weEK 8 upsets and picks!!!!!!!!! including GOTW

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2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
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21-11-1 ATS 64% +158 UNITS
GOTW 4-0 ATS

WEEK 7.... 6-2 ATS +58 UNITS


1st Pick

Goin to start off again like last week with my GOTW which has now gone a perfect 4-0 !!!



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Seattle Seahawks -3 at New Orleans Saints


1. The Seahawks travel to New Orleans after playing 5 quarters of Football in Arizona, the hawks defense were on the field for a whopping 46 mins which was insane !!! I think the hawks will be extremely fatigued after a very physical game vs the cards Sunday night!!!
2. The Seahawks O line looked terrible once again in Arizona, and took a lot of holding penalties the O line took 10 penalties for 90 yards, and Russell Wilson still is labouring with his knee and ankle injury, he didn't move at all out of the pocket were he is more effective last Sunday night !!!
3. The line in my opinion has good value for the Saints at home +3, it opened +3.5, and quickly got pounded by the sharps to 2.5 but you can still find 3 !!!
4. Drew Brees is 8-1 ATS as a home underdog !!! and when the saints lose the previous week and then are an underdog at home they are 11-5 ATS !!
5. I smell an upset in the making the Seahawks are in control of there division and are prime for a let down here as well as there defense especially, I like Saints small lean ML as well !!!


TAKING SAINTS +3.... GOTW 25 UNITS !!!!
TAKING SAINTS ML+125 ... 5 UNITS SMALL LEAN !!!

SAINTS 31 SEAHAWKS 28




CHEERS



TSF

 

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good luck pal...
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
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2nd pick

large play



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CHARGERS AT BRONCOS -5.5

[FONT=Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]1. As [/FONT][FONT=Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]I've[/FONT][FONT=Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif] written in previous posts this charger team is extremely underrated and could of easily been a 5-2 to a 7-0 team, i think you are getting extreme value week in week out with this 3-4 team !!!
[/FONT]2. Rivers vs Siemien ??? Who would you side with ?? Rivers is having an awesome season especially with all the devasting injuries this team has endured so far this season, and finally RB Gordon is living up to the hype and playing extremely well of late this season !!!
3. Rookie Joey Bosa has been playing at an extremely high level and he has turned this defense around, being down early last week to the falcons the charger defense buckled down, and only allowed the falcons only 3 pts in the 2nd half !!!
4. Rivers is 9-2 ATS vs the Broncos in Denver!!!




TAKE CHARGERS +5.5 ...15 UNITS LARGE PLAY


UPSET CHARGERS 27 BRONCOS 24




CHEERS



TSF
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Like em both TSF had them circled ..

The Seahawks also have a MNF game next week
&
Denver has Oakland on tap for the SNF

BOL on these
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
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Like em both TSF had them circled ..

The Seahawks also have a MNF game next week
&
Denver has Oakland on tap for the SNF

BOL on these


Thanks Powerz for that info !!! The rest of this week's card is very difficult, not to say saints and chargers are lay downs, i just like them the most so far !!! looking at maybe 2-3 more games ??? or maybe ill pass, waiting on some more info !!!!


cheers to your week 8 :toast:


tsf
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
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3rd pick

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CHIEFS -3 at COLTS


1. What would the Colts look like without Andrew Luck ??? A disaster that's what ?? But with Luck at the controls the Colts at home are dangerous especially versus the Chiefs whenever they visit in Indy !!!
2. The Colts are 10-0 ATS as home dogs vs the chiefs with 9 out rite wins !!!
3. Andrew Luck is 23-9 ATS at home
4. The Colts might get D Moncrief back which would be huge to open there pass attack without double or triple covering ty Hilton !!!
5. If the game is close towards the end of the game which I feel will happen, QB Luck has orchestrated 12... 4th quarter comebacks in his 4 yr tenure as the QB in Colts land !!!
6. Chiefs just average 22 points of Offense a game, I think Colts hang 24 plus on the chiefs and win out rite !!!!

TAKING COLTS +3 10 UNITS

UPSET COLTS 24 CHIEFS 21




CHEERS :toast:


TSF
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
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4th pick



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RAIDERS +1.5 AT BUCCANEERS


1. Is it me or is the wrong team favoured here ?? The buc's also have an important divisional game in 4 days vs the Falcons !!! and the buc's have no Home field advantage whatsoever!!!!
2. The Bucs are 3-15 SU and ATS at home LAST 18
3. The Raiders are the Road Warriors of the NFL, they are 10-2 ATS on the road last 2 years and 8-0 ATS as the dog !!!!
4. I don't like the fact they get the Broncos next week, but ill side with the Raiders anyways !!! since bucs have to look ahead in 4 days to face the Falcons !!!
5. The 5-2 Raiders if they win this go 6-2, and have the next 4 straight at home,, will be looking very good in an extremely tough division !!! Lots of motivation to be up for this winnable game !!!

