30
CJ Abrams, 25
CJ Stroud, 24
Abdul Carter, 22

Seven baseball players who could be free agents this winter:

— Pete Alonso 1B- Has $24M option with the Mets for next year, but can probably make way more than that, even though he is 31. Last five years, he’s hit 195 homers, played in 158 games a year. Durable and productive; Mets will probably re-sign him.

— Luis Arraez 1B/2B- Won three of last four batting titles, slumped to .292 this year. Does not have a lot of power, not real fast, average fielder, but he gets a lot of hits.

— Bo Bichette SS- Hit .311 this year with an .840 OPS. Led the league in hits in 2021/2022; he had an injury-plagued season last year. Had 94 RBI this season.

— Alex Bregman 3B- Can opt out of the last two years of his contract, which would pay $80M; had an .821 OPS this year, his best since 2019. It is assumed that he will opt out.

— Kyle Schwarber OF/DH- Is 33 years old, but he hit 56 homers, had 132 RBI this year, has 187 homers the last four seasons. Philly is an excellent hitters’ park; should he stay there?

— Kyle Tucker OF- Hit 134 homers the last five years, has career OPS of .865. Hurt his hand in July and struggled in second half of season.

— Framber Valdez, P- Is 32 years old; over last four years, is 57-35 in 121 starts. He’s pitched in the playoffs five of the last six years.

 

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Friday, October 3

WNBA

Friday, October 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Phoenix's last 17 games
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games
Las Vegas is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 6 games
Las Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Las Vegas is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
Las Vegas is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games
Las Vegas is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 6 games
Las Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Las Vegas is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

Friday, October 3​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
PHO at LV	08:00 PM	PHO +3.5 U 161.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

WNBA FINALS BEST BETS !

10/03/2025...................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%.............- 0.50

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Thru four weeks, teams with fewest pass plays of 20+ yards:
4— Saints
5— Cardinals
6— Commanders
7— Bengals, Dolphins
8— Browns, Jaguars, Eagles, Titans
9— Jets

Quote of the Day
“The Yankees, they’re not a good team. I don’t care what their record is.”
Blue Jays’ TV analyst Buck Martinez. Hopefully he was kidding.

Saturday’s quiz
Where did Jared Goff play his college football?

Friday’s quiz
In the history of the Houston Oilers/Tennessee Titans, Warren Moon has thrown for the most yards.

Thursday’s quiz
1995 was the last time the Cincinnati Reds won a playoff series, the longest current drought in the major leagues.

*************************************

Saturday’s Den: How NFL teams do on first drive of a half​

How NFL teams do on first drive of a half:
(All teams 4 games/8 halves, except SF/Rams (5/10))

NFC East

Dallas:
outscored 34-7 on first drive of a half
outgained 197-88 on first drive of games

Giants:
10-10 on first drive of each half
last three weeks, Giants gained 190 yards on first drive of game.

Eagles:
outscored opponents 27-14 on first drive of a half
scored TD on first drive in 3 of 4 games.

Commanders:
outscored 16-10 on first drive of a half
first drives of a game: 17 plays, 43 yards

NFC North

Bears:
outscored opponents 28-10 on first drive of a half
have four takeaways in first drive of a half (+4)
first drive of half: 4 TD’s, 4 three/outs.

Lions:
outscored 35-27 on first drive of a half
Allowed a TD on first drive in all four games
39 plays, 325 yards, four TD’s

Packers:
outscored opponents 24-3 on first drive of a half
opponents’ first drive of game: 17 plays, 38 yards, no points

Vikings:
outscored opponents 17-13 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive, last 4 halves: 12 plays, 8 yards, 4 punts

NFC South

Falcons
outscored opponents 23-10 on first drive of a half
first drive of game: 28 plays, 197 yards, 13 points.

Panthers
outscored opponents 24-20 on first drive of a half
Last two games, had TD drives of 61-76 yards on their 1st drive.

Saints
outscored 27-14 on first drive of a half
Last 2 games, gave up 3 TD’s and FG on first drive of the half.

Buccaneers
outscored 24-13 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of half: 28 plays, 253 yards, 24 points

NFC West

Cardinals
outscored opponents 16-10 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of game: 15 plays, 42 yards, no points

Rams
outscored opponents 27-20 on first drive of a half
in their two losses, opponent scored a TD on their first drive.

