Active member
Sep 26, 2005

Completed Picks

Sep 13, 2023WNBAMinnesota
CON -9.0Win
Sep 9, 2023NCAAFNew Mexico State
LIB -9.5Win

Active member
Sep 26, 2005

09/15/2023.......................2 - 2 - 0........................50.00%.....................- 1.00

Jun 22, 2009
Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:

Six biggest American cities, in terms of population:
6) Philadelphia
5) Phoenix
4) Houston
3) Chicago
2) Los Angeles
1) New York

Quote of the Day
“I told my wife and the couple of people that I confided in the night we made the decision, I told them it’s going to be bad. A couple of people were like, ‘Well, it’ll be a few hours, a few days, but it’ll blow by.’ I said ‘No, I’ve lived in these shoes. It’s going to be that bad.’

“I had a lot of different people trying to break into the house the days after it happened, and 95% of the fans and people out there at Oklahoma or anybody else are great. You typically always have that percentage that at times take it too far. Obviously, this was one of those instances.”
USC coach Lincoln Riley, on the reaction in Norman when he bolted Oklahoma for USC

Thursday’s quiz
Which former NFL head coach (he coached in multiple Super Bowls), also played in the NBA?

Wednesday’s quiz
Giants’ QB Daniel Jones played his college football at Duke.

Tuesday’s quiz
Carolina coach Frank Reich coach threw the first TD pass in Carolina Panther history.


Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

Braves 4, Phillies 1
Atlanta wins the NL East for the sixth year in a row.
Strider struck out nine hitters in 7 IP.

— Texas Rangers lost P Max Scherzer for the rest of the regular season after straining a muscle in his upper arm. He isn’t having surgery, could return to the playoffs, but it isn’t likely.

— Rangers’ 1st-round pick in this year’s draft was Wyatt Langford, an outfielder who has 27 RBI in his first 35 pro games, while playing for three different teams. He’s already up to the AA level, where he is 10 for his first 26 at the plate.

— Washington Nationals agreed to a multiyear contract extension with GM Mike Rizzo, who has been running the Nationals for 15 years now. Washington has already won 10 more games this year than they did all of last year, but they’re still likely to finish last for fourth year in a row, after they won the World Series in 2019.

— Aaron Rodgers gets hurt, and now the NFL Players’ Association wants the league to get rid of artificial turf. This, from NFLPA Executive Director Lloyd Howell:

“Moving all stadium fields to high quality natural grass surfaces is the easiest decision the NFL can make. The players overwhelmingly prefer it and the data is clear that grass is simply safer than artificial turf.”

Stay tuned on this one.

— Movie of the Day— Heartburn (1986)— A female writer from New York meets a famous columnist from Washington at a wedding; they up falling in love despite her reservations about getting married. They buy a house that needs a lot of renovations— the guy in charge of the renovations is played by Yakov Smirnov— he wasn’t good at his job.

Great cast: Jack Nicholson/Meryl Streep are the writers. Their friends include Richard Masur, Jeff Daniels, Stockard Channing. Steven Hill (the original DA on Law and Order) is the bride’s father.

Good movie, a little dated now but Jack Nicholson is always good. Carly Simon did the music for this movie, which adds a lot.

— Word of the Day— Oxymoron— a combination of words that have opposite or very different meanings, like “cruel kindness”, “open secret” or “jumbo shrimp”

— NFL Trend of the Day— Under Dan Campbell, Lions are 24-10-1 ATS, 4-1 as a home favorite.

— Apparently, Bucs’ QB Baker Mayfield figured out Minnesota’s defensive signals in the first half of their game last week; he watched their signals and knew what defense they were going to begin. Is it possible that a teams’ signals are so simple that they can be stolen with the naked eye?

If I owned the Vikings, I’d be asking some freakin’ questions.

— This is from Bill Barnwell, of ESPN:

Five oldest teams in the NFL: Saints, Broncos, Eagles, 49ers, Bills

Five youngest teams in the NFL: Giants, Chiefs, Packers, Bears, Lions

— San Diego is the 8th-biggest city in America; was it a good move financially for the Chargers to bolt San Diego for SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles? I’m not saying yes or no, just wondering.

— A hacking group named Scattered Spider brought down the systems of the $14B gaming giant MGM Resorts International this week.