TAKING RAIDERS +1.5 ....10 UNITS


RAIDERS 27 BUCS 24




CHEERS


TSF





 

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Good luck forecaster! Nice writeups. Like the Bolts and Raiders this weekend too
 
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I like ALL 4 good luck , I also love Eags +4 or so , they will get pressure on Dakk and limit Elliot ... Dakk due to throw Ints or make some bad decisions...pressure kills , ask Sam Bradford last week ...Eags took down a strong Pitt team and a 5-0 Minn team , they are back on track and confident and a win in Dallas , put eags tied for 1st in Div , with last gm of year in Philly vs Dal on Jan 1st , Flex gm?
 
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R Wilson can't scramble , Saints win game by 10 or so ,SD is a great value , bet them last 3 wks , they win or lose by 3 at Den and cover , Raiders are 4-0 su and ats on east coast , just Win Baby! Colts may suck on D , but give me Luck at home vs a Chiefs team way over due for a bad game. Add Eagles sun night +4 or so and Eags win game by at least 7 points ...Dakk who? Carson Wentz time...
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
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R Wilson can't scramble , Saints win game by 10 or so ,SD is a great value , bet them last 3 wks , they win or lose by 3 at Den and cover , Raiders are 4-0 su and ats on east coast , just Win Baby! Colts may suck on D , but give me Luck at home vs a Chiefs team way over due for a bad game. Add Eagles sun night +4 or so and Eags win game by at least 7 points ...Dakk who? Carson Wentz time...

philly franco I like your thought process !!!! I am still looking at the philly/Dallas game if I have a play ill post it... waiting on some more handicapping info !!!



cheers


tsf:toast:
 

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S/caster..........good looking card..........BOL with all your action, especially N.O. ...........indy
 

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4th pick



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RAIDERS +1.5 AT BUCCANEERS


1. Is it me or is the wrong team favoured here ?? The buc's also have an important divisional game in 4 days vs the Falcons !!! and the buc's have no Home field advantage whatsoever!!!!
2. The Bucs are 3-15 SU and ATS at home LAST 18
3. The Raiders are the Road Warriors of the NFL, they are 10-2 ATS on the road last 2 years and 8-0 ATS as the dog !!!!
4. I don't like the fact they get the Broncos next week, but ill side with the Raiders anyways !!! since bucs have to look ahead in 4 days to face the Falcons !!!
5. The 5-2 Raiders if they win this go 6-2, and have the next 4 straight at home,, will be looking very good in an extremely tough division !!! Lots of motivation to be up for this winnable game !!!

TAKING RAIDERS +1.5 ....10 UNITS


RAIDERS 27 BUCS 24




CHEERS


TSF






the Logic behind the play is spot on. however in my opinion vegas has set the trap. The Raiders have been a very popular public play this 2016 season. If this line opened at Oakland -3 the books would get the same 1 sided action on the Raiders.
this line screams to me take the Buccaneers.

best of luck this week.
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
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the Logic behind the play is spot on. however in my opinion vegas has set the trap. The Raiders have been a very popular public play this 2016 season. If this line opened at Oakland -3 the books would get the same 1 sided action on the Raiders.
this line screams to me take the Buccaneers.

best of luck this week.

I don't disagree Tulah but vegas set a similar line last week when the raiders were at jaxsonville and the public pounded the raiders and the line hardly moved !! This is a almost an identical situation once again !!
The raiders are 4-0 on the road the bucs 0-2 at home plus the raiders to me are the better football team getting points !!
Either way good luck with your picks this week


cheers

tsf
 

Edge Player
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The Raiders have never gone 5-0 on the road in their illustrious history, lets see if history is made.
 

2005 LAS VEGAS HILTON CHAMPION
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The Raiders have never gone 5-0 on the road in their illustrious history, lets see if history is made.


I think they will go to 5-0 on the road insight !!! I just heard that jack del rio HC of the raiders have set up shop in Florida for the past 2 and half weeks since they played in jax last Sunday, finally the raiders have a bright HC guiding this franchise, makes sense why travel all the way back to the west coast, it also gets this team closer and I think there Defense will step up since they have a lot of talent but haven't played all that well so far defensively.


Cheers


tsf
.
 

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