teasers in the NFL are some of the best profit opportunities available in football. in college they are a total waste of time and money, but in the NFL they are net positive expected value b/c lines are so sharp.
i know they say "never cross zero," but tonight i like that play if you tease it 6.5 points to -2.5 and over 34.5. the fact that the line won't go to -3.5 and instead is highly juiced at 3 makes me think they don't want +10.5 teasers out there.
personally, I don't like crossing zero when I do teasers, but I hope you win.
Terrible.. This has square-loss written all over it.
Go the other way. Miami +10, Under 48 is the play.
Miami brings the D, Peyton has no weapons. Miami uses lots of running and short passing to control the clock.
I see the Colts having alot of long drives and having to settle for FG's as the field gets shorter.
I know they say "never cross zero", and I usually don't, but if what everyone is saying is true and this is going to be a grind it out running game, then why not take the team you already like and give them an extra field goal padding? With these teasers a tie is a push, so we'll see. I never do teasers in college, which is where i spend all my time capping, but just wanted some action tonight and I think they are usually pretty sharp on the lines like someone above mentioned...figured why not....we'll see.
