WildBill
New member
- Joined
- Sep 21, 2004
- Messages
- 8,781
- Reaction score
- 0
I will give you all the secret to gas prices. Its not really that secret, its just that this is completely ignored.
In times of normal gas market conditions, prices should generally be from 50 to 80 cents (depending on which area of the country you live in) above wholesale, which is the forward futures contract price you read about in the financial news. Its been below $2 for about a week now, running about $1.75 today after the latest inventories reports. This means national prices should be around $2.30, not the $2.80 or so they are.
The reason why the prices are high is that retailers are recouping what they lost when the prices went up to almost $2.50 back when the hurricanes were hitting. That is right, when the most noise was made by attorney generals and pundits about gouging, retailers were actually LOSING money selling you gas in most cases. They do it because when prices inevitably fall, they can just recoup the losses. When the market feels the recovery is sufficient, prices can come down. Expect to see 20 cent declines in prices within 10-20 days as long as there are no more looming hurricanes or setbacks in refinery stats.
I just can't believe so few people ever realize this. The time when people could complain is now and of course no one does because the prices are inching down. Complete lack of understanding in the marketplace, they cry foul and do their investigations at the wrong times. When they do them as prices skyrocket, they quickly go away once they realize the local filling station is losing 20 cents on every gallon they sell. With their tails between their legs, they say "sorry, no evidence can be found these scoundrels are ripping us off".
Just so you all know...
In times of normal gas market conditions, prices should generally be from 50 to 80 cents (depending on which area of the country you live in) above wholesale, which is the forward futures contract price you read about in the financial news. Its been below $2 for about a week now, running about $1.75 today after the latest inventories reports. This means national prices should be around $2.30, not the $2.80 or so they are.
The reason why the prices are high is that retailers are recouping what they lost when the prices went up to almost $2.50 back when the hurricanes were hitting. That is right, when the most noise was made by attorney generals and pundits about gouging, retailers were actually LOSING money selling you gas in most cases. They do it because when prices inevitably fall, they can just recoup the losses. When the market feels the recovery is sufficient, prices can come down. Expect to see 20 cent declines in prices within 10-20 days as long as there are no more looming hurricanes or setbacks in refinery stats.
I just can't believe so few people ever realize this. The time when people could complain is now and of course no one does because the prices are inching down. Complete lack of understanding in the marketplace, they cry foul and do their investigations at the wrong times. When they do them as prices skyrocket, they quickly go away once they realize the local filling station is losing 20 cents on every gallon they sell. With their tails between their legs, they say "sorry, no evidence can be found these scoundrels are ripping us off".
Just so you all know...
