detroit was a very good pick tonight but now it's the lakers that have their backs against the wall, there usually are not too many situations where the lakers are a good pick but game four might be one of them, pounding away on teams that are ahead in the series is usaully an easy way to kill your bank roll.
Scpnc, I agree with you about a bad situation. I just don't think that with Kobe and Shaq against the rest of the Piston team is going to get it done. Honestly the Laker bench isn't very good compared to the Pistons. The Lakers are banged up and kinda of look slow. Until I start losing fading the Lakers, I'm going to keep pounding the Pistons and I have won so much doing that.
Line gm 3 opens Lakers -2 or 1.5...gm 4 Lakers need a big win line opens Det -1.5 which is correct by the way....that line on this evenings game was off...I would make Lakers -2 in game 4 knowing there will be alot of square action coming in on Kobe and Shaq to get a win.....
True Moon, but that line would still get hammered by the smarts taking Det plus points..hand over fist betting..even farm out orders via beards.
Win or lose..square action included..the BMs still have to keep a respectable scarecrow up to keep the pros from firing in too hard.
P.S. If this were in an early softer series, where they thought they knew for sure that either a sandbagging or wounded LA to date, was ready to "bring it" in a high PE spot(like Gm-4 VS Hou, or Gm-3 & Gm-4 vs SA ), they may make LA chalk, but given level of play thus far, and stakes at hand, the results show obvious level of being outplayed, thus if making LA chalk for Gm-4 would be clearly gambling by any BM..the square action will love LA in this spot at any price..to the Pros the price is a factor in play size(if not also for some the side also)..oh the intrigue!
[This message was edited by Horseshoe on June 11, 2004 at 12:55 AM.]
Win or lose..square action included..the BMs still have to keep a respectable scarecrow up to keep the pros from firing in too hard.
P.S. If this were in an early softer series, where they thought they knew for sure that either a sandbagging or wounded LA to date, was ready to "bring it" in a high PE spot(like Gm-4 VS Hou, or Gm-3 & Gm-4 vs SA ), they may make LA chalk, but given level of play thus far, and stakes at hand, the results show obvious level of being outplayed, thus if making LA chalk for Gm-4 would be clearly gambling by any BM..the square action will love LA in this spot at any price..to the Pros the price is a factor in play size(if not also for some the side also)..oh the intrigue!
[This message was edited by Horseshoe on June 11, 2004 at 12:55 AM.]
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Horseshoe:
True Moon, but that line would still get hammered by the smarts taking Det plus points..hand over fist betting..even farm out orders via beards.
Win or lose..square action included..the BMs still have to keep a respectable scarecrow up to keep the pros from firing in too hard.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
Good point Horseshoe....Books trying to keep the sharps away early on this one....adjust the line accordingly on gameday...I'm sure books cashed on tonight's game.
True Moon, but that line would still get hammered by the smarts taking Det plus points..hand over fist betting..even farm out orders via beards.
Win or lose..square action included..the BMs still have to keep a respectable scarecrow up to keep the pros from firing in too hard.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
Good point Horseshoe....Books trying to keep the sharps away early on this one....adjust the line accordingly on gameday...I'm sure books cashed on tonight's game.
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by smokey:
Moon if you opened the Lakers at -2, I'm pretty sure the sharps would pound you. Even me and my buddies would hit you for over 6 figures on that line. What I would do is pay the 30 cents and move it to +3 on Detroit. I don't think the Lakers would win by 4.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
I would rather have them pound gm 4 then gm 3 with the Lakers needing a win...Did you pound tonight's game? It opened at Lakers-2.
Gm 4 line is correct
Moon if you opened the Lakers at -2, I'm pretty sure the sharps would pound you. Even me and my buddies would hit you for over 6 figures on that line. What I would do is pay the 30 cents and move it to +3 on Detroit. I don't think the Lakers would win by 4.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
I would rather have them pound gm 4 then gm 3 with the Lakers needing a win...Did you pound tonight's game? It opened at Lakers-2.
Gm 4 line is correct
game 3 line was way off, i had it pistons -2.5, and opened at lakers -1.5, easy money, game 4 is much tougher game to pick than game 3 was, in one hand u have the pistons who are an overall better team than the lakers playing at home and only giving up 1.5, but in the othher u have a team in the lakers down 2-1 and coming off getting blown out and embarressed, very tough pick here. i love detroit but i never like betting on a team coming off a blowout win and ahead in the series, very simply put whether u like it or not the lakers are going to play harder than the pistons in game 4 however will it be enough considering that the pistons are at home and slightly a better team, as a sharpie i turn my attention to the total in this game instead of the side cause it is a very tough pick on the side.
Lakers deserved to lose G3
but when you play 8 on 5 it's not easy to win even if you do dserve to win
i hope the 3 blind mice who worked the game in stripes don't ask to be paid for this game - because they showed up in body only. my fellow rec league refs and i could have done a better job today - hard to do worse!
shoulda seen this one coming on the opening tip when shaq got called for stealing it - something he didn't do - not was it close!
but when you play 8 on 5 it's not easy to win even if you do dserve to win
i hope the 3 blind mice who worked the game in stripes don't ask to be paid for this game - because they showed up in body only. my fellow rec league refs and i could have done a better job today - hard to do worse!
shoulda seen this one coming on the opening tip when shaq got called for stealing it - something he didn't do - not was it close!
Scpnc, if I'm am really sure I put around 20-30 on a game and my buddies play bigger than me. Nowadays there is so much that you can bet, the first half, game, propositions. I play with a local guy, so it doesn't seem as much. If I had to lay it at a pay window, don't know if I would even lay more than 5. The reason I lay so much now is that I realized that the favourites won so much at the beginning, so it about time the underdogs would cover the rest of the playoffs. Another thing that I noticed is teams don't score so much in the first half compared to the second.
