Week One schedule with opening odds.

[DocHolliday]

Well it’s not hard to go find last year’s NFL playoff thread. Or this years baseball thread. Or mosey into the NFL season last years thread and check out how you finished 83-110.

I mean you dont have to go far to find losers. Look up your picks in this forum alone for the last 4 years.

You‘re the one digging up old stuff. If you can dig up old stuff… so can i.

 

[G-Man!]

Some one told me there were 6K views on my Week 1 NFL plays.
Doc...Is that what's killing you most or the 10 wins?
I remember both yOU and "Big LOU Returns' said you guys get more views than me? Problem was they were all in the Rubber room! LOL

LOL. I NEVER cared about VIEWS! And I still Dont!
LOL

 

[DocHolliday]

Handicapper
JoinedDec 18, 2017Messages6,204Tokens
2,685

• Jun 18, 2023
• Add bookmark
• #114

G-Man! said:
Saturday Jan 16th
Rams +7 over Green Bay, 5 units....................L-550
Rams ML +280. 5 units....................................L-500
Rams 1st qtr. +.5 (+108) 5 units..................................W+500.
Rams 1st qtr.ML +168. 5 units.....................PUSH
Rams 1st half. +4.5. 5 units.............................L-550
Rams 1st half ML +280 5 unit............................L-500
Click to expand...

1-4. -1600.00

G-Man! said:
Saturday Jan 16th
Bills -2.5 over Balt. 5 units..................................W+500
Bills 1st half -1 5 units.............................L-550
Bills 1st half NL -130. 5 units............PUSH
Bills 1st qtr. -.5. +125. 5 units............................W+625
Bills 1st Qtr ML -140 5 Units...............................W+500

3-1. +1075.00

G-Man! said:
Browns +10 over KC 5 units............................W+500
Browns ML +375, 5 units................................................L-500
Browns 1st qtr ML+200 5 units.....................................L-500
Browns 1st qtr. +3 (+100) 5 Units.....................PUSH
Browns 1st Half. +6.5 5 units.......................................L-550
Browns 1st half ML+260. 5 units....................................L_500

1-4. -1550.00

Season thru Jan 17, 2021
Season.181-178-7. $-4796.00


does 2021 count as fading

 

[DocHolliday]

Season. 202-225-9. -8079.00


Monday.
Tampa. -115. GM. 5 units
Tampa +1.5 runs (-205). GM. 5 units
Tampa 1st five. Even. ML 5 units
Tampa 1st Five +0.5 runs.(-150). 5 units
Over 5 runs. 1st Five. 5 units
Under 9 runs GM. 5 units



San Fran +170. GM. 5 units
San Fran +1.5 runs. (-125) GM. 5 units
San Fran 1st Five +0.5. runs. 5 units
San Fran 1st Five. +150. 5 units
Under 4 runs. 1st 5. 5 units
Over 7.5 runs. GM. 5 units

think this would also fall in the 2 year fade window

 

[DocHolliday]

I can do this all day long but im going to go enjoy my night.

Just remember when you throw mud, mud lands on you… and you’ve got a LOT of mud in your past

 

[G-Man!]

Damn you have to much time on your hands. Crazy. You bring on all the your own drama.

Fun you.
he posted 15 comments in threads before I ever replied. Go suck him off like always,.

 

[MotorCityMadman]

When someone has a week like that you know what to do the next week.

When someone has a week like that you know what to do the next week.

I don't know what's going to happen in short run. My thinking is that the NFL should be like shooting ducks in a pond. Going on what I seen after week one predictable. I will go out on a limb and say G MAN will have a very profitable NFL season. That's how I see it.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Fun you.
he posted 15 comments in threads before I ever replied. Go suck him off like always,.

Lol. Take your meds sir. Good luck.

 

[HacheMan]

It's time for you guys to ignore each other in every way

 

[BigLouReturns]

Home dogs in week one in games that go to OT are 12-1-1 ATS s/'90.

 

[BigLouReturns]

Make that 13-1-1.

 

[DocHolliday]

FOREEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
FOREEEEEEEEEEEE, LEFT, FOREEEEEEEE LEFT

Gutty win for the jets. WOW

M108K

 

[BigLouReturns]

Make that 13-1-1.

The only game where the OT home dog did not cover s/'90 happened in 2002. The Bills lost to the Jets because they gave up a kickoff return for a TD. Sounds similar, doesn't it?

8-8

9-7

10-6

2-0

5-0

L1H

Testaverde

NYJ

@

Buf

Bledsoe

L1H

0-6

0-1

3-13

8-8

11-5

+3

31-37L

24-20

3-1

 

[BigLouReturns]

I see a post complaining about too many worthless posts in people's threads. I count 9 posts in this thread from that complainer that have nothing to do with this Week One thread. Glass houses.

