Guys, I went through the entire NBA sched (team by team) and wrote down the 3 & more game trips. Then I wrote the trips down by calendar date on graph paper. Being pretty computer ignorant, I don't know how to transfer the sheets to this post. And if you need a printer to do that, I ain't got one. I do everything by hand. Took about 20 hours. Sorry
NBA ROAD SYSTEM HALVES / ATS
2008- 09
(EXPLANATION REVISTED FOR 08- 09)
THE PLAN: The idea of the nba road system (halves/ats) is to play against a road team that is out of its comfort zone and with the fatigue factor to consider, so we play up to the last 6 halves with the last half being optional of a 3 or more games road trip. Stop the series when a cover is made by the home team. Find your best line for the first half and if the first half loses bet at half-time for the 2nd half. Our road teams that we do not play can vary from year to year. Betting progression: To win one unit... double bet plus juice until it covers. See below for more details.
RULES FOR THE ROAD SYSTEM WITH HALVES (ATS)
1. Bet against the road team (ats) on a road trip of three or more games.
2. Play up to the LAST 3 games of a road series until a cover is made. Of course on a 3 game road trip it would all 3 games. (see below for more details)*
3. Find your best line for the first half and if it does not cover place your bet at half-time for the second half for the second play of the series. If there is still a no cover after two plays, your third play would be the first half of the second game of the series and etc.
4.Betting progression: the goal is to win one unit. (see below for more details)
5. No play road teams (optional)for this season includes: BOS,DAL,DET,LAL,NO,ORL,SA,UT
6. Any series that starts before the christmas break must conclude by dec. 22 or it is a no play.
7. Series games must be 3 games or less between games or the series is a no play.
8. NO PLAYS THE FIRST 10 DAYS OF THE SEASON.
9. The main problem with this system: You must be available to make half-time wagers.
* 6 game series ... start with the 4th game of the series
* 5 game series ... start with the 3rd game of the series
* 4 game series ... start with the 2nd game of the series
* 3 game series ... start with the 1st game of the series
BETTING PROGRESSION TO WIN ONE UNIT (based on -110)
First play .......... risk 1.1 to win 1.0
Second play .... risk 2.3 to win 2.1
Third play ......... risk 4.85 to win 4.41
Fourth play ...... risk 10.2 to win 9.26
Fifth play .......... risk 21.4 to win 19.46
Sixth play ......... optional
EXAMPLE SERIES: ATL @ LAC, GS, SEA
1st play: atl @ lac (1st half) risk 1.1 to win 1.0 ........ results - loss
2nd play: atl @ lac (2nd half) risk 2.3 to win 1.0 ...... results - loss
3rd play: atl @ gs (1st half) risk 4.85 to win 4.41 .... results - win
The series ends with a cover on the 3rd play for 1 unit won.
** The no play teams are optional. The schedule will include all teams.
NBA ROAD SYSTEM
HALVES/ATS
NOV/2008 SCHEDULE
MEM @ GS (11/7), DEN (11/9), PHO (11/10)
MN @ SAC (11/7), POR (11/8), GS (11/11)
TOR @ ATL (11/7), CHA (11/9), BOS (11/10)
HOU @ OKC (11/9), PHO (11/12), SA (11/14)
ATL @ CHI (11/11), BOS (11/12), NJ (11/14)
DEN @ CHA (11/11), CLE (11/13), BOS (11/14)
ORL @ OKC (11/12), DAL (11/14), PHO (11/16)
UT @ WA (11/12), CHA (11/14), CLE (11/15)
DET @ GS (11/13), LAL (11/14), PHO (11/16)
POR @ NO (11/14), MN (11/15), GS (11/18)
DAL @ NY (11/16), CHA (11/18), HOU (11/19)
LAC @ OKC (11/19), PHIL (11/21), NJ (11/22)
HOU @ WA (11/21), ORL (11/22), MIA (11/24)
IND @ MIA (11/22), DAL (11/25), HOU (11/26)
CHI @ UT (11/24), SA (11/26), PHI (11/30)
MIL @ ORL (11/24), ATL (11/26), DET (11/28)
NO @ LAC (11/24), DEN (11/27), POR (11/28)
GS @ BOS (11/26), CLE (11/28), NY (11/29)
NJ @ SAC (11/26), UT (11/29), PHO (11/30)
MIA @ LAC (11/29), GS (12/1), UT (12/3)
TOR @ LAL (11/30), DEN (12/2), UT (12/5)
OKC @ CHA (12/3), ORL (12/5), MIA (12/6) #
POR @ WA (12/3), BOS (12/5), TOR (12/7) #
# Road series starts in Nov.
I will post the schedule later for the other months.