Several MGM systems remained paralyzed for a third straight day Wednesday after it said on Monday it had shut down some of them to contain a “cybersecurity issue.” The company, which operates over 30 hotel and gaming venues around the world including in Macau and Las Vegas, is investigating the hacking.

This isn’t good; I’ve stayed at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas several times, excellent place. Very good sports book, good pizzeria (Bonanno’s) around the corner from there.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Phillies, Cubs, Cin/Ariz
AL: Orioles, Twins, Astros. Wild Cards: Rays, Rangers, Mariners
Posted on September 14, 2023Leave a comment on Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings

— For the next two weeks, there will be two NFL games on Monday nights, starting an hour apart (7:15/8:15 ET).

— There is some good news for the Jets within the Aaron Rodgers fiasco; because Rodgers won’t play anymore this season, the 2024 draft pick the Jets are sending to Green Bay slips from a 1st-round pick to a 2nd-round pick. Small consolation, but it’ll help next spring.

— But where the Jets/Rodgers are concerned, there is way more bad news than good news; here are the cap charges for Rodgers:

2023— $8.9M
2024— $17.1M
2025— $51.5M

Green Bay
2023— $40.3M

— When the Jets’ Xavier Gipson ran that punt back for a TD in overtime Monday night, it was just the third time there was a punt return TD in overtime:

2023— Xavier Gipson, NYJ
2011— Patrick Peterson, Ariz
1995— Tamarick Vanover, KC

— Field position is important in football; there were six NFL games over the weekend where one team won average starting field position by 10+ yards; all six of those teams won.

Avoiding 3/outs in important; you want the other team to have to drive as far as possible to score, so getting a first down or two, even if you don’t score, helps the squad out.

— In Week 1 of the NFL, there were exactly 100 plays of 20+ yards. Broken down by what down they happened on:

1st down: 43
2nd down: 29
3rd down: 26
4th down: 2

— Sunday in Cleveland, Cincinnati Bengals had the football seven times in the first half; they punted all seven times. They ran 26 plays in the first half for 83 yards, with only 3 first downs.

Bengals had only one play longer than 12 yards the whole game; their game with the Ravens Sunday will be very interesting to watch.

— More and more NFL teams are going for it on 4th down in situations where it is debatable whether it is a smart thing to do. When asked why, they always reply “analytics” which is total BS.

Colts were down 31-21 in the last 2:00 Sunday; QB Richardson got hurt, backup Gardner Minshew came in, but you need 10 points anyway, and time was a factor. Why not just kick the FG; either way, they needed to recover an onside kick to tie/win the game, but no, they went for it, failed, and the game quickly ended.

I’ll just say this; the old-school way isn’t always the wrong way. Understood that I went to a state college and barely graduated, so I’m basically a moron, but these Ivy League nitwits don’t have all the answers, either.

— Word of the Day: tenacious— unwilling to accept defeat or stop doing or having something. Persistent, stubborn, or obstinate.

— NFL Trend of the Day: Under Nick Sirianni, Eagles are 9-3 ATS as a home favorite, 4-7 as a road favorite.

— Mets are poaching Milwaukee Brewers’ president of baseball operations David Stearns; he will become the Mets’ new president of baseball ops. He grew up in New York City as a huge Mets’ fan; when the moronic Wilpon family owned the Mets, then-GM Omar Minaya wanted to hire Stearns to a permanent position (he was an intern) but the Wilpons said no.

Somehow, current GM Billy Eppler will stay with the Mets, despite this debacle of a season they’re having. He will be the #2 guy in the front office, serving under Stearns.

Braves 7, Phillies 6 (10)
Eddie Rosario had the game-winning hit for Atlanta.
Matt Olson hit his 51st home run this year.

Dodgers 11, Padres 2
Freddie Freeman went 4-5, with 4 runs scored, 2 RBI.
Will Smith scored three runs, knocked in three more.

— Cubs’ rookie OF Pete Crow-Armstrong appears to be a legitimately great defensive CF; he made two tremendous catches Tuesday night, robbing Nolan Jones of a pair of doubles, at least.

Crow-Armstrong is the son of actress Ashley Crow, who was the mom in Little Big League.

Rangers 6, Blue Jays 3
Corey Seager got his 1,000th career hit; he also had hits #1,001 and #1,002.
Max Scherzer left after 5.1 scoreless IP with some kind of an injury.

