$10 Wash + 2.5 - 169
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The Giants' offensive line is decimated by injury. Left tackle Andrew Thomas (hamstring) has missed five straight games and counting, and his replacement, Joshua Ezeudu, was carted off during the loss to the Bills. Five other O-linemen showed up on Wednesday's injury report. Now that O-line must face Chase Young, Daron Payne, Jonathan Allen and Montez Sweat. It's unclear if Daniel Jones or Tyrod Taylor will start at quarterback, but either way I like the Commanders and their balanced offense a whole lot more.
$15 Tb ML - 140
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Even dating to his University of Cincinnati days, Falcons QB Desmond Ridder is a shell of himself on the road -- and just threw three picks Sunday at home in a loss. Ridder still hasn't won away in the NFL (0-4) with an overall away rating of just 70.0. Atlanta has totaled 13 points in its two games away from home this year (one in London).