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Dunkel

Tuesday, September 19


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WNBA

Tuesday, September 19


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Trend Report
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TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
WAS at NY07:00 PMWAS +10.5
O 162.5
+500 +500
ATL at DAL09:00 PMDAL -6.5
U 170.5
+500 +500
 

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WNBA PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

09/19/2023.......................3 - 1.........................75.00%...................+ 9.50
09/17/2023.......................2 - 2.........................50.00%...................- 1.00
09/15/2023.......................2 - 2..........................50.00%...................- 1.00
09/13/2023.......................2 - 2 ........................50.00%....................- 1.00


TOTALS...............................6 - 6.........................50.00%....................+ 6.50
 

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Completed Picks​

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Sep 19, 2023WNBAAtlanta
Dallas
74
101
Over 170.5Win
Sep 15, 2023NCAAFArmy
Texas-San Antonio
37
29
Over 42.0Win
Sep 14, 2023NFLMinnesota
Philadelphia
28
34
Under 50.0Loss
Sep 13, 2023WNBAMinnesota
Connecticut
60
90
CON -9.0Win
Sep 9, 2023NCAAFNew Mexico State
Liberty
17
33
LIB -9.5Win
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:

College football spreads for this week:
— Florida State (-2) @ Clemson
— Oklahoma (-14) @ Cincinnati
— UCLA @ Utah (-4.5)
— Ole Miss @ Alabama (-7)
— Arkansas @ LSU (-17.5)
— Oregon State (-3) @ Washington State

Quote of the Day
“After many years of receiving professional help, not gambling, and being in recovery from my addictions, I’m now able to sit still, be present in the moment and live each day with an inner calm and peace. I still have a lot of cleaning up to do with those I love the most but I’m doing it slowly and as best I can.”
Phil Mickelson

Wednesday’s quiz
What city was the TV show Frasier set in?

Tuesday’s quiz
Carolina Panthers have played in/lost two Super Bowls; Jake Delhomme, Cam Newton were their QB’s in those two games.

Monday’s quiz
Denzel Washington got his big break as a regular in the old TV show St Elsewhere; Timothy Robbins was also in several episodes of that show the first year, but only as a guest star.

**********************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— This is interesting: Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Yusei Kikuchi says he usually goes to bed around 11:00 p.m. and wakes up at 1 p.m, the night before he pitches.

He left with cramps during Tuesday’s game and says it may be because he only got 11 hours of sleep Monday night before instead of his usual 13-14 hours.

— Florida State is a 2.5-point road favorite at Clemson this week. Tigers have been favored in their last 46 home games; 2016 was last time they were a home underdog.

— Football coaches take different paths to the top of their profession; there are guys who are good coaches who never even played at a high level. Other were substitute players who learned from their coaches, then became coaches themselves.

Lions’ offensive coordinator Ben Johnson seems like he is really good at his job; he was a walk-on QB at North Carolina in his college days- he graduated from UNC with a degree in math and computer science.

His career path since then:
2009-10— Boston College, grad assistant
2011— Boston College, tight ends coach

2012— Miami Dolphins, offensive assistant
2013-15— Miami Dolphins, assistant QB coach, TE coach
2016-17— Miami Dolphins, assistant WR coach
2018— Miami Dolphins, WR coach

2019— Detroit Lions, quality control coach
2020-21— Detroit Lions, tight ends coach
2021— Detroit Lions, passing game coordinator
2022— Detroit Lions, offensive coordinator

He’s going to be a head coach in the NFL soon; for Jared Goff’s sake, hopefully not too soon.

Padres 2, Rockies 0
Xander Bogaerts snapped a scoreless tie with a walk-off home run.
Blake Snell no-hit Colorado for seven innings.

Marlins 4, Mets 3
Brandon Nimmo tied game in 9th with a 2-run double.
Jake Burger ended game with a walk-off single in bottom of 9th.

Cubs 14, Pirates 1— Alexander Canario hit a grand slam, his first big league homer.

Orioles 9, Astros 5
Austin Hays hit two homers for the Orioles.
Houston is only 38-39 at home.

Dodgers 3, Tigers 2— Max Muncy hit a walk-off single in ninth inning.

— Word of the Day: Aficionado— a person who is very knowledgeable and enthusiastic about an activity, subject, or pastime.