Jun 22, 2009
Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack:

Teams who have scored the most runs:
848— Braves
820— Dodgers
812— Rangers
784— Rays
758— Astros
744— Orioles

Quote of the Day
“………the most important skill is controlling your attention. This goes beyond merely avoiding distractions. The deeper skill is finding the highest and best use for your time, given what is important to you.”
James Clear

Friday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Philadelphia Eagles the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

Thursday’s quiz
Former Minnesota Vikings coach Bud Grant also played in the NBA; he played 96 games for the Minneapolis Lakers from 1949-51.

Wednesday’s quiz
Giants’ QB Daniel Jones played his college football at Duke.


Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

Eagles 34, Vikings 28
Down 10-7 in 2nd quarter, Viking WR Jefferson lost fumble on 1-yard line.
Jefferson caught 11 passes for 159 yards, but that was a huge play.
Vikings are 0-2, with seven turnovers (minus-6).
Vikings have run ball 26 times for 69 yards in two games; no bueno.

D’Andre Swift carried ball 28 times for 175 yards and a TD.
Total yardage in this game: Eagles 430, Vikings 374.
Under Sirianni, over is 13-5 in Eagle home games.
Jalen Hurts is 27-13 as an NFL starter.

— Amazon Prime shows these Thursday games; they have four former NFL stars sitting there doing their studio show, but they have Kirk Herbstreit as their game analyst— he never played in the NFL, plus he already has a full plate with his college football TV work.

Here’s a suggestion: Vikings-Eagles last night, have Randy Moss/Ron Jaworski in the TV booth. Next week, Giants-49ers; have Joe Montana/Lawrence Taylor in the booth. It would be an interesting experiment, bringing in retired stars from the teams playing that night.

— Boston Red Sox fired Chief Baseball Officer Chaim Bloom Thursday as the team stumbled toward a third last-place finish in Bloom’s four years running things.

Bloom traded star OF Mookie Betts to the Dodgers, for Alex Verdugo and some prospects who haven’t panned out. Boston also acquired SS Trevor Story, while letting Xander Bogaerts walk.

Red Sox were 267-262 in Bloom’s tenure; Boston is a big market team, but for some reason, they try to run the organization like Billy Beane’s A’s from Moneyball.

Bloom is still only 40 years old; he went to college at Yale, which qualified him to run a major league franchise in his 30’s. Another Ivy League nitwit bites the dust.

Here’s a hint: DO NOT TRADE great players; Mookie Betts is a great player.

Memphis 28, Navy 24
Memphis WR Watson caught 10 passes for 169 yards and a TD.
Navy ran for 299 yards; they also threw 20 passes— twenty!!!!
Both teams turned ball over twice.

— New Jersey Jets still have four primetime games left on their schedule, including a Week 17 game in Cleveland. Would the NFL flex out of those games, with Aaron Rodgers sidelined?

— Former NFL QB Andrew Luck is doing some schoolwork at Stanford these days; apparently he is also a volunteer assistant football coach at Palo Alto HS, near the Stanford campus.

— Word of the Day— Disingenuous— Giving the false appearance of being honest or sincere.

— College Football Trend of the Day— Last four years, Pitt Panthers are 11-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— Notable free agent pitchers this winter:
Blake Snell
Aaron Nola
Clayton Kershaw

Jack Flaherty
Lucas Giolito
Jordan Montgomery

Luis Severino
Julio Urias
Shohei Ohtani

Rays 4, Orioles 3— Luke Raley’s 7th inning home run was a game-winner.

Mets 11, Diamondbacks 1— Kodai Senga fanned 10 hitters in six shutout IP.

Pirates 2, Nationals 0— Mitch Keller tossed eight shutout IP.

Brewers 4, Marlins 2— Milwaukee leads NL Central by 4.5 games.

Rangers 9, Blue Jays 2— Corey Seager went 3-4, with two runs scored, three RBI.

