Why is the SEC down this year?

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When I saw this article, bells started ringing in my head.

Quarterback play leads to down year in SEC

Edward Aschoff, ESPN Staff Writer

After a couple of years of enjoying some pretty solid offensive numbers, the SEC took a step back in 2015. Yes, bullish running backs headed the league with their punishing styles, but the guys throwing the ball actually regressed in a year when the SEC was supposed to consistently have just about half the league's teams in the Top 25 week in and week out.

The SEC's limp to the finish of 2015 can mostly be attributed to the lack of elite quarterback play. A year after eight SEC teams averaged at least 224 passing yards per game and 10 teams had at least 21 touchdown passes, the SEC produced just four teams -- Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Arkansas and Texas A&M -- that hit the 224-yard mark and had 20-plus touchdowns.

Only Ole Miss and Mississippi State rank in the top 25 nationally in passing, and 10 schools rank 70th or worse. SEC quarterbacks combined to throw 246 interceptions during the regular season and seven teams (half the league) completed less than 59 percent of their passes, which is the lowest percentage for the conference since 2011.A year after seven quarterbacks threw for at least 2,500 yards, only three -- Ole Miss' Chad Kelly (3,740), Mississippi State's Dak Prescott (3,413) and Arkansas' Brandon Allen (3,125) -- did so in 2015. And only those three quarterbacks hit the 20-touchdown mark, too. Five quarterbacks who started at least seven games failed to throw at least 10 touchdowns.

"It's not what it has been in years past," Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze said. "I don't think that means it's bad, necessarily. I think every school has got their guy and they're doing the best they can to manage what those coaches ask them to do. Probably, from top to bottom, when you look at their stats, and you look at how all of them have played through the course of the season, there's probably some merit to [quarterback play regressing]."

Freeze was one of the lucky ones. Kelly, who transferred to Ole Miss from the junior college ranks, led the Rebels to nine wins, including one at Alabama, and finished the regular season leading the SEC in passing. He also set a school record for total offense (4,167 yards) and totaled 37 touchdowns.

Dan Mullen and Bret Bielema were similarly happy. Prescott continued to break records with yet another 3,000-yard season at Mississippi State, while Allen might have been the conference's biggest surprise with his career-high 3,125 yards and 29 touchdowns.

After that, play dramatically fell off. Just look at Auburn, which started the season with a surefire All-SEC candidate in Jeremy Johnson. Three games in, Johnson had more interceptions than touchdowns (six to five) and was benched for freshman Sean White. White didn't fare much better and was eventually replaced by Johnson late in the season, as the early national championship favorites went just 6-6, with only two SEC wins and an offense ranked 10th in the league (367.3 yards per game), the lowest under Gus Malzahn.

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Jeremy Johnson and Auburn did not live up to the hype this season. AP Photo/Gerald Herbert

Texas A&M's musical-chair situation at quarterback with Kyle Allen and Kyler Murray didn't exactly work out. Missouri's offense was the league's worst (280.9 yards per game) thanks to poor play early from starter Maty Mauk and then his eventual indefinite suspension that threw true freshman Drew Lock to the wolves. Lock completed 49 percent of his passes and tossed eight interceptions compared to four touchdowns.

Georgia thought it had a solid game-managing quarterback in Virginia transfer Greyson Lambert, but he averaged just 167.6 yards per game and was benched in favor of third-stringer Faton Bauta in the 27-3 loss to Florida. Tennessee didn't even fully trust Joshua Dobbs' arm until halfway through the season.

LSU's offense crumbled around running back Leonard Fournette, as the passing game imploded in the final month with QB Brandon Harris. The sophomore completed just 47.6 percent of his passes in November and threw three touchdowns compared to five picks during that 1-3 stretch.

Even the two teams in Atlanta have had QB issues. Florida's offense has collapsed in the past month and a half since the year-long suspension of starter Will Grier after he was popped for using a NCAA-banned substance. Though Treon Harris helped guide Florida to the SEC championship game, he has a QBR of 57.4 and in November. Defenses have dominated this offense, as Florida averaged just 294 yards per game, 4.26 yards per play and 13.8 points per game, including losing 27-2 against Florida State.