— Football Trend of the Day: UNLV is favored by 2.5 points at Texas-El Paso this week; since 2005, the Rebels are 3-10 ATS as a road favorite.

— Los Angeles Kings/Arizona Coyotes are bringing NHL hockey to Australia this week, playing in Rod Laver Arena, usually a tennis venue.

— Was weird Monday night seeing Cleveland QB Deshaun Watson getting two facemark penalties on offense— you just don’t see that a lot.

— Is Reds 1B Joey Votto going to be a Hall of Famer? 17 years in the majors, all in Cincinnati, the guy has a career on-base %age of .410, an OPS of .921, which is really good. 356 career home runs, but he played home games in a small ballpark. It’ll be an interesting discussion.

— Giants outscored Arizona 31-8 in the second half of their comeback win Sunday; the Giants’ best eight plays of the game, which all gained 15+ yards, all came on first-and-10.

— In their first two games, Chicago Bears gained total of five yards on nine plays on their first drive of the third quarter. Chicago’s opponents have gained 164 yards on 20 plays on their first drive after halftime, scoring TD’s on both drives.

— On their first drive of each half so far, Dallas Cowboys have driven 72-75-75-55 yards, scoring two TD’s, kicking two FG’s. Their opponents have gained 48 yards on 24 plays, giving up a TD to Dallas on a blocked field goal.

— This is the 58th year of the Super Bowl era; during that time, there have been 33 teams who in their first two games of a season:

Scored 50+ points.
Didn’t turn the ball over in either game.

Of those 33 teams, the 2023 Chargers are the only team that started out 0-2.
 

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Dunkel

Wednesday, September 20


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WNBA

Wednesday, September 20


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Trend Report
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Connecticut @ Minnesota
Connecticut
Connecticut is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Connecticut


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WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 20

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CON at MIN08:00 PMCON -5.0
O 158.0
+500 +500
 

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WNBA PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

09/20/2023.......................2 - 0........................100.00%.................+10.00
09/19/2023.......................3 - 1.........................75.00%...................+ 9.50
09/17/2023.......................2 - 2.........................50.00%...................- 1.00
09/15/2023.......................2 - 2..........................50.00%...................- 1.00
09/13/2023.......................2 - 2 ........................50.00%....................- 1.00


TOTALS...............................8 - 6.........................57.14%....................+ 16.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:

NFL spreads for this week:
— Giants @ San Francisco (-10.5)
— Chargers @ Minnesota (even)
— Titans @ Cleveland (-3.5)
— Texans @ Jacksonville (-9)
— Patriots (-2.5) @ Jets
— Saints @ Green Bay (-2)

Quote of the Day
“After many years of receiving professional help, not gambling, and being in recovery from my addictions, I’m now able to sit still, be present in the moment and live each day with an inner calm and peace. I still have a lot of cleaning up to do with those I love the most but I’m doing it slowly and as best I can.”
Phil Mickelson

Thursday’s quiz
Which city hosts the Sun Bowl every December?

Wednesday’s quiz
The TV show Frasier was set in Seattle.

Tuesday’s quiz
Carolina Panthers have played in/lost two Super Bowls; Jake Delhomme, Cam Newton were their QB’s in those two games.

*******************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

— Chicago Bears have lost 12 games in a row, dating back to last year; things are getting tense in the Windy City.

QB Justin Fields characterized his play as “robotic”; when he was asked why, he answered:

“You know, could be coaching, I think. At the end of the day, they are doing their job when they are giving me what to look at, but at the end of the day, I can’t be thinking about that when the game comes. I prepare myself throughout the week, and then when the game comes, it’s time to play free at that point. Thinking less and playing more.”

Fields is 5-22 as an NFL starting QB; if he doesn’t win some games soon, he won’t have to worry about playing like a robot— he won’t be playing.

— Bears’ defensive coordinator Alan Williams quit so that he can focus on his health; no idea what that means specifically, but hopefully he feels better soon.

— Of the 32 NFL quarterbacks who started last week, they represent 27 different colleges; Alabama is the only program with three alumni in that group (Tagovailoa, Mac Jones and Bryce Young).

— There are 61 Australian punters scattered around the country in college football this season.

— Standings in the AL West, with 11 days left in the regular season:

Astros 85-68
Mariners 84-68
Rangers 84-68

Right now, Seattle/Texas are tied for the last Wild Card slot, a game behind Toronto. Going to be a hell of a last week; a deserving team is going to get left out of the playoffs.