Jun 22, 2009

Friday, September 15



Friday, September 15

Trend Report

Washington @ New York
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games
New York
New York is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Atlanta @ Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing Atlanta


Active member
Sep 26, 2005


WAS at NY07:30 PMNY -9.0
U 162.5
+500 +500
ATL at DAL09:30 PMATL +6.5
O 169.5
+500 +500

Active member
Sep 26, 2005

09/15/2023.......................2 - 2..........................50.00%....................- 1.00
09/13/2023.......................2 - 2 ........................50.00%.....................- 1.00

TOTALS...............................4 - 4.........................50.00%.....................- 2.00

Active member
Sep 26, 2005
Saturday’s 6-pack:
Teams who have scored the least runs:
542— Oakland
591— Detroit
602— Miami
603— Cleveland
605— Kansas City/White Sox
622— Pittsburgh

Quote of the Day
“We talked about when he did it, how bad the bone bruise was, that it’s similar to even what a fracture is. Bone bruise, fracture, either way, he’s unable to play right now, and we’re trying to get him back to where he is.”
Angels manager Phil Nevin, talking about 3B Anthony Rendon’s injury

Saturday’s quiz
Which college football team is known as the Chanticleers?

Friday’s quiz
Hall of Fame coach Dick Vermeil was coach of the Philadelphia Eagles the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Thursday’s quiz
Former Minnesota Vikings coach Bud Grant also played in the NBA; he played 96 games for the Minneapolis Lakers from 1949-51.


Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..

— There have been only three teams who started a season 0-2, then won the Super Bowl, so Week 2 is a pretty big game for teams who lost last week.
1993 Dallas
2001 New England
2007 New Jersey Giants…….those teams started 0-2, then won the Super Bowl

— Alabama is switching QB’s this week, going with Notre Dame transfer Tyler Buchner for their game against South Florida today. Jalen Milroe started the Crimson Tide’s first two games.

— Maryland 42, Virginia 14
Virginia led 14-0; Maryland’s first score was a 98-yard kick return for a TD.
Cavaliers turned ball over four times (minus-4); they’re 0-3 already.
Second week in row Maryland won after trailing 14-0.

— Army 37, Texas-San Antonio 29
Army ran ball for 254 yards, never trailed- it was 20-14 at halftime.
UTSA scored on a 46-yard Hail Mary TD pass on last play of first half.
Army threw for 188 yards, averaging 10.4 yards/attempt.

— Air Force 39, Utah State 21
Flyboys led this game 32-7 at halftime.
Air Force ran ball for 344 yards, outgained Utah State 428-302
Air Force was 9-13 on third down, Aggies were 3-11

— This week in college football, there are no games between ranked teams, which means it’ll probably be a fun day filled with exciting games— just seems to happen like that,
— Word of the Day— Pundit— An expert who gives opinions on a topic.

— College Football Trend of the Day— Under Josh Heupel, Tennessee is 12-4 ATS as a favorite.

— Cincinnati Reds have had 16 of their players make their major league debut this year, the most of any team this season.

— Big part of the reason why the Baltimore Orioles have improved so much is that their pitchers are way better now, and moving the fences back at Camden Yards has played a big part in the pitchers having so much more confidence.
Whoever made the decision to move the fences back deserves a raise.

— Rockies 3, Giants 2
Giants led 1-0 in 8th inning but didn’t have a hit yet.
JD Davis got the Giants’ first hit in 9th inning, when SF went ahead 2-1.
Elehuris Montero tied game with single; throwing error allowed winning run to score.

— Arizona 6, Cubs 4
Brandon Pfaadt tossed 5.1 scoreless innings.
Gabriel Moreno went 4-4 for the Diamondbacks.

— Rays 7, Orioles 1
Zach Eflin allowed one run in 7 IP, on 84 pitches.
Manuel Margot went 3-4, with two doubles, two RBI

— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Phillies, Cubs, Cin/Ariz
AL: Orioles, Twins, Astros. Wild Cards: Rays, Rangers, Mariners

Jun 22, 2009
Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack:

Rockies 9-5, Giants 5-2— Bad day for SF; they’re 2.5 games out of a playoff spot.
Toronto 4, Boston 3 (13)— Whit Merrifield had the walk-off single.
Orioles 8, Rays 0— Eight shutout innings for Grayson Rodriguez.
Reds 3, Mets 2— Christian Encarnacion-Strand hit a 2-run homer.
Dodgers 6, Seattle 2 (11)— Dodgers clinch the NL West.
Brewers 9, Nationals 5— Mark Canha hit an 8th inning grand slam.

