wild card round picks

cashducats · Jan 1, 2015

cards +6.5
1. i like taking pts with an 11 win team over an 7 win team
2. coaching matchup favors cards (arians/bowles are great IMO)
3. panthers suddenly have all this hype surrounding them, but look at who they have constructed this 4 game winning streak on....their own division plus the manziel led browns LOL! fool's gold in my opinion
4. i don't think anyone from the nfc south deserves to even be in the playoffs since they couldn't even get to .500. i know the saints lost to the seahawks that were sub .500 but they had a real homefield advantage up in seattle. carolina doesnt have that type of home field advantage.
5. i know that the cards are getting this many points because of their qb situation. arians will figure out a way to score 20 pts and i think that wins the game for the cards. if they score 13 or 14 they probably cover.
6. cards are seemingly ice cold going into the playoffs, but look at who they played.... the nfc west plus kc. a way tougher schedule than the cupcakes the panthers played.
7. panthers are basically the niners, but not as good IMO. cards could have easily beat the niners, and still only lost by 3.

cashducats · Jan 1, 2015

steelers -3
1. i'll take the home team that creamed the ravens at home last time they played at heinz. line should be higher but getting value because laveon bell is out, or most likely out. he on had 10 carries for 20 yards when pitt beat balt so don't think his absence is too big a deal. the ravens couldnt stop the pass.
2. ravens have looked really bad against really bad teams. they lost convincingly to a case keenum led texans team and then looked really bad in beating a manziel led browns team.
3. just don't see any reasons the ravens might win this game

cashducats · Jan 1, 2015

cards moneyline for 25% of my point spread play

cashducats · Jan 2, 2015

cinci +3.5
1. cinci lost to indi in indi early in the yr, but the bengals have developed a power running game since then. Jeremy hill will be able to pound the overrated indi defense. i say overrated because their defense is rated #11 overall but its skewed by the fact that they play the horrible teams in their division two times per yr. the best qb that they face within division is a toss up between ryan fitzpatrick and blake bortles LOL
2. too much being made in the media about how dalton cant win the big one. they were an aj green fumble from beating pitt in pitt last game of the season, the last 2-3 yrs they have had a excellent records vs their own division.
3. luck is still a yr and a draft away from real success in the post season. that trent richardson trade set them back a yr or two