WinOne CFB Week 3

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On the road this week in Kissimmee, FL at a client site. The good thing is the resort has 4 golf courses. Bad thing is the resort has 4 golf courses. Arnold Palmer designs non the less. Still working on my card after a brutal week #2

4* Illinois -2
Had this one circled since summer as potential bad spot for immature Devils team. Off big win over Mizzou and it was a big win in front of a sell out crowd in Tempe, ASU now has to go on the road and face a very tough Illini team before coming home to their biggest out of state rival USC. We know about the dumb plays and bad penalties committed annually by ASU, but lets discuss the Illini. The Zooker has recruited a dual threat QB who is efficient with the football. I compare him to a young Russell Wilson in this stage of his growth. The difference is he had benefited by a great run game and they have the same this year. So ASU won't be able to just key on the QB they have to contain the backfield. They are not deep enough to do this against efficient teams. The ASU secondary is very weak and exploitable and if ASU sells out to defend the run, Scheelhaase will exploit ASU deep with the pass. ASU will be able to move the ball against the Illini but I dont think they can run the ball and the Illini has ends which can get up field. I might add that Illini have committed only 5 penalties through 2 games and they are +4 in the TO Margin on the year.

3* Washington +17
Nebraska still has really good athletes but Washington is getting bigger and faster. The UW defensive line might be the closes thing to a SEC DL on the West Coast. The UW run defense gives up less than 50yd per game. Where the UW Defense is lacking is in pass defense but Nebraska does not throw the ball well so they cannot exploit it. The OL of UW is improving and behind RB Polk can run downhill and be physical. I also like the matchup of QB Price v QB Martinez who can be a TO machine at times. UW is +5 in TO Margin and has only committed 9 penalties through 2 game. It's in Lincoln which has always been a tough place to play but I like the points in this one.

3* Vandy +2
This is more a play on HC Franklin and his offense than against Ole Miss. I don't think teams have enough film on Vandy yet and at home they have been pretty decent against teams that are fairly equal to them.

3* Kansas +14.5
I know this is a big revenge spot for GT but I think KU is getting better and while I know GT can run the bal I think they still leave it on the carpet too much to be laying DDs to another decent BCS team. I know Decent and KU have not been used in may football sentences lately. But KU is getting better and they won a game against a pretty good NIU team and they don't turn it over much.

As always, your input is greatly appreciated.

WinOne!!
 

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I never thought I would see a time when we would all be sinking or swimming with the Zookster. Let's do it...I'm also taking a hard look at Washington. The Nebs would probably disagree, but I think the coaching advantage goes to Sarkisian...BOL this week.
 

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I never thought I would see a time when we would all be sinking or swimming with the Zookster. Let's do it...I'm also taking a hard look at Washington. The Nebs would probably disagree, but I think the coaching advantage goes to Sarkisian...BOL this week.
Thank you. Same to you as well. And mine is more a play against my sundevils than on Illini although I do like Zook as a coach. He's like Les Miles w/o the luck!!
 

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Nice Card ............gonna take a look @ Kansas too ............
Thanks for your weekly contributions to this room .
 

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Nice Card ............gonna take a look @ Kansas too ............
Thanks for your weekly contributions to this room .
Thanks. Any input is always welcome. I just don't trust GT to not put it on the ground. And if they get behind, they don't throw it well enough at this point without mistakes
 
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You know I'm looking at that Kansas game.. Think the line is high..

Thanks for posting winone.
 

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Adding the following

1H 4* Wisky -9.5

5* WVa/Maryland ov 58
Not sold on either defense and both teams have quality skill players. Should be a lot of points.

GL
 

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3* Washington +17
Nebraska still has really good athletes but Washington is getting bigger and faster. The UW defensive line might be the closes thing to a SEC DL on the West Coast. The UW run defense gives up less than 50yd per game. Where the UW Defense is lacking is in pass defense but Nebraska does not throw the ball well so they cannot exploit it. The OL of UW is improving and behind RB Polk can run downhill and be physical. I also like the matchup of QB Price v QB Martinez who can be a TO machine at times. UW is +5 in TO Margin and has only committed 9 penalties through 2 game. It's in Lincoln which has always been a tough place to play but I like the points in this one.

As always, your input is greatly appreciated.

WinOne!!

I had alluded to this point in another post somewhere. It's the USC still in Sarkisian that has influenced how he has built his lines and done his recruiting... playbook... a lot of things. He's a chip off the old PC, wouldn't doubt that they even live in the same neighborhood in the greater Seattle area. It took him just one year to bring UW back from obscurity and get is team into a bowl. Retooling everything from a team that was built around Jake Locker and getting the rest of the players he wants are his two main obstacles... not to mention a first year starting QB. Other than that, he looks to be doing just fine. A year or 2 away is my best guesstimate, but in the meantime the Huskies won't be going down easy to anyone.
 

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I had alluded to this point in another post somewhere. It's the USC still in Sarkisian that has influenced how he has built his lines and done his recruiting... playbook... a lot of things. He's a chip off the old PC, wouldn't doubt that they even live in the same neighborhood in the greater Seattle area. It took him just one year to bring UW back from obscurity and get is team into a bowl. Retooling everything from a team that was built around Jake Locker and getting the rest of the players he wants are his two main obstacles... not to mention a first year starting QB. Other than that, he looks to be doing just fine. A year or 2 away is my best guesstimate, but in the meantime the Huskies won't be going down easy to anyone.
Just heard that Juron Criner will play select number of snaps in the Zona/Stanford game. Still think Stanford wins this one. Not sure how Zona defense gets Stanford off the field
 

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My yuck parlay for the day is the following: $10 to pay $1795

ML Vandy
ML Washington (if its raining I like UW to handle the weather)
ML UCLA
ML Mich St
Wash st +5
 

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Final play for me is

4* TCU -29
Frogs have played tough game in Waco and then on road at AFA. Now come home and I expect fireworks from the offense. This is the most explosive offense that ULM will have faced (i know they faced FSU). I believe TCU puts up 50+ and they have Portland State on deck. They could have put up even more last week against AFA
 

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WinOne...Good looking card. I like the Wisky play. I also think 70+ points will be scored in that game. So I may get a little of the over.
 

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WinOne...Good looking card. I like the Wisky play. I also think 70+ points will be scored in that game. So I may get a little of the over.
Yep. Thought about that as well. Not sold on Wisky defense quite yet.
 

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Not typically a HT player but watching the Aub/Clem game and gotta grab me some

3* Clem -3

Mo clearly on the side of Orange in this one as Aub QB making first road start ever and the Clemson DL has begun to rock his world in the last 5 minutes of first half
 

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