Alabama's Jake Coker had a very up-and-down start to the season, but as the offense moved more toward constantly feeding Heisman Trophy favorite Derrick Henry, some of the responsibility was taken off of Coker's shoulders. Still, he can get careless with the ball in pressure situations -- hence his 15 touchdowns and eight interceptions.

In a year when some thought the SEC would be fighting for two College Football Playoff spots, offenses held teams back. More importantly -- or disturbingly -- quarterbacks were the main reason.
 

sdf

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no surprise. same as why the Big12 was down last year. Most teams were bringing in a new QB.
 

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This might be a bit off the subject, but I am HIGHLY impressed with the Oregon State Beavers new signal caller true freshman Marcus McMaryion (sounds eerily familiar) who has also caught favor with HC Gary Anderson. It seems like the majority of talent at the QB position tends to gravitate west, and has been doing so for many decades. Most recently it's been Jared Goff (Cal) and Luke Falk (WSU) that have been leading everyone around by a nose ring.
 

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No question QB play as a whole has hurt the conference.....

.....on the flip side...........

RB play has been strong in the conference.

Henry, Alabama
Fournette, LSU
Collins, Arkansas
Hurt, Tennessee
Webb, Vanderbilt
Carson, TX A&M
Chubb, Georgia (injured)
 

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QBs are brutal to predict success and now the SEC is littered with transfers and JUCOs at the position...Ole Miss, Bama, Auburn, Georgia top of my head all brought in stop-gaps because they didn't trust the kids they recruited while another handful (LSU, Florida, Missouri, aTm) went with mostly frosh starters.

I wrote a lot about this last summer with Bama's situation where you go and get these 4-5 star QBs but when they don't get selected as starter they bail on the program and you're left with starting a 4th string RB and getting a graduate transfer. I'm sure I will miss a few but I know just in Saban's 8 years guys like Jackson, Marve, P Sims, Ely, del Rio, McLeod all left that position which is crazy when you only usually bring in 1 per year. I'm sure with the 2016 backlog (cornwell, bateman, barnett, morris, hurts) more transfers will head out.

of course it all depends on your definition of SEC being down. I think SEC west is the best from top to bottom but the east is comparatively weak. Then again if you go by OOC record the SEC's near 80% is far and away #1 in america while ACC is barely winning 50% of their OOC games with most of those being against non power 5 conferences.
 

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What up Conan? Hope you've been well man. I haven't been on much but I would jump on late night to try and find your expertise for the west coast games. I still think Stanford is one of the best teams in the nation and I definitely think McCaffrey should win The Heisman. IMO he's the best, most electric player in college football this year. And I've really enjoyed watching Mike Leach find success at Wazzou. Merry Christmas man.
 

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It seems the ESPN article is making the handicapping noob's mistake of only using total yards to rank each team's passing units. And why wouldn't they? It's the common language of the football talking land. The real gauge of a unit's strength is how they fare versus an opponent's usual averages. By this standard only 3 SEC teams had below average passing units -- Missouri and Vanderbilt of course still bad by any standard, and then Kentucky just slightly below average. After that, though, the remaining SEC teams all averaged at last 0.4 yards more per pass attempt than their opponent usually allows. So ESPN has it all backwards, shocker. And even if it's a down year for the SEC they are still, once again, the clearly best conference (by my rankings, which have been awfully good at making money whether you agree with them or not -- not speaking specifically to you Conan, just anyone reading, lol), followed by the B12, the B1G, the ACC and the PAC12, which is pretty near the order of how I had the P5 conferences finishing last year. The PAC12 may have some QB's, but they sure don't have much defense, which always hurts them in my rankings.
 

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Just look at Oklahoma and the difference QB Mayfield made working with an inexperienced OL. QB's are key no doubt.
 

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Just look at Oklahoma and the difference QB Mayfield made working with an inexperienced OL. QB's are key no doubt.

And hence, Mayfield a Walter Camp finalist. Personally, I don't think OU's OL is that bad, but that's my opinion from half a country away now. For the guy above that said McCaffrey should win the Heisman, put the crack pipe down. Watch Henry run up and down on Florida tomorrow and he wins in a landslide.

~T~
 

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Ed Aschoff is a great writer. He was at the Gainesville Sun for several years.
 