Quote of the Day
“We’re going to evaluate the guys that played today and we’re going to evaluate Jalen Milroe in terms of how he played [the first two games]. And we’ll decide this week who gives us the best opportunity to be successful.”
Nick Saban, talking about Alabama’s QB issues

Sunday’s quiz
Lee Corso is famous for his work on ESPN, but he was also a pretty good coach. He spent 10 years as head coach of which Big Ten team?

Saturday’s quiz
Coastal Carolina’s teams are known as the Chanticleers.

Friday’s quiz
Hall of Fame coach Dick Vermeil was coach of the Philadelphia Eagles the first time they played in a Super Bowl.


Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

Missouri 30, Kansas State 27
Mizzou kicked a 61-yard FG at the gun, longest FG in SEC history
K-State was 8-17 on third down, Mizzou 3-13
Luther Burden III caught 7 passes for 114 yards and 2 TD’s.

I’m from Albany, NY; 50+ years ago, there was a great high school basketball player here, Luther (Ticky) Burden— he played in the ABA and NBA. I’m wondering if this is his grandson.

Colorado 43, Colorado State 35 OT
This game ended at 2:25am here in the East.

Colorado (-23) drove 98 yards for game-tying TD with 0:36 left.
Colorado QB Sanders threw for 348 yards and four TD’s.
Colorado State QB Fowler-Nicolosi threw for 367 yards and three TD’s.
Rams had 16 penalties for 176 yards; Colorado 10 for 86.

UNLV 40, Vanderbilt 37
Vandy led this game 17-0 early in second quarter.
UNLV then scored the next 30 points.
Freshman QB Maiava came off bench, threw for 261 yards.
Rebels kicked game-winning 36-yard FG with 0:05 left.

— So far this season, SEC teams are 2-7 ATS away from home in non-conference games.

Alabama 17, South Florida 3
This game was 3-3 at halftime; there was also a weather delay.
Alabama has used three different QB’s this season, a red flag.
Total yardage was 310-264; Bama completed only 10-23 passes for 107 yards.

Florida State 31, Boston College 29
Seminoles led 31-10 with 2:00 left in 3rd quarter, held on for dear life.
BC was 8-19 on third down, Florida State 1-9. Eagles were 4-5 on 4th down.

— Upsets of the Week:
Miami OH (+14). 31, Cincinnati 24 OT
BYU (+8) 38, Arkansas 31
South Alabama (+7) 33, Oklahoma State 7
Army (+7) 37, Texas-San Antonio 29
FIU (+7) 24, UConn 17
I-AA Sacramento State (+7) 30, Stanford 23
Florida (+5.5) 28, Tennessee 16

— Word of the Day— Narcissist— Someone who has an unreasonably high sense of their own importance.

— NFL Trend of the Day— Since 2018, Steelers are 7-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.

Louisville 21, Indiana 14
Cardinals stopped Indiana at the 1-yard line with 4:38 left to preserve their win.
Louisville led this game 21-0 at halftime.

ACC non-conference home favorites are 8-4 ATS so far this season.

Georgia 24, South Carolina 14
Gamecocks led 14-3 at halftime.
Georgia outgained South Carolina 458-309.
Gamecocks were minus-2 in turnovers, had 11 penalties for 73 yards.

Florida 29, Tennessee 16
Volunteers lost their 10th straight visit to Gainesville.
Tennessee had five false start penalties.

Washington 41, Michigan State 7— If you’re betting games, read the papers; Spartans and Northwestern have programs in chaos, because their coaches got caught up in off-the-field stuff. Wager against these teams.

— Pac-12 non-conference favorites are 13-6 ATS this season.

South Alabama 33, Oklahoma State 7— Red flag for a Big X team to lose by 26 points at home to a Sun Belt team. Jaguars outgained Oklahoma State 395-208.

— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Phillies, Cubs, Cin/Ariz
AL: Orioles, Twins, Astros. Wild Cards: Rays, Rangers, Blue Jays

Jun 22, 2009

Sunday, September 17



Sunday, September 17

Trend Report

Minnesota @ Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Connecticut is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Connecticut is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Chicago @ Las Vegas
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago


Active member
Sep 26, 2005


MIN at CON01:00 PMCON -9.0
O 158.0
+500 +500
CHI at LV03:00 PMLV -18.0
U 170.5
+500 +500

Active member
Sep 26, 2005

09/17/2023.......................2 - 2...........................50.00%...................- 1.00
09/15/2023.......................2 - 2..........................50.00%....................- 1.00
09/13/2023.......................2 - 2 ........................50.00%.....................- 1.00

TOTALS...............................6 - 6.........................50.00%.....................- 3.00

Jun 22, 2009
Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

Orioles beat Rays 5-4, clinched their first playoff spot since 2016.
Giants 11, Rockies 10— San Francisco led 9-0 in the 6th inning.
Twins 4, White Sox 0— Sonny Gray tossed seven shutout IP.
Arizona 6, Cubs 2— Diamondbacks sweep the weekend series.
Blue Jays 3, Red Sox 2— Toronto moves into #2 Wild Card slot in AL.
Astros 7, Royals 1— Jose Altuve went 3-for-5, scored twice.

Quote of the Day
“I mean, I only got four touches. That’s why we struggled. It is what it is. We just got down early today and just abandoned the run. That type of stuff happens, you feel like you’ve have to get back in the game and it just slips away.”
Jets’ RB Breece Hall

Monday’s quiz
What famous actor got his big break as a regular in the old TV show St Elsewhere?

Sunday’s quiz
Lee Corso is famous for his work on ESPN, but he was also a pretty good coach. He spent 10 years as head coach of the Indiana Hoosiers.

Saturday’s quiz
Coastal Carolina’s teams are known as the Chanticleers.


Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Commanders 35, Broncos 33

— Washington is 2-0 for the first time since 2011.
— Wilson threw 50-yard Hail Mary TD pass at 0:00; tying 2-point play failed.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 3-0 as an NFL starter
— Since 2018, Washington is 19-10-1 ATS coming off a win.

— Denver’s first three drives: 17 plays, 226 yards, 20 TD’s.
— Denver rest of game: 39 plays, 194 yards, 13 points.
— Second week in row a missed PAT proved costly.
— Broncos lost their first two games, by total of three points.

Seahawks 37, Lions 31
— Seahawks drove 75 yards on nine plays for game-winning TD in OT.
— Lockett caught 8 passes for 59 yards, two TD’s.
— Seattle scored a TD on its first drive of both games this season.
— Last 10+ years, Seattle is 33-23-3 ATS coming off a loss.

— Goff threw pick-6; Seattle led 31-21 with 8:14 left.
— Next two drives, Lions ran 16 plays, gained 105 yards, 10 points, tied game.
— Over is 22-10-1 in Detroit’s last 33 home games.
— Over is 12-2 in NFL games so far this weekend.

Titans 27, Chargers 24
— Last three games that counted, Chargers scored 30-34-24 points, lost all three.
— Chargers lost first two games this season by total of five points.
— WR Allen caught 8 passes for 111 yards, two TD’s.
— Bolts are 8-17-7 ATS in last 32 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

— Chargers tied game with 0:03 left on a 33-yard FG.
— Titans drove 38 yards, kicked 41-yard FG in rain for the OT win.
— Tennessee was 6-13 on third down, Chargers 2-14 (3-3 on 4th down).
— Last 2+ years, Titans are 9-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Giants 31, Cardinals 28
— Giants trailed this game 20-0 at halftime.
— Giants in 1st half: 26 plays, 76 yards, no points.
— Giants in 2nd half: 42 plays, 350 yards, 31 points.
— QB Jones was 26-37/321 with two TD passes.

— Cardinals’ first six drives: 46 plays, 341 yards, 28 points.
— Cardinals’ last four drives: 17 plays, 48 yards, no points.
— QB Dobbs is now 0-4 as an NFL starter.
— Cardinals lost their first two games by total of seven points.

Falcons 25, Packers 24
— Falcons drove 66 yards to kick game-winning 25-yard FG with 1:01 left.
— Atlanta outgained the Packers, 446-224.
— Falcons ran ball 45 times for 211 yards.
— Home side won last seven series games.

— Packers’ first two drives of 3rd quarter: 10 plays, 143 yards, two TD’s.
— Packers’ three drives rest of game: 10 plays, 7 yards, no first downs.
— Green Bay was 9-16 on 3rd down last week, 3-9 this week.
— Last 2+ years, Packers are 1-7-1 ATS on artificial turf.