NEXT POST: FULL GAME EXPLANATION FOR 2008-09 AND SCHEDULES FOR THE SEASON.
2008- 09
(EXPLANATION REVISTED FOR 08- 09)
THE PLAN: The idea of the nba road system (halves/ats) is to play against a road team that is out of its comfort zone and with the fatigue factor to consider, so we play up to the last 6 halves with the last half being optional of a 3 or more games road trip. Stop the series when a cover is made by the home team. Find your best line for the first half and if the first half loses bet at half-time for the 2nd half. Our road teams that we do not play can vary from year to year. Betting progression: To win one unit... double bet plus juice until it covers. See below for more details.
RULES FOR THE ROAD SYSTEM WITH HALVES (ATS)
1. Bet against the road team (ats) on a road trip of three or more games.
2. Play up to the LAST 3 games of a road series until a cover is made. Of course on a 3 game road trip it would all 3 games. (see below for more details)*
3. Find your best line for the first half and if it does not cover place your bet at half-time for the second half for the second play of the series. If there is still a no cover after two plays, your third play would be the first half of the second game of the series and etc.
4.Betting progression: the goal is to win one unit. (see below for more details)
5. No play road teams (optional)for this season includes: BOS,DAL,DET,LAL,NO,ORL,SA,UT
6. Any series that starts before the christmas break must conclude by dec. 22 or it is a no play.
7. Series games must be 3 games or less between games or the series is a no play.
8. NO PLAYS THE FIRST 10 DAYS OF THE SEASON.
9. The main problem with this system: You must be available to make half-time wagers.
* 6 game series ... start with the 4th game of the series
* 5 game series ... start with the 3rd game of the series
* 4 game series ... start with the 2nd game of the series
* 3 game series ... start with the 1st game of the series
BETTING PROGRESSION TO WIN ONE UNIT (based on -110)
First play .......... risk 1.1 to win 1.0
Second play .... risk 2.3 to win 2.1
Third play ......... risk 4.85 to win 4.41
Fourth play ...... risk 10.2 to win 9.26
Fifth play .......... risk 21.4 to win 19.46
Sixth play ......... optional
EXAMPLE SERIES: ATL @ LAC, GS, SEA
1st play: atl @ lac (1st half) risk 1.1 to win 1.0 ........ results - loss
2nd play: atl @ lac (2nd half) risk 2.3 to win 1.0 ...... results - loss
3rd play: atl @ gs (1st half) risk 4.85 to win 4.41 .... results - win
The series ends with a cover on the 3rd play for 1 unit won.
** The no play teams are optional. The schedule will include all teams.
NBA ROAD SYSTEM
HALVES/ATS
NOV/2008 SCHEDULE
MEM @ GS (11/7), DEN (11/9), PHO (11/10)
MN @ SAC (11/7), POR (11/8), GS (11/11)
TOR @ ATL (11/7), CHA (11/9), BOS (11/10)
HOU @ OKC (11/9), PHO (11/12), SA (11/14)
ATL @ CHI (11/11), BOS (11/12), NJ (11/14)
DEN @ CHA (11/11), CLE (11/13), BOS (11/14)
ORL @ OKC (11/12), DAL (11/14), PHO (11/16)
UT @ WA (11/12), CHA (11/14), CLE (11/15)
DET @ GS (11/13), LAL (11/14), PHO (11/16)
POR @ NO (11/14), MN (11/15), GS (11/18)
DAL @ NY (11/16), CHA (11/18), HOU (11/19)
LAC @ OKC (11/19), PHIL (11/21), NJ (11/22)
HOU @ WA (11/21), ORL (11/22), MIA (11/24)
IND @ MIA (11/22), DAL (11/25), HOU (11/26)
CHI @ UT (11/24), SA (11/26), PHI (11/30)
MIL @ ORL (11/24), ATL (11/26), DET (11/28)
NO @ LAC (11/24), DEN (11/27), POR (11/28)
GS @ BOS (11/26), CLE (11/28), NY (11/29)
NJ @ SAC (11/26), UT (11/29), PHO (11/30)
MIA @ LAC (11/29), GS (12/1), UT (12/3)
TOR @ LAL (11/30), DEN (12/2), UT (12/5)
OKC @ CHA (12/3), ORL (12/5), MIA (12/6) #
POR @ WA (12/3), BOS (12/5), TOR (12/7) #
# Road series starts in Nov.
I will post the schedule later for the other months.