— In the National League, Cubs lead Miami by half a game for the last Wild Card slot, with the Reds another half-game behind that. Arizona is 1.5 games ahead of the Cubs.

— Word of the Day: Bupkis— this word means absolutely nothing; it comes from the Yiddish word bobkes, meaning nonsense or nothing.

— Football Trend of the Day: Los Angeles Chargers are 8-17-7 ATS in last 32 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

— So far this season, NFC teams are 6-0 against AFC teams.

— Last time the Orioles made the playoffs was 2016; from what I can tell, only guy who was in the 2016 starting lineup for those Orioles and is still in the major leagues is Manny Machado.

— There are 37 unbeaten teams left in college football.

Astros 2, Orioles 1
Baltimore led 1-0 after seven innings behind P Kyle Bradish.
Jeremy Pena tied the game with an RBI double in the 8th
Mauricio Dubon won the game with a walk-off single to right field.

— There is a tight end with the Miami Hurricanes who is in his 8th year of college eligibility; he had been sidelined for three years with a broken ankle, and he recently petitioned the NCAA for a ninth year of eligibility.

His career totals include 20 catches for 197 yards and four touchdowns; maybe he just really, really likes going to college for free.

— LA Rams basically gave RB Cam Akers to the Vikings; the teams exchanged a 6th/7th round draft pick in 2026 in exchange for Akers, that’s it.

— Diamondbacks’ OF Corbin Carroll is the first rookie in MLB history to hit 25 home runs and steal 50 bases in a season; granted the new rules make stealing bases easier, but 25-50 in still a damn good achievement.
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:
NFL spreads for this week:
— Colts @ Baltimore (-8.5)
— Panthers @ Seattle (-6)
— Cowboys (-12.5) @ Arizona
— Bears @ Kansas City (-12.5)
— Steelers @ Las Vegas (-3)
— Eagles (-4.5) @ Tampa Bay

Quote of the Day
“I’m honestly just kind of speechless right now. He gave all of us brand-new cleats. Most of us really needed it too because I was giving out some of my (old) cleats to the boys, but Marcus Mariota pulled through and gave us some cleats and we just wanted to thank him for all he’s done for us and everything he’s accomplished.”
Kuola Watson, a high school football player in Hawai’i

Friday’s quiz
Where did 49ers QB Brock Purdy play his college football?

Thursday’s quiz
El Paso, TX hosts the Sun Bowl every December.

Wednesday’s quiz
The TV show Frasier was set in Seattle.

********************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

49ers 30, Giants 12
— Giants have been outscored 63-6 in first half of their three games.
— Big Blue averaged only 3.5 yards/pass attempt.
— Under is 17-9 in their last 26 road games.
— Daniel Jones is 23-34-1 as an NFL starter.
— San Francisco scored 30-30-30 points in winning first three games
— SF is 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite.
— 49ers outgained Giants 441-150.
— Giants were 3-12 on third down, 49ers were 9-16.

Georgia State 30, Coastal Carolina 17
— Georgia State won first three I-A games, scoring 41-35-30 points.
— Last 3+ years, Panthers are 10-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 4+ years, Chanticleers are 9-13 ATS as a home favorite.
— Georgia State ran ball for 182 yards, converted 9-15 on third down.

— Broncos visit Miami Sunday; Dolphins’ new defensive coordinator is Vic Fangio, who was Denver’s head coach from 2019-21, going 19-30 in three seasons, when he didn’t have Elway, Manning or even Russell Wilson as his QB.

— Which reminds me, NFL coordinators make a boatload of $$$, don’t deal with the media much, their job is just football. I’m wonderful if coordinators are ever happy just to do that job, as opposed to becoming a head coach, where the job is more diverse, the $$$ is bigger, but maybe the job isn’t as much fun and is more aggravating.
Probably not often, but I’m guessing it has happened once or twice.

— Looks like the qualifying offer for potential free agents in baseball will be around $20.5M this winter; teams offer the potential free agent $20.5M and if he turns it down, that team gets a compensatory draft pick when he signs with a different team.
Of the last 124 players in this situation, only 13 took the qualifying offer.

— Summer flew by; NHL training camps opened this week.