Colts 31, Texans 20
— Colts scored 2 TD’s on Richardson’s 3 drives, then he left (concussion)
— Backup QB Minshew is better than he is (19-23/171 passing, with a TD)
— Colts scored a TD on four of their first six drives.
— Indianapolis is 6-1-1 SU in last series games.

— Opponents are 14-27 on 3rd down so far this season.
— WR Collins caught 7 passes for 146 yards and a TD.
— Texans are 16-24-1 ATS in last 41 games coming off a loss.
— Last 4+ years. Houston is 5-8 ATS in AFC South home games.

Buccaneers 27, Bears 17
— Down 20-17, Fields threw an awful pick-6 with 2:12 left.
— Fields is 5-22 SU as an NFL starter.
— Tampa Bay outgained the Bears 437-236.
— Last 2+ years, Chicago is 5-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— WR Evans caught six passes for 171 yards and a TD.
— First three drives: 27 plays, 197 yards, 10 points and a blocked FG.
— Last four years, over is 18-13 in Tampa Bay home games.
— Tampa Bay has outrushed opponents 193-108 in two games.

Bills 38, Raiders 10
— Buffalo ran 74 plays for 450 yards; Raiders ran 39 plays for 240 yards.
— Raiders were 3-7 on third down, Bills were 7-13.
— Las Vegas is 4-14 ATS in last 18 games on artificial turf.
— Over is 7-1 in last seven series games.

— Buffalo scored five TD’s on their eight drives.
— Josh Allen was 31-37/274 passing, with three TD’s.
— Bills are 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.
— Last four years, Bills are 12-6 ATS coming off a loss.

Chiefs 17, Jaguars 9
— Chiefs’ first four drives: 19 plays, 81 yards, 2 turnovers, no points.
— Chiefs’ next two drives: 14 plays, 131 yards, 14 points.
— Mahomes was 29-41/305 passing, with two TD’s.
— KC won last eight series games (6-2 ATS).

— Jaguars didn’t score a TD, kicked three FG’s on 11 drives.
— Chiefs had 12 penalties for 94 yards, Jaguars 2 for 10.
— Two games this season, Jaguars are 6-24 on third down.
— Under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games.

Ravens 27, Bengals 24
— Ravens’ last two drives of first half: 22 plays, 102 yards, two FG’s.
— First two drives of second half: 16 plays, 137 yards, 14 points.
— First two games, Ravens converted 17-29 on third down.
— Baltimore has allowed two TD’s on opponents’ 19 drives this season.

— Bengals’ first TD came on an 81-yard punt return.
— Cincy’s first offensive TD this season came on their 19th drive.
— First two games, Bengals averaged 2.0/5.1 yards/pass attempt.
— First two games, Cincinnati was outgained 765-434.

49ers 30, Rams 23
— San Francisco ran for 159 yards (347 yards/two games).
— Moody’s 57-yard FG put SF up for good, 20-17.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 9-1 as NFL starter.
— Since beginning of LY, 49ers are +19 in turnovers (minus-15 in 2020-21)

— Rams’ first three drives: 32 plays, 198 yards, 17 points.
— Rams rest of game: 49 plays, 164 yards, 6 points.
— Rookie WR Nacua caught 15 passes for 147 yards.
— 49ers won nine of last ten series games.

Cowboys 30, Jets 10
— Jets’ only TD was a 68-yard pass from Wilson to Wilson.
— Jets in second half: 22 plays, 68 yards, 4 turnovers, no points.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 4-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 6-9 ATS as a road underdog.

— Cowboys were 9-18 on third down, Jets were 1-10.
— Last 2+ years, Dallas is 19-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Dallas outgained first two opponents, 647-386.
— Cowboys outscored first two opponents, 70-10.

Dolphins 24, Patriots 17
— Mostert ran ball 18 times for 121 yards, 2 TD’s.
— Tua Tagovailoa is 5-0 against New England.
— Dolphins in first half: 35 plays, 232 yards, 17 points.
— Opponents are 16-30 on third down this year.

— New England is 0-2 for the first time since 2001.
— Patriots averaged only 4.3 yards/pass play.
— Last 3+ years, Patriots are 3-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— Since Brady left, NE is 25-27 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.

Don’t forget, there are two Monday night NFL games tonight.