49ers
outscored opponents 17-0 on first drive of a game
Last 2 games, 49ers averaged 64.3 yards/1st drive of a half

Seahawks
outscored opponents 27-10 on first drive of a half
last three games, have 3 TD’s, 2 FG’s on first drive of half.

Famous birthdays, October 4th:
Susan Sarandon, 79
Tony LaRussa, 81
John Wathan, 76
Truck Robinson, 74
AC Green, 62
Mark McLemore, 61
Liev Schreiber, 58
Kurt Thomas, 53
Tony Gwynn Jr, 43
Derrick Rose, 37
Dakota Johnson, 36
Oneil Cruz, 27

AFC East

Bills
outscored opponents 52-24 on first drive of a half
1st drives of a half: 70 plays, 560 yards, 7 TD’s, FG

Dolphins
outscored 34-20 on first drive of a half
opponents average 74.3 yards/opening drive of game.

Patriots
outscored 31-14 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of game: 24 plays, 201 yards, 21 points.

Jets
outscored 33-13 on first drive of a half
Opponents on 1st drive of half: 3 TD’s, 4 field goals

AFC North

Ravens
outscored 38-37 on first drive of a half
last two games, started game with TD drives of 80-70 yards

Bengals
outscored 28-17 on first drive of a half
allowed TD on first drive in three of four games

Browns
outscored opponents 14-10 on first drive of a half
Last 3 games: 13 plays, 19 plays on first drive of 3rd quarter

Steelers
17-17 on first drive of each half
first drive of 2nd half: 15 plays, 30 yards, no points

AFC South

Texans
outscored 17-10 on first drive of a half
first drive of 2nd half: 23 plays, 58 yards, no points

Colts
outscored 24-22 on first drive of a half
1st drive of half: one TD, 5 FG’s, 2 turnovers

Jaguars
outscored 20-13 on first drive of a half
Opponents on 1st drive of 3rd quarter: 27 plays, 245 yards, 14 points

AFC West

Broncos
outscored opponents 14-10 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of half: 66 plays, 341 yards, 7 FG’s

Chiefs
outscored opponents 27-20 on first drive of a half
1st drive of 3rd quarter: 32 plays, 224 yards, 21 points

Raiders
17-17 on first drive of each half
last 3 games, threw three INT’s on first drive of a half.

Chargers
outscored 24-19 on first drive of a half
opponents on 1st drive of 3rd quarter: 41 plays, 228 yards, 17 points

 

[Udog]

No game today. Game 2 is tomorrow.

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
Over last 120 years, players who hit 7+ triples, 6+ HR’s in a month:
1911— Frank Schilte
1914— Ed Lennox
1921— Ty Cobb
1929— Babe Herman
1957— Willie Mays
2025— Daylen Lile

Quote of the Day
“The main thing we need to do is to keep doing what we’re doing but do them better. Fundamentally we’re not doing the wrong things, we’re just not doing them well enough. It’s a lack of concentration, and part of that is coaching, too, so I’ll take my share of the responsibility.”
North Carolina coach Bill Belichick

Sunday’s quiz
Since 2021, which NFL team has the best record against the spread?

Saturday’s quiz
Jared Goff played his college football for the Cal Golden Bears.

Friday’s quiz
In the history of the Houston Oilers/Tennessee Titans, Warren Moon has thrown for the most yards.

*****************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….​

— UCLA 42, Penn State 37
Bruins, with an interim head coach, were 24.5-point underdogs.
UCLA led this game 27-7 at halftime.
Nico Iamaleava threw for 166 yards, 2 TD’s, ran for 128 yards, 3 TD’s.

— Miami 28, Florida State 22
Carson Beck threw for 240 yards, four TD’s
Hurricanes led 28-3 after three quarters, hung on for the win.
Miami was +3 in turnovers; they had 12 penalties for 98 yards.

— Florida 29, Texas 21
Florida gets its first I-A win in four tries.
Gators had scored total of 33 points in their three losses.
Texas is 0-2 on road, losing this game, also 14-7 at Ohio State.