 

[Avocado33]

Lou where is your week 2 thread?

 

[BigLouReturns]

Lou where is your week 2 thread?

My plan was to enter my picks in the Picks forum, like I did for week one, and let the record speak for itself but that forum is no longer around.

 

[BigLouReturns]

Some rules I live by.

S.T.A.S.H. - Stop Thinking and Start Handicapping. There are way too many people out there doing too much thinking and not enough handicapping.

Accept your losses as losses. The only way to get better is to stop coming up with excuses for your losses and accept the fact that you were on the wrong side.

Don't overreact to injuries.

Focus on your research and information and completely tune out the sports media. This includes watching shows like Hard Knocks. Tune that shit out.

Your record is not what it was last year, the year before or the year before that. Understand every year is a new season and your record is 0-0 until the games start being played. Anyone can and will have a bad season if you handicap for a long time. Reminiscing about what you did in the past is for losers.

Don't watch preseason football and expect to get a feel for a team. What do the 2008 Lions and the 2017 Browns have in common? They both went 4-0 in the preseason and both went 0-16 during the regular season.

"Any Given Sunday" definitely applies to week one. Don't be too quick to fade teams in week one that are poised to have a really bad season. Almost every year there is an upset in week one by a team that goes on to stink out the joint the rest of the season. Here are the results for the last 26 years.

1997 - Both the Cardinals and the Bears would finish 4-12 SU but covered on opening day.
1998 - The Bears again would go 4-12 on the season but cover in week one.
1999 - The Saints finish 3-13 on the year but win SU & ATS against the Panthers opening day.
2000 & 2001 - Not one but two teams go 1-15 on the season and manage to cover in week one, the Chargers in 2000 and the Panthers in 2001. (Carolina won SU as 10 point dogs at Minnesota and then would lose 15 straight to close out the season).
2002 - None
2003 - The Giants win SU & ATS week one but only win 3 games the rest of the year.
2004 - Both the Browns and 49ers cover in week one but finish 4-12 and 2-14 respectively.
2005 - Both the Saints and 49ers cover in week one but finish 3-13 and 4-12 respectively.
2006 - The Lions finish 3-13 on the season but cover as 6 point dogs at home to the Super Bowl runner up Seattle Seahawks.
2007 - None
2008 - Kansas City Chiefs go 2-14 but cover against the Super Bowl runner up Patriots opening day. (The year before was the 16-0 regular season for New England).
2009 - Washington goes 4-12 but covers in week one.
2010 - None
2011 - The Vikings finish the season 3-13 but cover as road dogs to the Chargers in week one.
2012 - The eventual 2-14 Jaguars cover as road dogs at Minnesota, almost pulling off the upset as the game went into OT.
2013 - The Raiders cover as road dogs to the Jets but finish the season 4-12 SU.
2014 - The Raiders again have a rough year finishing 3-13 but cover in week one. The Titans finish the season 2-14 but win SU opening day at Arrowhead against the Chiefs.
2015 - Once again the Titans have a terrible season finishing 3-13 but win SU week one at Tampa Bay. Also, the Chargers would finish 4-12 that year but won SU & ATS week one.
2016 - The 49ers finish 2-14 but win SU & ATS by a score of 28-0 at home on opening day.
2017 - The eventual 0-16 Cleveland Browns cover as home dogs to the Steelers in week one. QB Deshone Kizer was making his first ever start for Cleveland.
2018 - The Jets finish 4-12 that season but win SU as 7 point road dogs to the Lions on MNF by a score of 48-17. QB Sam Darnold was making his first ever start for NY.
2019 - The eventual 2-14 Bengals cover as 9.5 point road dogs at Seattle, losing 21-20.
2020 - The Jaguars win SU as 7 point home dogs to the Colts but would lose their last 15 games.
2021 - The Texans easily defeat the Jaguars 37-21 opening day last year but finish the season 4-13.
2022 - The Bears defeat the 49ers 19-10 as 6.5 point home dogs. They end up 3-14 and the 49ers make it to the conference finals.

Don't get hung up on what a team did last week "thinking" they will play the same type of game this week. I see several writeups saying the Browns will easily win this because their run game and defense will essentially play like they did last week when they beat Cincy 24-3. There is no question they appear to be a solid team but what if things don't go their way tonight? If Pittsburgh jumps out to an early lead and the Browns have to abandon the running game, is Watson ready to lead the team with the passing game? There are so many variables angles you have to look at so just don't assume every team will play like they did last week.