Im amazed how fast people can fall in love with a team so fast that they forget the fundementals of football and betting on football in the playoffs:
1) Good D beats good O - guys, last yrs game was a good D, esp a good front four beating a record setting offense. The angle to take our of the last yr was a good D beating a good O....*NOT* the underdog....a good pass rush will disrupt even the BEST offense, and guys, this years Cards is nowhere near last yrs Pats....ADVANTAGE: STEELERS
2) Team that can run the ball wins: I will take the proven team, with the proven running game....AND MOST IMPORTANTLY: the offensive philosophy to stick with it. Take it from a packers fan who suffers, it requires a discipline to stick with a non performing running game, but its ciritical because usually they can break the big run that requires a re-set for the other teams defensive schemes. Willie parker is a dangerous man....Edge? JJ? Hightower? ADVANTAGE: STEELERS
3) Experience: Yes, Warner has the ring.....but the Steelers have been there and done that, for the past 40 yrs, the past decade and this season....you cant say ANY of those for the Cards...no tradition of excellenc or winning (yes, this is key, esp if you need a comeback), no success over the past few yrs to build group trust and expererience and they werent even that good this yr....the Steelers were an all time great D this yr AND played two good teams in the playoffs and won, esp vs Baltimore....ADVANTAGE: STEELERS
So, before you see your ML + Over payout swimming in your head, think very carefully.....I may end up being wrong, but odds are on my side.
One more quick thing: Az has a lot of success jumping out on teams (not that they know how to put teams away, BUT thats a diff story).....but i would lay serious odds on Pitts D allowing for a quick 17-0 or 21-3 score...it just wont happen....without that, I dont see how they win this game....
THOUGHTS????
1) Good D beats good O - guys, last yrs game was a good D, esp a good front four beating a record setting offense. The angle to take our of the last yr was a good D beating a good O....*NOT* the underdog....a good pass rush will disrupt even the BEST offense, and guys, this years Cards is nowhere near last yrs Pats....ADVANTAGE: STEELERS
2) Team that can run the ball wins: I will take the proven team, with the proven running game....AND MOST IMPORTANTLY: the offensive philosophy to stick with it. Take it from a packers fan who suffers, it requires a discipline to stick with a non performing running game, but its ciritical because usually they can break the big run that requires a re-set for the other teams defensive schemes. Willie parker is a dangerous man....Edge? JJ? Hightower? ADVANTAGE: STEELERS
3) Experience: Yes, Warner has the ring.....but the Steelers have been there and done that, for the past 40 yrs, the past decade and this season....you cant say ANY of those for the Cards...no tradition of excellenc or winning (yes, this is key, esp if you need a comeback), no success over the past few yrs to build group trust and expererience and they werent even that good this yr....the Steelers were an all time great D this yr AND played two good teams in the playoffs and won, esp vs Baltimore....ADVANTAGE: STEELERS
So, before you see your ML + Over payout swimming in your head, think very carefully.....I may end up being wrong, but odds are on my side.
One more quick thing: Az has a lot of success jumping out on teams (not that they know how to put teams away, BUT thats a diff story).....but i would lay serious odds on Pitts D allowing for a quick 17-0 or 21-3 score...it just wont happen....without that, I dont see how they win this game....
THOUGHTS????