— Alabama 30, Vanderbilt 14
Game was tied 14-14 at halftime.
Crimson Tide outgained Vandy, 486-333.
Alabama threw for 340 yards (11.0 Yards/attempt)

— UNLV 31, Wyoming 17
October 4th, and it snowed in Laramie, Wyoming.
5-0 Rebels led this game 24-3 at halftime.
UNLV ran for 153 yards, was +2 in turnovers.

— Upsets of the Day:
UCLA (+24.5) 42, Penn State 37
Ball State (+14.5) 20, Ohio U 14
Arkansas State (+13.5) 31, Texas State 30
Akron (+8.5) 28, Central Michigan 22
Virginia (+7.5) 30, Louisville 27 OT
Florida (+6.5) 29, Texas 21
Wake Forest (+6.5) 30, Virginia Tech 23
Temple (+6.5) 27, Tex-San Antonio 21

— Brewers 9, Cubs 3
Milwaukee scored six runs in the first inning.
Jackson Chourio had 3 RBI, but aggravated his leg injury.
Freddy Peralta got 17 outs, allowed two runs.

— Blue Jays 10, New York 1
Alejandro Kirk hit two home runs.
Leading 2-1, Blue Jays scored four runs in 7th, four more in 8th.
This was Toronto’s first win in a playoff game since 2016

— Dodgers 5, Phillies 3
Teoscar Hernandez hit a 3-run homer in the 7th inning.
Phillies led 3-0 after five innings.
Tyler Glasnow got 5 outs, in his first relief stint in seven years.

— Tigers 3, Mariners 2 (11)
Zack McKinstry had the game-winning single in the 11th inning.
Detroit used 8 pitchers; they were 2-8 with RISP.
McKinstry’s hit was Detroit’s only hit after the fifth inning.

— Famous birthdays, October 5th:
Trace Armstrong, 60
Jeff Lebo, 59
Rex Chapman, 58
Grant Hill, 53
Kate Winslet, 50
Jesse Palmer, 47
Travis Kelce, 36
Zack Littell, 30
Michael Hoecht, 28

— Virginia 30, Louisville 27 OT
Virginia led 24-14 after three quarters.
Louisville forced OT, kicked 50-yard FG with 1:08 left.
4-1 Louisville outgained the 5-1 Cavaliers, 383-237

— Clemson 38, North Carolina 10
Clemson’s first four drives: 16 plays, 253 yards, 28 points.
Tigers passed for 399 yards (10.2 yards/attempt)
North Carolina is 1-3 vs I-A teams, giving up 34-48-38 points in losses.

— Washington 24, Maryland 20
Maryland led this game 20-0 in the third quarter.
Washington’s last five drives: 45 plays, 298 yards, 24 points.
Maryland’s last four drives: 19 plays, 52 yards, no points.

— Appalachian State 27, Oregon State 23
App State led 17-0 in first quarter; they were +3 in turnovers.
Beavers outgained App State, 456-354.
Oregon State QB Murphy threw for 358 yards, 2 TD’s, 2 INTs

— Texas Tech 35, Houston 11
Tech QB Morton threw for 345 yards and a TD.
5-0 Red Raiders led 25-11 at halftime.
Tech outgained Houston, 552-267.

 

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, October 5

WNBA

Sunday, October 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Phoenix's last 18 games
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Las Vegas is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
Las Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Las Vegas is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Phoenix
Las Vegas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday, October 5​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
PHO at LV	03:00 PM	PHO +3.0 O 163.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

WNBA FINALS BEST BETS !

10/05/2025...................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%.............- 0.50
10/03/2025...................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%.............- 0.50

TOTALS...........................2 - 2 - 0...................50.00%...............- 1.00

 

[CNOTES]

Monday’s 6-pack:
Week 6 NFL spreads:
— Eagles (-7.5) @ Giants
— Broncos (-7.5) vs Jets (@ London)
— Browns @ Pittsburgh (-5.5)
— Chargers (-5.5) @ Miami
— Cardinals @ Indianapolis (-5.5)
— Seahawks @ Jacksonville (-1.5)

Quote of the Day
“I don’t really know what to think about that. I don’t even know. I really don’t even know. That’s ‘How to Lose a Game 101.’ I don’t know. It was crazy.”
Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray

Monday’s quiz
Last time Toronto Blue Jays won a playoff series was 2016; who did they beat?