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QBs are brutal to predict success and now the SEC is littered with transfers and JUCOs at the position...

Heck, we even have a walk-on starting at QB in the SEC. A walk-on that was a walk-on for a reason, he's really bad...
 

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This might be a bit off the subject, but I am HIGHLY impressed with the Oregon State Beavers new signal caller true freshman Marcus McMaryion (sounds eerily familiar) who has also caught favor with HC Gary Anderson. It seems like the majority of talent at the QB position tends to gravitate west, and has been doing so for many decades. Most recently it's been Jared Goff (Cal) and Luke Falk (WSU) that have been leading everyone around by a nose ring.

Man, I'll be the first and foremost to admit, I don't bet a West Coast game without hearing from you. But that statement caught my eye. Take a look at this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Davey_O'Brien_Award

Not a whole lot of Pac-12 QB's on that list. Just sayin. Seeing a lot of love for SC tomorrow, haven't seen your take yet. GL

~T~
 

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Lack of WC QB's on the Davey O'Brien awards list is likely not because there haven't been enough talented players at the position, but it takes a lot more exposure to make it East where most people live. One-up types of awards are often settled by popularity and a team's numbers and rank -- not too often by stats alone along with the "eye test" which could possibly be a more fair way of deciding these things.

This year's Heisman won't go to perhaps the most "electric" player in CFB, Christian McCaffrey because he plays for Stanford and is still petty young. But IMHO he is the most exciting player to watch since Reggie Bush or Barry Sanders. And I often watch Fournette and Derrick Henry play earlier in the day, every Saturday. I still think McCaffrey has something the others lack but he'll have to wait another year though IMHO he deserves it now. It's likely that he will eclipse Barry Sanders all-purpose yards in one season record in CFB before all is said and done this year.
 

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^^^
I was huge fan of his father, although I bleed black and gold Steelers and Vandy blood. You make a point that is well founded for God knows how long, a lot of the writers don't stay up late to watch west coast games. That all being said, I've watched Henry every game that's been on TV, which has been all of their SEC games, and he is Beast Mode in fast forward. Haven't looked at the current odds, but he's got to be under money at this point.

~T~
 

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I don't have any problem with Henry winning the Heisman. It was a very wide open year in which many players had an argument for the Heisman. It takes a little luck anyway to win it. Much depends on who you have surrounding you. If you have an 8-4 team surrounding you, your probably not going to sniff the trophy or New York. As for the SEC being down this year. Yeah, they were probably down a little. But you still have to keep everything in perspective. Out of the two ACC teams vying for their conference championship, one of them lost to SEC bottom feeder South Carolina, and the other one nearly lost to them.
 

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I don't have any problem with Henry winning the Heisman. It was a very wide open year in which many players had an argument for the Heisman. It takes a little luck anyway to win it. Much depends on who you have surrounding you. If you have an 8-4 team surrounding you, your probably not going to sniff the trophy or New York. As for the SEC being down this year. Yeah, they were probably down a little. But you still have to keep everything in perspective. Out of the two ACC teams vying for their conference championship, one of them lost to SEC bottom feeder South Carolina, and the other one nearly lost to them.

Yeah, for shits and giggles, went back a few years. Ware was a winner on a Houston squad that finished 9-3. You get hit with all that ice? JC, was out in Elk City, Woodward and across the border, talk about pucked up. A warm and balmy 54 here in Charlotte today, good to be back to my new home, LOL.

~T~
 

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What up Conan? Hope you've been well man. I haven't been on much but I would jump on late night to try and find your expertise for the west coast games. I still think Stanford is one of the best teams in the nation and I definitely think McCaffrey should win The Heisman. IMO he's the best, most electric player in college football this year. And I've really enjoyed watching Mike Leach find success at Wazzou. Merry Christmas man.

And where have you been JB....You've been conspicuous by your absence. I know the Longhorn women (and others) keep hounding you but that's no excuse;
You owe an explanation to your buddies here at the Rx.
 

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What is the definition of down? Looks like SEC is kicking ass to me but i could be wrong
 

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SEC teams expose their flaws during the season because they play other SEC teams, and at least one good team out of conference. In the post-season, you can see just how much better these teams are- especially in the one game season that is the bowls. Florida is an exception because they have literally no QB that can function.
 

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