NEXT POST: FULL GAME EXPLANATION FOR 2008-09 AND SCHEDULES FOR THE SEASON.
NBA BACK TO BACK ROAD SYSTEM
(REVISTED FOR THE 08-09 SEASON)
B2B/ATS / B2B/UNDER
THE IDEA: The impact of the fatique factor is one of the major if not the most important part of the road system. The idea of back to back games, games played in consecutive days of a road trip starting with the third game or more of a road series could be the highest point of the fatique factor. I researched the idea that it would be difficult for road teams to cover the spread and the over for totals for 6 consecutive games if we placed back to back games of all teams in sequence based on date of each game.The plan is that the home team will cover the spread and the under for totals on the 2nd gm only of the back to back games based on the below rules. Same rules apply for this chase system as compared to other road system plays. In this plan, we are chasing a situation and not a team. We have placed all plays in one huge system and after a unit is won the series starts over with the next scheduled game. It is like having one long road trip and doing restarts on a continuous basis for the entire season. This will give up to 6 games for every series and will eliminate all pushes.
RULES:
**The first and only back to back game starting with the 3rd game of each road series (see # # below).
** All teams included. There are ZERO no play teams with this system
** No more than one gm per day for each catergory (ats/totals).
** Back to back games placed in sequence by date.
** No plays in April.
** No new series with less than 6 games left or 7 with the proposed plan (see below)
** Tie-breaker: When more than one game is schedule for the same day, the deepest game of a road series is the first option.
4TH GM PLUS / UNDER
THE IDEA: It is similar to the B2B system. We have placed all plays in sequence of the 4th game and more of road trips. Again, we are not chasing a team but a situation.Instead of having a gradual move to a fatique factor game, every play is a potential fatique factor game.
THIS SEASON I WILL DEFINTELY USE THESE 4 FULL GAME SYSTEMS...B2B/ATS (h), B2B/UNDER, 4TH GM PLUS/ATS (h), 4TH GM PLUS/UNDER.
OPTIONAL: Our main system plays for full games last season were B2B/ ATS, B2B/UNDER, and 4TH GM PLUS/UNDER. But looking into these situational chases with these road system plays, it has caused inconsistency preventing extended winning streaks regardless of the play. My research of this for the last 5 years indicated this and with some good results (see below).
The idea of taking the total based units that I used last season with the 3 systems and divide it among 8 systems would keep the total base units the same and reduce the risk at the same time plus it would give an extra play in the betting progression with less risk. Only 3 series went to the 7th play in the last 3 years with the 8 systems. THIS IS JUST AN IDEA! ( THINKING OUT LOUD)! The only loss last season with full games would have won with this idea.
PLAN: Use multiple books and reduce the size of units to give you more plays in the betting progression without adding additional risk. Increasing full game systems plays from 3 to 8 to offset the reduce units to give the same potential winnings. The system plays would include B2B/ATS (home), B2B/ATS (visiting), B2B/UNDER, B2B/OVER, 4TH GM PLUS/ATS (home), 4TH GM PLUS/ATS (visiting), 4TH GM PLUS/UNDER and 4TH GM PLUS/OVER.
RESEARCH:
Proposed Systems:
Year.................... B2B...................4TH GM PLUS ..................TOTALS
2007-08.............94 - 0...................147 - 0...................................241 - 0
2006-07.............89 - 0...................151 - 0...................................240 - 0
2005-06............106 - 0..................176 - 0...................................282 - 0
2004-05............100 - 0..................175 - 1...................................275 - 1
2003-04.............90 - 1....................140 - 1...................................230 - 2
TOTALS............479 - 1..................789 - 2...................................1268 - 3
COMMENTS:
The last 3 years, you would have faced the 7th play in the betting progression only 3 times but it covered each time (3 out of 763 times which is only .004). Less than one-half of one percent of the time which is not too bad! There were 3 losses in the last 5 years with 2 of the 3 losses were with the 4th gm plus/over. One in 2003-04 and one in 2004-05 seasons. Again, compared to last season, the risk would be less with 7 plays in the betting progression with this idea than with 6 plays that I used last season. This research info looks good and I will consider it but I am just reluctant of playing both sides of a bet!
