What are my chances?

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I am about to see if i can turn $200 into 100k.

1st bet $200 to double money then roll my winnings into the next bet. If i lose i start a new series. Sounds simple enough but to get to 100k i need 10 winners in a row. Is it possible? I have been on huge streaks before but maybe nothing like 10 in a row. I will be betting hcps or totals so on average the vig should be say 1.90 or whatever.

I know its possible. One strong chance followed by another. I invite any good capper to share their best bet of the day in here. There is alot of sharps here in the rx who could help me get to 100k. What an achievement it would be. 10 winners to 100k starts here.

I am a bookie but i love nothing more then backing winners. I want to one day be professional enough to hcp fulltime. Fuck work. Fuck taxes. I know i can do it. But first i need the bankroll big enough to make an impact. To be successful in life you got to take risks and dream big. Its my dream and im going to see if i can get it done. Who's with me?
 

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It will be tough to get down $50 K on a game....and what happens if you lose the $200?

I'll say you can't do it, especially because after you turn 200 into like 25K I doubt you could have the balls to risk it all.

10 winners in a row is certainly possible though
 

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I can do it mike. I can risk 25k because in reality its only the original $200 that got me there in the first place. See that my whole point entirely. All the great people in life take huge risks to get to where they are. If i lose the $200 i start a new series with another $200.

Yeah your right not many places will let me lay down 50k but i would just use a number of different outs to get down. 10 is very achievable.
 

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how many series are you willing to start ?

You'll lose the $200 many many times before you hit 10 straight.
 

Raising 4 girls!
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how many series are you willing to start ?

You'll lose the $200 many many times before you hit 10 straight.
Yeah, that's an important factor to consider. However, the OP had the same line of thinking I have in my current baseball "Survivor" thread.

I do believe that winning 6, 8, or 10 in a row would be something to try with many small amounts to start with.

But since I already had formatting done in my spreadsheet, I thought I'd help with the actual numbers. Basically the OP can do -110 at $200 original amount to try and win 10 in a row to reach $128K.

100kvm6.jpg


GL, Harlem!

* CalvinTy
 

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winning 10 in a row is doable, there's multiple streaks over 10 at wagerline now.
 

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same odds of hitting a 10 team parlay with the same odds as you would expect to bet.
 

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IMO, you would have a better chance to do it during football and basketball season. Take large favorites on the money line on a weekly basis and parlay them together. You will get shit odds on them and need more than 10 in a row, but if you throw together 4 or 5 big favorites (like say USC ML v. Stanford, ND ML v. one of their academies, OU ML v. North Texas). Shit like that. Maybe Indy ML on Sunday v. Hou. Like I said, it will take a lot longer to get there, but I think you have a much better chance to string together 15 in a row than you do to string along 5 or 6 -110s. Throw in a team like Chelsea home against some relegation dweller.
 

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Hmm, I'm not sure if the parlay route is a good idea. I guess it all depends on whether the parlay has a better CHANCE of hitting than a straight bet.

Compare those 3 examples.

Example A (6 team parlay on -1000 ML, i.e. heavy CFB favs):

Risking $200 to win $154.31

6teamiw8.jpg


Example B (3 team parlay; two -400 ML & one -450 ML)

Risking $200.00 to win $181.94

parlaykh8.jpg


Example C (ONE straight bet at -110)

Risking $200 to win $181.82

Maybe it's a matter of preference, but give me ONE -110 ML every time.

* CalvinTy
 

WVU

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don't waste your money. 200 is 200. Like blue said just play a 10 team parlay
 

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I can do it mike. I can risk 25k because in reality its only the original $200 that got me there in the first place. .

no, money in your pocket is your money. whatever happened in the past to put it there doesnt matter
 

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no, money in your pocket is your money. whatever happened in the past to put it there doesnt matter
True, I can see compelling points on both sides on this. Some can argue that they actually have a mindset of treating the WON money as something in an investment account just like a mutual fund (in which it's your money but it's not a sure amount UNTIL YOU TAKE IT ALL OUT).

Then again, you have a point that after 8 straight wins, a bettor would have a lot more money in their account and should be treated as "their money".

