What are the key factors in handicapping college basketball?

[TheGeneral+]

Thanks for any info which you may provide to assist our posters in making better decisions in capping college hoops. I like to look for multiple double digit scorers, RPI's, injuries, & 3 point % atleast. I do not try and follow or fade steam as I have found it a crapshoot.

 

[TheAce]

I like to follow really good strong backcourts. Last years St. Joseph's for example.

 

[oldirtyku]

Homecourt advantage and a teams ability to play on the road is the most important factor in college basketball.

 

[pops69]

i just bet what action and kapusta pick, less use of my booze dead brain

 

[ChiTownHustler]

Free Throws

Nothing can make winner or loser out of a ticket more than these.

GL

 

[WinOne]

Early in the season I look at returning starters. Also I look at rebounding statistics, TO statistics and home court advantages.


WinOne!!

 

Distance of travel for road team,length of time between games, depth of roster (# players that play 10 minutes or more a game), most important experience of starters and backcourt (especially on the road).

 

[Dante]

while im not a capper per say ...My favorite sport to bet is ncaa hoops

I look for road teams that have close to the same numbers in scoring as the home or vice a versa......I then look at ATS streaks and defense...works semi good for me im currently on a small streak 6-0 past 2 weeks

 

[Coast2Coast]

I look at a lot of stats, but different stats take different levels of importance, depending on the situation.

Top two stats in betting underdogs are field goal % defense and rebounding margin. Dogs who have the advantage there will keep games close and get more shots...even if their own shots aren't falling.

Top stats for betting favorites are demonstrated ability to cover spreads (ATS as favorites), shooting percentage differentials and assist/turnover margin. I want favorites who shoot at much higher %, don't turn it over and have a killer instinct by keeping the back door closed.

Important stat for road teams (dog or favorites)...shooting percentage home vs. away. Most college teams shoot 4-8% worse on the road...which is why home court is usually worth 5-7 points.

 

[NEWPORT]

ALWAYS look at DOGS first,


an BET 2nd half lines in college. The first half is your best handicapper. And I do not mean you always follow what you just saw in the first half. You can learn a great deal in college by the first half. Always look at money line dogs with lines of 8 and under. As far as totals, it is one of the hardest to pick versus the linesmakers. I tend to focus on finding easy overs

DOGS

2nd halves

find easy overs

NEWPORT