Sunday’s quiz
Since 2021, Detroit Lions have the NFL’s best record against the spread (51-22)

Saturday’s quiz
Jared Goff played his college football for the Cal Golden Bears.

*************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….​

Titans 22, Cardinals 21
Arizona led 21-6 with 13:00 left; RB Demercado appeared to run for a 72-yard TD to salt the game away, but he dropped the ball just before he crossed the goal line; it became a touchback.
Arizona’s first four drives: 22 plays, 173 yards, 21 points.
Arizona rest of game: 42 plays, 185 yards, no points.
Cardinals lost their last three games by total of five points.
Rookie QB Ward threw for 265 yards in his first NFL win.
Titans’ last three drives: 25 plays, 205 yards, TD-INT-FG
WR Ridley caught five passes for 131 yards.
Tennessee also scored a TD when Arizona picked off a Ward pass with 5:00 left, but the guy fumbled and the Titans recovered it in the end zone for a TD.

Broncos 21, Eagles 17
Eagles led 17-3 after the third quarter.
Broncos in first 3 quarters: 45 plays, 171 yards, 3 points.
Denver in 4th quarter: 27 plays, 190 yards, 18 points.
Down 17-10, Denver scored a TD with 7:36 left; they went for 2 points and the lead, and made it, talking the lead for good.
Eagles’ last five drives: 20 plays, 54 yards, no points.
Eagles are 4-1, but they’ve been outgained in all five games.
Philly converted 2-11 third down plays, Broncos 5-16.
Philly is 7-10-1 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.

Buccaneers 38, Seahawks 35
Buccaneers kicked a 39-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.
Tampa Bay is 3-0 on road, with wins by 1-3-3 points.
Tampa Bay is 13-2 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
Mayfield threw for 379 yards, two TD’s.
Both teams averaged 10+ yards/pass attempt.
Seahawks’ first 3 drives: 15 plays, 95 yards, no points.
Seahawks’ last six drives: 30 plays, 311 yards, 35 points, one INT
Seattle is 7-13-1 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite.

Panthers 27, Dolphins 24
Carolina drove 78 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:59 left.
RB Dowdle ran ball 23 times for 206 yards and a TD.
Panthers outgained Miami, 418-248.
Carolina won both its home games, scoring 30-27 points.
Miami led 17-0 with 5:00 left in first half.
Dolphins ran the ball 14 times for only 19 yards.
Dolphins are 0-3 on road, giving up 30.3 ppg.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 9-13-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Vikings 21, Browns 17
Vikings drove 80 yards in 10 plays, scored game-winning TD with 0:25 left.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 28-10 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 20-13-3 ATS as a favorite.
Vikings are first team in ’25 to gain more than 277 yards vs Cleveland.
Rookie QB Gabriel threw for 190 yards, 2 TD’s in his first NFL start.
Rookie RB Judkins ran for 110 yards on 23 carries.
Minnesota converted 3-9 on third down, Cleveland 3-15.
In their 1-4 start, Browns have scored 16-17-13-10-17 points.

Patriots 23, Bills 20
New England led 6-3 at halftime.
Patriots kicked a 52-yard FG with 0:15 left for the win.
Patriots scored 33-42-23 points in wins, 13-14 in losses.
New England is 2-0 on road (33-27 @ Miami/23-20 here)
Bills outgained NE 363-338, but had 3 turnovers (minus-2)
Buffalo in first half: 27 plays, 125 yards, 3 points.
Buffalo in 2nd half: 36 plays, 263 yards, 17 points.
Patriots are 2-5 SU/5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Buffalo.

Famous birthdays, October 6th:
Tony Dungy, 70
Alfredo Griffin, 68
Elisabeth Shue, 62
Rubén Sierra, 60
Jeremy Sisto, 51
Freddy Garcia, 49
Jake Bauers, 30
Bryson Stott, 28
Herb Jones, 27
Trevor Lawrence, 26
Kyle Pitts, 25
Jonathan Kuminga, 23

— Blue Jays 13, New York 7
Toronto led 11-0 in the fourth inning.
Daulton Varsho was 4-for-5, scoring 4 runs, with 4 RBI
Toronto leads series 2-0; Game 3 is Tuesday in New York.

