Where are all the big MLB dogs ?

[Doug]

I'm not seeing many big lines ( +200 and better). Have books tightened it up ?

Example Clemens only about -122 against Mets. I expect NYY to be -300 and higher at times ( not against Boston).

 

[CHOPTALK]

Your right. The other night Santana was only -160. Last year that game would have been at least -210 under the same conditions.

 

[WorldNumberOne]

its called parity .. and a lack of starters going past 6 or 7 .

bullpens are at an all time low

 

[aceduecetrey]

Also forthe most part right now the rotations have been matching up. #1's vs #1's, that will change here soon.

 

[sherman]

Also forthe most part right now the rotations have been matching up. #1's vs #1's, that will change here soon.

good point....

 

[Horseshoe]

I was listening to Rob Dibble on my new XM Mifi in the car today, he said that the blown saves rate this year is really high thus far.

The pen factor is part of it, also no teams have come out gangbusters, as most all hover at 3-4 and 4-3, plus the smarts have going straight into the teeth of killers like Santana, Clemens,etc..every outing thus far.

 

[Doug]

I'm still not seeing big name has beens as huge fav's based on past glory, like before. I see way fewer games with dog even +150 and better, than I'd expect based on previous years ! I see few if any +200 dogs out there.

Boston ( Wells) is about -180 over Tampa bay ! Doggies are smaller now.

We need to adjust to this. Dogs aren't as automatic now .

 

[WildBill]

Big favorites don't come in until mid-May. People are wise enough not to back a team too heavily before the season's form has been set. Most bettors tend to back dogs early on in the year due to the fact that starters are expected to go shorter and a number of formerly bad teams might turn out to be good and vice versa.

 

[Doug]

Can you back that with comparisons to earlier seasons lines ? I'm not saying you are wrong Bill, I think the general trend is away from the larger dogs.

I only show KC and Colo projected at under 70 wins. I think we have more parity now. The worst team ( KC) is expected to get 65.5 wins !

 

[wilheim]

Now that the Yanks and Red Sox are done playing each other for a while you will see some good sized dogs when either team plays at home.



wil.

 

[Doug]

Now that the Yanks and Red Sox are done playing each other for a while you will see some good sized dogs when either team plays at home.



wil.

Tampa Bay is only about +165 at Boston ( Wells).

 

[RPM]

Linesmakers Still Getting A "feel" For Things.

 

[Kabbagecough]

Wells has looked like crap this year. I'm amazed he's -165.


Kab

 

[PanchoSanza]

tampa hit + 186 at pinny

 

[Doug]

Nice parlay with over. If wells gets slammed early and TB holds on to win !

 

[heart222]

Wild bill is right on the odds go up each month although johnson was 285 the othr night. heard an interesting story from peter gammons .he said due to cold weatther in fla this yea the pitchers are behind and will take another week to get ready (fla excluded) He also mentioned that relievers are saving 52% of there games as opposed to a more normaal 68% that may account for the low numbers as lousy relief could make taking long odds very interesting. just a couple of thoughts