— Word of the Day: Oblivion— A state of unawareness of what’s going on around you.

— Football Trend of the Day: Last 5+ years, Clemson is 30-13-1 ATS in ACC games.

— First two weeks in the NFL, new head coaches have lost nine of ten games.

— Carolina Panthers’ QB Bryce Young hasn’t practiced the last couple days, looks like Andy Dalton will get the start Sunday in Seattle.

— NC State plays at Virginia Friday, where Wolfpack QB Brennan Armstrong will see a lot of old friends; Armstrong played for Virginia the last three years, starting 30 games.

— Mets’ OF Tim Locastro has an unusual stat line; in his career, Locastro has been hit by 42 pitches, but he’s only walked 36 times.
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Most home runs leading off a game in MLB history:
81— Rickey Henderson
57— George Springer
54— Alfonso Soriano
53— Craig Biggio
48— Ian Kinsler
48— Mookie Betts

Quote of the Day
“It’s elite company, that’s for sure. I’m just glad I got a front-row seat to watch it.”
Braves’ manager Brian Snitker, on Ronald Acuna’s season

Saturday’s quiz
Who was the first major leaguer to hit 40+ home runs and steal 40+ bases in the same season?

Friday’s quiz
49ers QB Brock Purdy played his college football at Iowa State.

Thursday’s quiz
El Paso, TX hosts the Sun Bowl every December.

*******************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday…….

— Braves 9, Nationals 6— Ronald Acuna is the first player ever to hit 40+ home runs, steal 60+ bases in the same season.

— Brewers 16, Marlins 1— Milwaukee scored 12 runs in the second inning, clinching their fifth playoff spot in six years.
Christian Yelich hit two homers and a double, knocked in five runs.

— Phillies 5, Mets 4 (10)— Alec Bohm had the walk-off single in the 10th inning, after the Mets tied the game in the ninth, on a Brett Baty home run.
Mets are only fourth team ever to finish under .500, the season after they won 100+ games.

— Rangers 8, Mariners 5— Rookie Evan Carter hit a 3-run homer as Texas takes over first place in the AL West.

— Royals 7, Astros 5— Houston is 3-7 in its last ten games; Kansas City has won eight of its last nine games— they’re 52-102 but still competing.
Astros are hanging on by a thread to the last playoff spot in the AL.

— New York 7, Arizona 1— Aaron Judge hit three homers, knocked in six runs.

— Padres 4, Cardinals 2— San Diego has won eight games in a row; they’re not totally out of the playoff picture yet.
Manny Machado hit two home runs for the Padres.

— Word of the Day: Annihilate— totally destroy or obliterate.

— Football Trend of the Day: Last two years, Tennessee Titans are 12-5 ATS coming off a win.

— NC State 24, Virginia 21
State QB Armstrong played four years at Virginia; he returned Friday and got a win.
Wolfpack kicked a 33-yard FG after two unsportsmanlike conduct penalties on Virginia gave NC State excellent field position.

— Wisconsin 38, Purdue 17
Badgers led 21-3 at halftime.
Wisconsin converted 12-18 third down plays.

— Boise State 34, San Diego State 31
Aztecs lost a fumble on the 1-yard line on their first possession, missed a 40-yard FG when game was 17-17.

— Air Force 45, San Jose State 20
Air Force outscored the Spartans 28-0 in the second half.
Flyboys ran the football for 403 yards.

— Seven starters are out for the Ravens this week; they host the Colts, who 40 years ago called Baltimore home. Rookie QB Richardson is out for the Colts; Gardner Minshew gets the nod under center.

— Andy Dalton will start at QB for Carolina when they visit the Seahawks Sunday; two of the three rookie QB’s who started in Week 1 are hurt already, and Houston QB Stroud has been put on an “arm management program” which probably means he has a sore arm already.
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Major league leaders in runs scored:
143— Ronald Acuna
125— Freddie Freeman/Mookie Betts
122— Matt Olson
115— Marcus Semien
110— Austin Riley
109— Corbin Carroll

Quote of the Day
“I thought the play was dead. I was yelling at somebody else on the side and then the ball’s coming back my way. I said, ‘Dang, that ain’t supposed to happen.’ I’m lucky I didn’t get ran over.”
Texas A&M coach Jimbo Fisher, who was on the field while an Auburn player ran a punt back 67 yards for a TD.