— Mariners 3, Tigers 2
Julio Rodriguez won the game with an 8th inning double.
Skubal pitched 7 innings, but Tigers got only three hits.
Series is tied, 1-1; Game 3 is Tuesday in Detroit.

Texans 44, Ravens 10
Texans’ first five drives: 36 plays, 266 yards, 31 points.
QB Stroud threw for 244 yards, four TD’s.
Houston outgained the Ravens, 417-207.
Texans won last two games 26-0/44-10, after an 0-3 start.
QB Jackson didn’t play; Baltimore trailed 24-3 at halftime.
Baltimore’s first six drives: 28 plays, 112 yards, 7 points.
Ravens gave up 41-38-37-44 points in their four losses.
Ravens are giving up 409.4 yards/game.

Saints 26, Giants 14
Giants led 14-3 New Orleans early in the second quarter.
Rattler threw an 87-yard TD pass to Shaheed.
Howden returned a fumble 86 yards for TD on first play of 4th quarter.
Saints converted 7-15 on third down, Giants 3-10
Giants’ first two drives: 16 plays, 129 yards, 14 points.
Giants rest of game: 53 plays, 207 yards, no points.
Giants are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Giants committed 5 turnovers, had 8 penalties for 95 yards.

Cowboys 37, Jets 22
Cowboys in first half: 32 plays, 298 yards, 23 points.
Dallas led 23-3 at halftime.
Since 2021, Cowboys are 12-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Dallas scored 40-40-37 in wins/tie, 20-14 in losses.
Jets are 10-17 ATS in last 27 games as a home underdog.
Jets are 6-19-1 ATS last 26 games vs NFC teams.
Jets are 8-16-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss.
Jets are 8-17-1 ATS last 26 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Colts 40, Raiders 6
Indy went 3/out on their first five drive.
Colts’ next six drives: 47 plays, 295 yards, six TD’s.
Colts are 3-0 at home, scoring 33-29-40 points.
Under Steichen, Indy is 7-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Raiders drove 80 yards, kicked FG on their first drive.
Raiders’ next six drives: 26 plays, 121 yards, no points.
Las Vegas lost last four games, giving up 20-41-25-40 points.
Raiders are 20-26-1 ATS in last 47 games coming off a loss.

Commanders 27, Chargers 10
Washington’s first two drives: 8 plays, 30 yards, no points.
Washington’s next four drives: 27 plays, 177 yards, 20 points.
QB Daniels is 16-7 as an NFL starter.
Commanders are 7-3 ATS last 10 games with a spread of 3 or fewer points.
Chargers’ first two drives: 18 plays, 119 yards, 10 points.
Chargers rest of game: 47 plays, 221 yards, no points.
QB Herbert has been sacked 16 times in Chargers’ first five games.
Chargers’ WR Keenan Allen caught his 1,000th career pass.

Lions 37, Bengals 24
Lions led 14-3 at halftime.
Detroit’s first two drives in 2nd half: 12 plays, 108 yards, 14 points.
Lions won last three games, scoring 52-38-34-37 points.
Detroit is +7 in turnovers in its last four games.
Bengals lost last three games, by a combined 113-37.
Lions are 12-2 ATS last 14 games as a road favorite.
Detroit is 16-7 ATS in last 23 games vs AFC teams
Detroit is 25-11 ATS last 36 games coming off a win.

 

[Udog]

No game today. Game 3 is Wednesday.

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
NFL QB’s who started in Week 5, who played at Oklahoma:
— Dillon Gabriel
— Jalen Hurts
— Baker Mayfield
— Kyler Murray
— Spencer Rattler
— Caleb Williams

Quote of the Day
“I feel very comfortable. It’s a fair question. We score 3 points in three games in the first half. I totally understand that. But right now, it’s going to remain the same.”
Bengals coach Zac Taylor, on his remaining the play caller

Tuesday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes’ father pitched for six different teams in his 11-year major league career; what did he spend the most time with (5 years)?