Although I have had good success with this over the years, I realize that this type of betting is not for everyone and we have our share of bashers. If you are new to this and decide to try any of these road systems....GOOD LUCK!!!
NEXT POSTS: SCHEDULES FOR THE SEASON.
(REVISTED FOR THE 08-09 SEASON)
B2B/ATS / B2B/UNDER
THE IDEA: The impact of the fatique factor is one of the major if not the most important part of the road system. The idea of back to back games, games played in consecutive days of a road trip starting with the third game or more of a road series could be the highest point of the fatique factor. I researched the idea that it would be difficult for road teams to cover the spread and the over for totals for 6 consecutive games if we placed back to back games of all teams in sequence based on date of each game.The plan is that the home team will cover the spread and the under for totals on the 2nd gm only of the back to back games based on the below rules. Same rules apply for this chase system as compared to other road system plays. In this plan, we are chasing a situation and not a team. We have placed all plays in one huge system and after a unit is won the series starts over with the next scheduled game. It is like having one long road trip and doing restarts on a continuous basis for the entire season. This will give up to 6 games for every series and will eliminate all pushes.
RULES:
**The first and only back to back game starting with the 3rd game of each road series (see # # below).
** All teams included. There are ZERO no play teams with this system
** No more than one gm per day for each catergory (ats/totals).
** Back to back games placed in sequence by date.
** No plays in April.
** No new series with less than 6 games left or 7 with the proposed plan (see below)
** Tie-breaker: When more than one game is schedule for the same day, the deepest game of a road series is the first option.
4TH GM PLUS / UNDER
THE IDEA: It is similar to the B2B system. We have placed all plays in sequence of the 4th game and more of road trips. Again, we are not chasing a team but a situation.Instead of having a gradual move to a fatique factor game, every play is a potential fatique factor game.
THIS SEASON I WILL DEFINTELY USE THESE 4 FULL GAME SYSTEMS...B2B/ATS (h), B2B/UNDER, 4TH GM PLUS/ATS (h), 4TH GM PLUS/UNDER.
OPTIONAL: Our main system plays for full games last season were B2B/ ATS, B2B/UNDER, and 4TH GM PLUS/UNDER. But looking into these situational chases with these road system plays, it has caused inconsistency preventing extended winning streaks regardless of the play. My research of this for the last 5 years indicated this and with some good results (see below).
The idea of taking the total based units that I used last season with the 3 systems and divide it among 8 systems would keep the total base units the same and reduce the risk at the same time plus it would give an extra play in the betting progression with less risk. Only 3 series went to the 7th play in the last 3 years with the 8 systems. THIS IS JUST AN IDEA! ( THINKING OUT LOUD)! The only loss last season with full games would have won with this idea.
PLAN: Use multiple books and reduce the size of units to give you more plays in the betting progression without adding additional risk. Increasing full game systems plays from 3 to 8 to offset the reduce units to give the same potential winnings. The system plays would include B2B/ATS (home), B2B/ATS (visiting), B2B/UNDER, B2B/OVER, 4TH GM PLUS/ATS (home), 4TH GM PLUS/ATS (visiting), 4TH GM PLUS/UNDER and 4TH GM PLUS/OVER.
RESEARCH:
Proposed Systems:
Year.................... B2B...................4TH GM PLUS ..................TOTALS
2007-08.............94 - 0...................147 - 0...................................241 - 0
2006-07.............89 - 0...................151 - 0...................................240 - 0
2005-06............106 - 0..................176 - 0...................................282 - 0
2004-05............100 - 0..................175 - 1...................................275 - 1
2003-04.............90 - 1....................140 - 1...................................230 - 2
TOTALS............479 - 1..................789 - 2...................................1268 - 3
COMMENTS:
The last 3 years, you would have faced the 7th play in the betting progression only 3 times but it covered each time (3 out of 763 times which is only .004). Less than one-half of one percent of the time which is not too bad! There were 3 losses in the last 5 years with 2 of the 3 losses were with the 4th gm plus/over. One in 2003-04 and one in 2004-05 seasons. Again, compared to last season, the risk would be less with 7 plays in the betting progression with this idea than with 6 plays that I used last season. This research info looks good and I will consider it but I am just reluctant of playing both sides of a bet!
Although I have had good success with this over the years, I realize that this type of betting is not for everyone and we have our share of bashers. If you are new to this and decide to try any of these road systems....GOOD LUCK!!!
NEXT POSTS: SCHEDULES FOR THE SEASON.