Sunday’s quiz
What city hosts the Holiday Bowl every December?

Saturday’s quiz
Jose Canseco was the first major leaguer to hit 40+ home runs and steal 40+ bases in the same season, in 1988.

Friday’s quiz
49ers QB Brock Purdy played his college football at Iowa State.

*****************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday…….

— Florida State 31, Clemson 24 OT
Seminoles end 7-game losing skid vs Clemson.
Clemson missed a 29-yard FG with 1:45 left in regulation, with score 24-all.
Tigers outgained Florida State 429-311.

— Ohio State 17, Notre Dame 14
Buckeyes scored on 1-yard TD run with 0:01 left.
Game-winning drive was 65 yards, took 1:26.
Ohio State converted 10-17 third down plays.

— LSU 34, Arkansas 31
LSU kicked 20-yard FG with 0:05 left for the win.
LSU also threw 49-yard TD pass with 0:30 left in first half.
Arkansas led game 13-3 in second quarter.

— Utah 14, UCLA 7
Utes scored on a pick-6 0:12 into the game.
UCLA didn’t score until there was 3:39 left in game.
Utah is 4-0, and their starting QB Rising still hasn’t played this year.

— Northwestern 37, Minnesota 34 OT
Minnesota led this game 31-10 after the third quarter.
Wildcats threw an 11-yard TD pass to tie game with 0:02 left.
Northwestern QB Bryant was 33-49/396 passing, with 4 TD’s.

— Indiana 29, Akron 27 OT
Each team had ball four times in overtime.
Akron tied game on a 71-yard TD run with 3:34 left.
Hoosiers were favored by 16.5 points.

Upsets of the Week:
Central Michigan (+16) 34, South Alabama 30
Northwestern (+11) 37, Minnesota 34 OT
West Virginia (+6) 20, Texas Tech 13
Arkansas State (+6) 44, Southern Miss 37
Georgia State (+4.5) 30, Coastal Carolina 17

Word of the Day: Jocularity— causing lighthearted laughter and amusement.

— Oregon 42, Colorado 6
Game was 35-0 at halftime.
Oregon QB Nix was 28-33/269 passing, with two TD’s.
Colorado ran 58 plays for 199 yards; they had 106 penalty yards.

— Central Michigan 34, South Alabama 30
Jaguars upset Oklahoma State in Stillwater last week, then went home and got upset here.
Chippewas scored winning TD on a 4-yard run with 0:13 left.
South Alabama led 14-0 after the first quarter.

— Texas State 35, Nevada 24
Nevada led 17-0 at half; they had a 98-yard pick-6.
Texas State outgained the Wolf Pack, 574-353
Both teams turned ball over three times.

— Marshall 24, Virginia Tech 17— Thundering Herd was favored at home, but it is still a bad look for an ACC team to lose to a Sun Belt team.

— Alabama 24, Ole Miss 10
Ole Miss led 7-6 at halftime.
Rebels were 3-14 on third down, 3-4 on fourth down.
Alabama QB Milroe was 17-21/225 passing, with a TD.

— Washington State 38, Oregon State 35
Wazzu led 35-14 after three quarters.
Coogs’ QB Ward was 28-34/404 passing, with four TD’s.
TV people played the Bill Withers’ song, Just the Two of Us, as the game went to a commercial, in reference to these schools being left behind by the rest of the Pac-12.
 

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Dunkel

Sunday, September 24


qiupVuj.png




WNBA

Sunday, September 24


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Trend Report
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Connecticut @ New York
Connecticut
Connecticut is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Connecticut is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing New York
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
New York is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Dallas @ Las Vegas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Dallas's last 16 games
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 24

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CON at NY01:00 PMCON +8.5
O 163.0
+500 +500
 

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WNBA PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

09/24/2023.......................1 - 1...........................50.00%.................- 0.50
09/20/2023.......................2 - 0........................100.00%.................+10.00
09/19/2023.......................3 - 1.........................75.00%...................+ 9.50
09/17/2023.......................2 - 2.........................50.00%...................- 1.00
09/15/2023.......................2 - 2..........................50.00%...................- 1.00
09/13/2023.......................2 - 2 ........................50.00%....................- 1.00


TOTALS...............................9 - 7.........................56.25%....................+ 16.00
 

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