* CalvinTy
 

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a mistake gamblers make is to say buy in for $200 at a craps table, get lucky and roll it up to $3000. then figure its OK to keep playing and raise their bets because their playing with "house " money. thats degenerate cant walk away a winner talk. its not house money, its your money.

if its house money, can they reach into your pocket and take it back?
 

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don't waste your money. 200 is 200. Like blue said just play a 10 team parlay
For fun of it, here's the result:

10teammz6.jpg


Now, WVU, the thing here is: he will waste $200 in this 10-team parlay attempt just as if he wasted a $200 attempt on the doubling-up concept that eventually busts on the 7th bet. Same thing.

Just that for the straight bet, you have the option of waiting hours/days/week to make the next bet. Closed parlays, nope. Also, you could find best price on a desired individual bet, too.

P.S. The odds of winning a 10-team parlay is astronomical, and on top of that, you must have 10 good picks at -110 or such to choose from at the same time.

* CalvinTy
 

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Definitely a matter of preference, but I think it is much easier to parlay

-1800 to -2400 to -900 to -1200 (pays 200 to win 64) on a weekly basis 22 times to come out with +$112k than it is to pick 10 straight -110 winners.

I realize CFB is a crazy time of the year, but I think picking 3-5 favorites to win straight up per week is more doable. I am going to give it a whirl this fall myself.

Like I said, then throw in Indy -1100 v. Hou as well. SD -1200 v. Oak, shit like that. Spurs -1200 v. Hawks at home.

I doubt I would have the stones to drop $10k or $20k on a game though,, that is the rub doing it this way instead of one 10 teamer.
 

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you have got to think in terms of averages. say he did this 1 million times. a million 10 team parlays and a million times try and hit 10 plays in a row. both will have about the same number of winning bets (i.e a 10-team winner or 10 in a row correct)

thus in effect the odds of hitting this are also astronimical. Also in regards to people being able to hit 10 in a row, I would say try to do it on purpose with real money again. it is just a slower 10 team parlay.
 

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Thanks to everyone who posted. Thanks CalvinTy for the first chart i can definitely use that. Brings mass to my goal and i like that. You have to be able to dream, believe, create and succeed. Right now i have done the first two i just need to create.

My GF was not a big believer in this system. I honestly believe it can work.
I have tried grinding day in and day out on sports and i have successfully made money doing it this way. But you know what its kind of boring. It's really tired. If i was to continue on this road i would never reach 100k for the next 50 years, by then i'm way too old to enjoy it. What do you guys think? I can quite easily go back to grinding, my GF would be alot happier if i did...but this could be my shot. I'm not afraid to stand there with a 50k bet on the line. I might have to use multiple outs to get down but so be it. I know some books that would let me get down for this type of money if they know in advance.

fhmesq44 thanks for your input on parlays. The biggest wins i ever had in sport were from parlays. I really cleaned up once with 5 dogs into 1 fav parlay a few years back. Its something to consider, taking huge favs to win all in together but like CalvinTy says wouldn't be many opportunities to find the right combo's often enough to make it work. Your right though during college football season might be the go. If you do try that definitely post and let us know how it goes.

As for money won is your money this is correct. Its the mindset to have when you grind it out. Whats mine is mine and once you win big you go back again smaller. But all you guys must have wondered at some point in your life...... what if i kept trying to hammer the man in that spot? What would have happened? If the answer was i would have cleaned up silly, then you might die wondering. I don't want to be of them guys that dies wondering. I want to know. Most successful people take a huge risk to get to where they are today. Others before and after them failed this is true but at least they tried. At least they can continue their life trying to succeed but if they never actually get there its no big deal. Sure at the end of our gambling careers grinding we might turn quite a profit but it would be nothing compared to trying something like this once in your life.
If you can't do it i understand because everyone is made different and can handle certain pressures. I for one am not a fan of grinding. Its just not me. Its not who i am. Its just not fun. In all honesty after awhile of winning i get bored grinding.

I appreciate all feedback from you guys. I am thinking todays NBA game might be a nice place to start.
 

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If you try it 50 times at $200 a pop, and fail ( likely) you'll be down 10k. Can you handle that ?

If you hit 9, and run it to say 60k, betting the 60k all on one game is very likely a huge overbet, you should have a bank of several million to make that last bet.

I don't like the idea behind this, honestly.
 

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