Active member
Sep 26, 2005
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
College football spreads for this week:
— Wisconsin (-4) @ Purdue
— Boise State (-8) @ San Diego State
— Army @ Syracuse (-9)
— Mississippi State @ South Carolina (-4)
— Oklahoma State @ Iowa State (-3)
— BYU @ Kansas (-7)

Quote of the Day
“The Orioles have a 70-year partnership with the city and the state, and Camden Yards more than 30. And we’re going to have 30 more. That’s a given.”
Baltimore Orioles owner John Angelos

Tuesday’s quiz
Carolina Panthers have played in/lost two Super Bowls; who were their QB’s in those two games?

Monday’s quiz
Denzel Washington got his big break as a regular in the old TV show St Elsewhere; Timothy Robbins was also in several episodes of that show the first year, but only as a guest star.

Sunday’s quiz
Lee Corso is famous for his work on ESPN, but he was also a pretty good coach. He spent 10 years as head coach of the Indiana Hoosiers.


Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

Saints 20, Panthers 17
— Saints’ defense has allowed one TD on 22 drives this season.
— New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 341-239
— Mobile backup QB Hill ran ball nine times for 75 yards.
— Last 2+ years, under is 11-6 in Saints’ road games.
— Carolina scored 8 points with 1:16 left to cover/push spread, depending on your number.
— Panthers averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
— In two games, Carolina has scored only 2 TD’s on 22 drives.
— Panthers are 9-28 on third down in their first two games.

26, Browns 22
— Pittsburgh scored two defensive TD’s as they even their record at 1-1.
— Cleveland outgained the Steelers, 408-255
— Pickens caught a 71-yard TD pass that put Steelers ahead 16-11.
— Steelers won five of last six series games.
— Watson threw a pick-6 on the first play of the game.
— His fumble was returned for game-winning TD with 6:58 left.
— Browns lost star RB Chubb with a knee injury.
— Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in last seven visits to Pittsburgh.
— Browns are 4-4 in Deshaun Watson’s starts; they were 30-31 in Baker Mayfield’s starts. Why didn’t they keep Mayfield? He makes hell of a lot less $$$ than Watson.

— Mayfield has played for seven offensive coordinators the last six seasons, which is a lot.

— So far this NFL season, road teams are 19-13 SU.

— In his brief NFL career, Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow is 1-7 in Weeks 1-2, 23-12-1 in all the other games.

— Odd Stat: Denver Broncos lost the last nine games when they led at halftime.

— Cardinals 1, Brewers 0
Adam Wainwright gets his 200th career win.
Willson Contreras homered, for the game’s only run.

— Orioles 8, Astros 7
Baltimore scored three runs in top of the ninth.
Ryan O’Hearn went 5-5, with two RBI.
Orioles clinched their playoff spot Sunday, their first playoff bid since 2016

— Word of the Day: Kerfuffle— a disturbance or commotion caused by a dispute/conflict.

— Football Trend of the Day: Baltimore Ravens are 4-10 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.

— Vanderbilt is the only college football team that is 0-4 against the spread this year.

— Most people agree that Angel Hernandez is a bad umpire; he sued MLB because they didn’t make him a crew chief, when he should be thanking them for not firing him.
Last week in Pittsburgh, Hernandez called 34 pitches strikes in a Nationals-Pirates game; 12 of those pitches were actually balls. A 65% accuracy rate on called strikes? Freakin’ Helen Keller could come close to that.

— Tampa Bay Rays are going to announce plans for a new stadium that will seat around 30,000 and cost over $1.2B to build— it is expected to open in 2028.

— This past weekend, Cincinnati Reds played the Mets in New York; Reds’ manager David Bell is the grandson of Gus Bell, who played in 30 games for the original New York Mets in 1962.

— Speaking of the Reds, their CF TJ Friedl is cousins with Kentucky basketball coach John Calipari.

— Minnesota Twins’ IF Royce Lewis has hit 16 home runs in his first 69 major league games; five of those home runs were grand slams.

— Maui Classic basketball tournament in November will be played in Honolulu this year, at the Stan Sheriff Center; the arena where it is usually played in Lahaina is being used as a center to help Maui’s recovery from the terrible damage they have from the wildfires this summer.

— Alabama started Jalen Milroe at QB in their first game; they started Tyler Buchner in their second game, then replaced him with 3rd-stringer Ty Simpson.
This week, Alabama is going back to Milroe at QB for their game with Ole Miss.

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