Well I Did It!

[Broncos625]

I took Buffalo -1.5 in my last man standing. There are only 40 ppl left out of 4600, winner take all $86K!!

I know some on here feel Miami is the play, but I'm sticking to my guns here and going with solid trends that heavily favor Buffalo. Buffalo is just better than Miami this year, simple as that, and I am hoping the Bills just play like they are capable of playing. If they do, big win for Buffalo. Wish me luck!

 

[ZJP6050]

I took Buffalo -1.5 in my last man standing. There are only 40 ppl left out of 4600, winner take all $86K!!

I know some on here feel Miami is the play, but I'm sticking to my guns here and going with solid trends that heavily favor Buffalo. Buffalo is just better than Miami this year, simple as that, and I am hoping the Bills just play like they are capable of playing. If they do, big win for Buffalo. Wish me luck!

look for buffalo to study the baltimore\miami films. buffalo is going to try to copy-cat as much as they can what baltimore did to contain the wildcat. defenses will figure out that style of offense. trent edwards has a productive game and lynch gets two TDs - buffalo by 6!

 

[Broncos625]

I think you're right. Seems a lot of ppl are overthinking this one. Miami just isn't very good. Buffalo has a strong D and solid O. Miami's two wins were against a SD team without a health LT and against a NE team that was still trying to find their identity without Brady. Pennington is weak and can't go downfield. Baltimore laid the blueprint as to how to stop the wildcat offense and Buffalo has the personnel to duplicate Baltimore's efforts.

Buffalo has dominated Miami since 2004 so why would anyone think a much better Buffalo team wouldn't continue that trend?

 

[gametime_365]

I am on the Bills as well, took them w/ the ML -125.

GL

 

[THEBUFFROCK]

:nohead:

 

[jimzorn]

how many games did u get to choose from?

flipping a coin halfway through the season on a divisional matchup is ballz and borderline "dumb" when better options should be available.

Lets not go saying miami "ain't" any good...beating both NE and SD has weight. They also had a good chance to to bet the Jets in a strong comeback.

I'm not ragging ur selections or saying ur wrong....but man...

 

[DaKaty]

I took Buffalo -1.5 in my last man standing. There are only 40 ppl left out of 4600, winner take all $86K!!

WoW! That's a really great amount of $$$$$ to win , ... I would DEFINITELY be SCARED to choose a DIVISIONAL game like this one , .... the final score might be BUFFALO 21 MIAMI 20 , .... don't wanna jinx you - BUT GOOOOOOD LUCK !!!!!

 

[Broncos625]

If there's one thing I've learned over time is to go with you gut a lot of the time. Several times this year, I've seen a line right off the press that felt "right". Each time, that game has won. Now I haven't always played that feeling as sometimes I overthink things, but this week, I see Bills winning.

As far as the Dolphins fan laughing, what exactly are you laughing at? The fact that Dolphins haven't beat the Bills since 2004? This Bills team is much better than any of the teams over the past 4 years that have always beaten the Dolphins. I think too many on this forum won't accept that Buffalo is for real and are winners. Dolphins, while maybe getting better, are where the Bills were a few seasons ago. Rebuilding. Chad Pennington is not a good QB. Keep pointing out the Dolphins wins over SD and NE. SD is not as strong as they once were, LT was injured, west coast to east coast, not a good argument. NE were in a stage where they were trying to figure out their identity without Brady. Again, not as impressive a win as it appears on surface.

Bottom line is I feel comfortable with my play and while I have some nervousness, I would have it with any pick now that I'm so close to the money. Wish me luck!!

BTW, I feel it may be fate. I picked Denver over SD and we all know how I won that game!!

 

[READYTOROLL]

:hanging:

BOL! :toast:

 

[THEGAME9000]

i posted weather alerts for 3 games this week, you see what's happening in philly tonight....
expect inclement weather in miami to seriously hinder the "wildcat" direct shotgun snaps to "runningbacks" and crazy side to side pitches.
i also jumped on scoresandodds, and $ is pouring in on miami and the over...literally everybody thinks they got the inside track with miami on the "big trap game".

BRONCO....your on the correct side...expect more of the same in this series.

GAME.

 

[Broncos625]

I think you're right. Too many ppl just think this line is a trap and are therefore going on Miami. Even those on this forum who are saying I am wrong or who are on Miami can not give any solid reason as to why Miami would win this game. The only thing that keeps being brought up is that they beat SD and NE. This doesn't suddenly make Miami a good team. They are 2-4 and only 1-2 at home! I may very well lose, but the history and trends are on my side, along with current season play. After all, isn't that what you're supposed to look at when you cap?

 

[uscmd]

I might have picked a different game, but in this game I think you are on the right side.

bol

my fear is this game could turn on a tipped ball on the last play of the game. A few weeks back we had 5 or 6 games turn on the last play. This could well be one of those.

 

[Broncos625]

I might have picked a different game, but in this game I think you are on the right side.

bol

my fear is this game could turn on a tipped ball on the last play of the game. A few weeks back we had 5 or 6 games turn on the last play. This could well be one of those.

I'll be honest, l haven't been in love with any plays the past few weeks. This one just feels right so I went with it.

 

[I_Need_Money]

Well what were your other options? List them.

 

[JrBoy]

buff is the better overall team....

 

[billbeater]

the fishy line says that the fish are the play... rain could help

 

[Alpine]

Please tell me you are going to bet at least $ 500 - $1000 on Mia for backup

 

[Murphy8276]

Please tell me you are going to bet at least $ 500 - $1000 on Mia for backup

i agree...ur field will be down to 1-5 people within two weeks or less...so if u dont hedge for 500+ or whatever u have invested...u are just plain an idiot.

dont be another wagerline guy who has a shot at 100K and decided to ride out the wave....stupid is , is stupid does.


gl with ur hedge

-murph

 

[tbonestk]

BOL Bronco. I'm pulling for U. :toast:

 

[Broncos625]

Well what were your other options? List them.

You can pick any side ATS, no totals. Including the Bills game, I'm not loving anything this week. This one stood out so I went with it.