Monday’s quiz
Last time Toronto Blue Jays won a playoff series was 2016; they beat Texas in that series.

Sunday’s quiz
Since 2021, Detroit Lions have the NFL’s best record against the spread (51-22)

************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……​

— College football conference trends (in conference games):

American
Home teams 4-9 ATS
Favorites 9-4 ATS

ACC
Road teams 12-8 ATS

Big 18
Underdogs 12-7 ATS

Big X
Favorites 12-7 ATS

Conference USA
Home teams 5-2 ATS

Mid-American
Home teams 7-3 ATS

Mountain West
Home teams 3-4 ATS

SEC
Home underdogs 4-0 ATS
Home teams 11-5 ATS

Sun Belt
Home teams 9-1 ATS

— NFL divisional trends:
AFC East
Home teams 1-4 ATS divisional games
4-6 ATS non-divisional games

AFC North
4-11 ATS non-divisional games

AFC South
8-5 ATS non-divisional games

AFC West
6-7 ATS non-divisional games

NFC East
8-6 ATS non-divisional games

NFC North
7-5 ATS non-divisional games

NFC South
Non-divisional road underdogs 5-3 ATS

NFC South
Home teams 0-4 ATS divisional games
7-5 ATS non-divisional games

— This is only the 4th time ever that every NFL team has a loss by Week 5.

Famous birthdays, October 7th:
José Cardenal, 82
Judy Landers, 67
Dylan Bakler, 66
Priest Holmes, 52
Omar Miller, 47
Evan Longoria, 40
Chase Daniel, 39
Mookie Betts, 33
Jesus Sanchez, 28
Tutu Atwell, 26

— NBA season starts in a couple weeks; NBA uses their preseason to market their game all over the world. Just this month, they’ll have games in:
Adu Dhabi
Australia
China
Puerto Rico
Vancouver, Canada
In regular season, they’ll have NBA games in England, Germany, Mexico City.

— White Sox IF Colson Montgomery hit 21 home runs this year in 71 games, the most home runs EVER by a player who didn’t hit a home run before the All-Star break.

— St Louis Cardinals are probably going to make big changes this winter:
2024: 83-79…….2,869,783 fans at home games (35,872/game)
2025: 78-84…….2,250,007 fans at home games (27,777/game)
Cardinals missed the playoffs the last three years; last time they missed the playoffs 4+ years in a row was 1988-95.

— Texas Rangers hired Skip Schumaker as their new manager; he went 84-78 managing the Marlins in 2023, then went 62-100 last year and he surprisingly resigned.

— Saturday night, Fresno State held off Nevada 20-17 in the Mountain West; Fresno held the ball for the last 8:42 of the game to preserve their win. 15 plays, 68 yards, no punts.

— Sunday in England, Dillon Gabriel was 41st quarterback to start for the Cleveland Browns, since 1999.

— Time flies; the NHL season starts tonight, with three games scheduled.

 

[Udog]

No game today. Game 3 is Wednesday.

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Andy Katz’s top 6 college basketball rivalries:
— North Carolina vs Duke
— Louisville vs Kentucky
— Purdue vs Indiana
— Michigan State vs Michigan
— Kentucky vs Florida
— Tennessee vs Kentucky

Quote of the Day
“I don’t know how to explain it… he’s nasty. I got a ton of respect for him. He gets me a lot and I’ve gotten him.”
Tigers OF Kerry Carpenter, who is 5-11 vs George Kirby, with five home runs

Wednesday’s quiz
In 2019, Arizona Diamondbacks traded Jazz Chisholm to the Marlins; what pitcher did Arizona get in return for him?

Tuesday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes’ father pitched for six different teams in his 11-year major league career; he spent the most time (5 years) pitching for the Twins.

Monday’s quiz
Last time Toronto Blue Jays won a playoff series was 2016; they beat Texas in that series.

*********************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Our first look at Big East basketball teams…….​

This is the time of year where seasons overlap; college basketball starts November 3rd. Here is an early look at the Big East Conference:

— Butler (15-20, 6-14 LY)
haven’t made the NCAA’s since 2018.
shot 37% behind the arc last year (#31)
added senior G Jackson, first-team Horizon League all-star LY
6-7 senior Ajayi scored 17.2 ppg for Pepperdine two years ago, then bolted to Gonzaga, but only scored 7.4 ppg LY, so he is at his third school in three years.

