will this line be a nightmare in Vegas?

[Willie99]

presently sitting on 7, and you know they don't like moving off of 3 and 7, will the public make them?

I think it's going to move higher

 

[MikRetSam]

no way it goes up............. pub is all over the cards

 

[Ramonskee]

no way it goes up............. pub is all over the cards

false.
50/50 right now with 85%+ on the Cardinals moneyline.
Over 65% are on the over.

I agree with you on your first statement though.

 

[Huckel]

pub just doesnt want to get burned like they did last year with pats and the high spread

 

[Willie99]

is it often most of the Super Bowl action, the biggest sports gaming day of the year in the States, is not on the favorite? I think not, it's usually about chalk and over.

 

[MackDonald]

This line (7) will work its way nicely for the bookmakers.

This match-up (Cards vs Steelers) is awkward and unnatural. For example, an (Eagles vs Steelers) game would have been better from a promotional perspective (the Pennsylvania State Championship etc; two "cold weather" Eastern teams going at it) Two old franchises.

Arizona aginst Pittsburgh feels sort of like a (Cincinnatti vs San Francisco in Super Bowl XVI or Pittsburgh vs Seattle in Superbowl XL (teams with differant cultures, make up and flavors); teams from differant climates and time zones with differant histories).

The (format) as to how we bring teams to the championship game (Superbowl) will create match-ups like this year (Pitt vs Ariz).

Oh well, it is still a football game and that is what counts; I'm sure "Vegas" will do just fine,

Good luck to you.

 

[ACE-ACE]

.......................................plays.....side.....M/L
<TABLE id=gridtable><TBODY><TR id=e154118 ondblclick=highlightRow(this) style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffffff" onclick="testHit('e154118', event)"><TD id=score width=50>
6:25P
</TD><TD id=team width=135>101 Pittsburgh Steelers
102 Arizona Cardinals
</TD><TD id=bets width=45>19499
</TD><TD id=spreadpct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=40>48%
52%
</TD><TD id=mlpct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=40>51%
49%
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


line open at -6.5...now at -7

to move a line on the super when the public has a small edge to the dog would be money!!!

1. a key group and or person bet pittsburgh $$$
2. the group and or person is trying for a middle

I know the big guy in CHI...put 20k on Pitt...normal 5-15...got it at 6.5...he been know to hope it goes to 7.5...or buy it up...so he can do a middle...hard telling until it happens...I ask that book to call me back if he does it.

 

[MackDonald]

The Superbowl committee will hype this game like they do all the other Superbowl shows in the past.

The half time is at least a half an hour too long and pre-game ceremonies are boring. Play football, let a Champion be detemined and go home. Ah...show business.

 

[DarkHorse]

The public comes in later and will NOT bet the dog. They see a franchise with a rich history and a losing franchise. The line opened at 7 and early (sharp) money on the Cards drove it down to 6.5. Now it's back at 7, and has a good chance of going higher in the last days before kickoff. This would set up a great middle for those who got PIT -6.5.

Similar situation for the total. 46.5 is a nice number for the over, because 46 is very rare, and 47 and 48 occur often. Public bets the over, and another middle in the shopping basket. (may not happen, but low risk, because of 46).

I don't think the middle will hit, but it's too good to pass up. I could see a late FG decide this one, so will double up on the Cards when line is >7.

 

[DarkHorse]

Another way to play this is to parlay Arizona and the over, and Pittsburgh and the under. With two contrasting styles a low score means that things are going the Steelers way, and a shootout would favor Arizona.

 

[6er]

its 2 weeks before the game, i think if your looking at public numbers you have gone full retard.

most "public bettors" er whatever won be making there bets for 10 to 12 days from now.

your basicly looking at the % of people like yourselves who bet already.

 

[billbeater]

I think you can 7point and 10pont tease this game every which way to the window for minimal risk!!!!!!!!
:toast:

 

[Willie99]

its 2 weeks before the game, i think if your looking at public numbers you have gone full retard.

most "public bettors" er whatever won be making there bets for 10 to 12 days from now.

your basicly looking at the % of people like yourselves who bet already.

actually, I'm talking about the possibility for some serious scalp action on the largest gambling day of the year, just like Ace Ace pointed out.

 

[Kevin36]

Vegas will/never let big game like this hit the middle, it's either Pitt win DD or Card loss by 3-4 points.

I'm seeing 14-21 Pitt then Palamalu intercept a pass and run down for TD with 1:00 left in the 4th.

 

[6er]

yeha i have a bad feeling this game ends up like colts bears....looks promising +7 then BAM its a 10 point game with 1 min left.

then again warner isnt grossman

 

[Railbird]

Vegas will/never let big game like this hit the middle, it's either Pitt win DD or Card loss by 3-4 points.

I'm seeing 14-21 Pitt then Palamalu intercept a pass and run down for TD with 1:00 left in the 4th.

People give "Vegas" too much credit, they dont know WTF they are doing.

 

[VIEJODINOSAUR]

.......................................plays.....side.....M/L
<TABLE id=gridtable><TBODY><TR id=e154118 ondblclick=highlightRow(this) style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffffff" onclick="testHit('e154118', event)"><TD id=score width=50>
6:25P

</TD><TD id=team width=135>101 Pittsburgh Steelers
102 Arizona Cardinals

</TD><TD id=bets width=45>19499

</TD><TD id=spreadpct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=40>48%
52%

</TD><TD id=mlpct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=40>51%
49%

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


line open at -6.5...now at -7

to move a line on the super when the public has a small edge to the dog would be money!!!

1. a key group and or person bet pittsburgh $$$
2. the group and or person is trying for a middle

I know the big guy in CHI...put 20k on Pitt...normal 5-15...got it at 6.5...he been know to hope it goes to 7.5...or buy it up...so he can do a middle...hard telling until it happens...I ask that book to call me back if he does it.

Sorry Ace...line opened 7 and quickly went to 6.5....offshore openers...
lots of players putting in orders for 7.5, but I don't think they will be filled..

 

[Kevin36]

People give "Vegas" too much credit, they dont know WTF they are doing.

Rail Common maaan you know better than this ,I notice you join here 8 yrs ago . Vegas don't know shit know but they know after kick off.Most of the games nowadays is rigged you need to realize it man ,that is how vegas make money .

Football have change alot lately where have you been, get out of the cave . You are way behind my man no wonder you still broke after 8 yrs :missingte:nohead:

 

[G-Ragg]

Vegas will/never let big game like this hit the middle, it's either Pitt win DD or Card loss by 3-4 points.

I'm seeing 14-21 Pitt then Palamalu intercept a pass and run down for TD with 1:00 left in the 4th.

**Seen that played out already_________________ope: