Western Michigan vs Toledo 10/23/2021

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Western Michigan winning 55% of simulations, and Toledo 45% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Western Michigan commits fewer turnovers in 18% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. Toledo wins 53% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Sean Tyler is averaging 85 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (25% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Bryant Koback is averaging 165 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35% chance) then he helps his team win 55%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TOL +2.5 --- Over/Under line is 54.5
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