— UConn (24-11, 14-6 LY)
made NCAA’s last 5 years, won 2/last 3 national titles.
last two years, played slow pace (#343/#330)
are deeper this year, expect to play faster.
brought in transfer point guards, from Georgia/Dayton.
62% of their scoring from LY is back, which is a lot.
odd stat; they lost their last four visits to Seton Hall.

— Creighton (25-11, 15-5 LY)
made last 5 NCAA’s, making Sweet 16 three times.
top four scorers from last year are gone.
added five transfers TY, including two from Iowa.
were 3rd-worst team in country at forcing turnovers LY.
have better depth this year (#295/bench minutes LY)

— DePaul (14-20, 4-16 LY)
haven’t made NCAA Tournament since 2004
have been .500 in conference games since 2007.
48.8% of scoring is back from LY, which is good.
only Big East team whose leading scorer is back.
added 5 transfers this year.
shot 34.4% on arc LY; transfer RJ Smith shot 38.6% on arc, at Colorado.

— Georgetown (18-16, 8-12 LY)
made 1 of last 8 NCAA Tourneys (2021)
last four years, they’re 12-67 in conference games.
added six transfers TY, including three big guys
junior PG was once Ivy League Rookie of Year at Harvard
need better shooting (shot 32.3% on arc LY)
were 10-3 out of conference LY, but they played easiest non-conference schedule in country.

— Marquette (23-11, 13-7 LY)
made NCAA Tournament last four years, going 3-4.
under Smart, they’re 61-27 in Big East games.
forced turnovers 21.7% of time LY (#18)
were #3 in country in turnover margin LY.
were #279 in rebounding margin LY.
lost top three scorers from LY, get PG Jones back (was hurt LY)

Famous birthdays, October 8th:
Chevy Chase, 82
Sigourney Weaver, 76
Enos Cabell, 76
Mike Morgan, 66
Tony Eason, 66
Emily Procter, 57
Matt Damon, 55
Monty Williams, 54
Olmedo Saenz, 55
Nick Allen, 27
Hunter Goodman, 26
Isaiah Collier, 21

— Providence (12-20, 6-14)
missed NCAA’s the last two years.
best player was hurt LY, then bolted to St John’s.
Friars lost 10 of their last 11 games LY.
were #346 LY in forcing turnovers.
added three transfers to bolster their backcourt.
shot 35.6% on arc LY (#76); 45.5% of their shots were 3’s (#50)

— Seton Hall (7-25, 2-18 LY)
LY, had #356 eFG% offense.
LY, had #335 eFG% defense.
forced turnovers 22.2% of time LY (#8)
their NIL budget is $1.5M, about 1/3 of most Big East teams.
haven’t made NCAA’s since 2022.
senior F Fisher played last 3 years at: Texas Tech, DePaul, Pacific

— St John’s (31-5, 18-2 LY)
made NCAA’s LY for first time since 2019
have 11 games this year at Madison Square Garden; high expectations.
were #317 in bench minutes LY.
Shot 30.1% on arc last year (#340)
added 6 transfers this year, 4 of them guards.
big guy Ejiofor scored 14.7 ppg LY, grabbed 8.1 rebounds/game.

— Villanova (21-15, 11-9 LY)
were 31-29 in Big East in 3 years under Neptune (0-0 in NCAA’s).
Kevin Willard is new coach; he’s made NCAA’s 7 of last 9 years.
Villanova’s subs played #358 minutes LY.
Willard added 11 transfers; they’re deeper, will play faster.
Last 4 years, Devin Askew has played for Cal, Texas, Kentucky, Long Beach State

— Xavier (22-12, 13-7 LY)
made NCAA’s twice in last seven years.
Richard Pitino is new coach (27-11 conference games last 2 years)
Pitino’s Lobos were in top 25 in tempo all four years he was there.
Pitino added 10 transfers TY; six of them scored double figures LY.
Those six transfers come from smaller programs:
Belmont, Boise State, Evansville, Montana, North Dakota, Valparaiso

 

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 8