Week 8.... Trick or Treat$

Search

Banned
Joined
Jan 16, 2005
Messages
8,837
Tokens
(73-22-3 LARGE, 17-11-1 medium, 1-2-1 small)
Perfect for Haloween, 1 Ugly NFL card
for Week 8

Thursday is Garbage, Mow the Lawn at night instead!

Patriot$ -6 -10 5xLarge

working on the rest...
 

New member
Joined
Feb 12, 2009
Messages
1,541
Tokens
Pats line opened at 5.5 and now it's 6.5


What do you think the line will settle at? I'd say it's only going to go up. Do you like at 6.5? Won't let me buy the hook right now.
 

Banned
Joined
Jan 16, 2005
Messages
8,837
Tokens
Hi NYG, I think it goes to 7 and maybe we see 7.5 eventually with the Bill's injuries.
Don't worry at all between 6 and 6.5, both are Great, as long as you are under the 7 point key number.

Right now Station Casinos in Vegas has 7, while Caesars has 6.5.
Still 6 at Wynn/Mirage last I checked. Online books seem to be 6.5 and 7.

Books are gonna have to live with money on 6, 6.5 versus bills money at 7, or maybe 7.5.
So if the game lands on Pats by 7, they push on the bills and lose on the Pats or worse with 7.5, lose both.
Bad for them, but it rarely happens, so Books really let you have both sides of a key number, like 7, often.
They don't much care, they just want your money on a bet.
But betting early certainly is important to get the best numbers.

Patriots I think are on a mission, and even better that they have Revenge in this game.
Bills do not have the Patriot's number. Last game they virtually had No QB.

With NO Shady or Sammy for Buffalo, expect domination in all phases. I will monitor the injuries.
Weather looks fine for football Sunday here in Western NY. Not a factor. 50s possible drizzle.

There also should be a TON of Teasers with the Pats. 6, 6.5, or 7 pointers.
I will look into some teasing, but usually both teams win and cover anyway.

I hope that helped a little, and I hope PAT$ ROLL!!
:toast:
 

Banned
Joined
Jan 16, 2005
Messages
8,837
Tokens
Steelers did a great job on the O-line protecting Laundry.
Taylor can run but their O-line isn't as good as Pitt's imho.
There will be sacks by NE in this game.
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2012
Messages
2,205
Tokens
Seattle -3/ -2.5. That line should be exactly what it was before season began. -5.5 to -6. A 4-2 team playing a 2-4 team and it's down to -2.5 some books? Talk about baiting the fish. If this game wa played in Seattle? Line would be -9....
 

Banned
Joined
Jan 16, 2005
Messages
8,837
Tokens
Hi Wiz, great thinking! Cheap Seattle, but nobody wants them here...
I was still thinking over that matchup, but it does seem like a trap to take Sea.
Similar to the Minny -2.5 game last week at the Eagles. Why such a low line?
But this came out at a seemingly very low 3 and is being pushed down or vigged already.
Unless Vegas really got pissed-off losing by giving the saints 6.5 or 7 at KC and barely covering.
Linesmakers really are taking into account Offensive Line play & injuries on a team's O-line.
We seen that the Seattle O-line wasn't very good against Arizona on Sunday night.

With rules favoring the Offense, and the Saints being very solid offensively, they will score.
Yes, this looks like we should grab the Saints +3 and hope Sea. cannot move the ball.
Sea. running game is just not there, and the their wideouts don't scare anybody.
Sea. also may have a little letdown after a physical Zona rival game,
plus that defense was on the field a ton. They should be somewhat beat up on defense.

The early 1pm start seems to favor the Saints who mostly play at 1pm.
I'm all for nutty stuff happening in the early 1pm Nfl games too.
Only 2 games have the Saints not put up 30 or more points in a game.
Early money on the Saints has pushed this down to 2.5 some places.
Is Russel Wilson hurt more than we know?
We likely need to snag the Saints +3 or don't play a side in this game.
I'll bite on it. I think you know your bizness! And the books see O-line trouble in Seattle.
add:
Saints +3 -15 Large
GL
:103631605
 

Banned
Joined
Jan 16, 2005
Messages
8,837
Tokens
Real quik, I also think that Linesmakers know that the Saints cover well when getting +5 to +6.5 range.
But still why not open it at Sea. -4....
Saints also get their 12th man crowd in the ear of that QB & O-line.
It should be a solid winner in the big easy!
GL
:103631605
 

Banned
Joined
Jan 16, 2005
Messages
8,837
Tokens
Tampa -1 -05 Large

Almost 70% bets on Oakland, but line up slightly.
I try Tampa at 1pm. No luck with them really this year.
I think they can run on Oakland, and make the public a loser.

:think2:
 

Banned
Joined
Jan 16, 2005
Messages
8,837
Tokens
Easy Win there!
Jax showing makes you think the Raiders didn't beat much last week... They suck

(73-22-3 LARGE, 18-11-1 medium, 1-2-1 small)

:103631605
 

Banned
Joined
Jan 16, 2005
Messages
8,837
Tokens
Yeah i see 5.5, don't think it will matter. No Shady. Still do like the Pats to handle bizniss.
Hard to think until the pain goes away...
GL Sono!
:toast:
 

New member
Joined
Oct 28, 2010
Messages
554
Tokens
Nice card so far BB! Im with you on NE and Saints, against you on KC, Ill take luck at home getting points, hoping for a comeback win. Ill be adding Dallas later after the dust settles. I think they will dominate with that run game and option play. I see 31-20 win Dal. def playing the over .
GL and lets get these winners!!
PREDMAN
 

Banned
Joined
Jan 16, 2005
Messages
8,837
Tokens
Just to get it readable:
Skins +3 -10 Large ---->This one bugs me a little by being in London.
Patriot$ -6 -10 5xLarge
Detroit +3 -20 Large
KC -2.5 -15 Large
Saints +3 -15 Large
Tampa -1 -05 Large
 

Banned
Joined
Jan 16, 2005
Messages
8,837
Tokens
Thanks Predman!
I can't seem to get a feeling for that Dallas game. They will run that ball.
I think You have something with the Cowboyz! I can't bet Wentz on the road.
Cows it is, let's get that line down :)

KC only because Indy has the worst roster in the league type of talk...
Certainly not at QB. I just think KC should get their run attack going to setup easy 3rd downs.

Lean to ATL, but it's hard to lay more than 1 point with them, its drama til the end with that defense.

Lean also to ARZ, because their defense is playing better, but Palmer on the road, fuk, hesitant there.
The difference is the pass rush for CAR doesn't seem to be there, so Palmer could hit longer passes.
The 1pm start is not ideal for ARZ.
Can ARZ hit on the revenge of that crazy playoff blowout?? I mean that was for a trip to the Bowl!!!!

TGIF
:toast:
 

New member
Joined
Oct 28, 2010
Messages
554
Tokens
Yes, That AZ is scary, I've been following Seattle trend for a while, and when a team losses to Sea , they also loss the next game! check their record, its been that way for a few years now. a good example is SD vs Atl. That won me a big parlay !! so not sure on a tie. lol leaning panthers small, lots of other good bets this week.
GL to all.
CRUSH THE BOOKS

PM
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,858
Messages
13,574,229
Members
100,878
Latest member
fo88giftt
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com