week 7 #'s system

[THEGAME9000]

home favorites........................16-19 ats overall
1pt.........wwllwww..................5-2 ats
2pts........llw..........................1-2 ats
3pts........lw...........................1-1 ats
4pts........llw...........................1-2 ats
5pts........lww.........................2-1 ats
6pts........lwl...........................1-2 ats
7pts........l..............................0-1 ats
8pts........ll.............................0-2 ats
9pts........l..............................0-1 ats
10pts.......w............................1-0 ats
11pts.......lwl...........................1-2 ats
12pts.......l..............................0-1 ats
13pts.......wl............................1-1 ats
14-17pts.................................0-0 ats
18pts.......l..............................0-1 ats
19pts.......w............................1-0 ats
20pts.......w.............................1-0 ats
21-26pts.................................0-0 ats

road favorites...........................17-27-2 ats overall
1pt...........pwlll.........................1-3-1 ats
2pts..........wllwwl......................3-3 ats
3pts..........wlll..........................1-3 ats
4pts..........lwll..........................1-3 ats
5pts..........ll.............................0-2 ats
6pts..........lll............................0-3 ats
7pts..........llpw.........................1-2-1 ats
8pts..........wwllw.......................3-2 ats
9pts..........l..............................0-1 ats
10pts.........llll............................0-4 ats
11pts.........w............................1-0 ats
12pts.........wl............................1-1 ats
13pts........................................0-0 ats
14pts.........www........................3-0 ats
15pts.........w..............................1-0 ats
16-25pts...................................0-0 ats
26pts.........w.............................1-0 ats

home team picks.........................4-2 ats

it appears small home favs(1-5) are starting to come on
home favs of (6-9) staying idle at 1-6 ats
small road favs(1-6) continue to fall 6-17-1 ats
big road favs(11+up) keep rollin 7-1 ats

week 7
ARI 110
ATL 123
BAL 116
BUF 119
CAR 120
CHI 115
CIN 123
CLE 114
DAL 117
DEN 124
DET 118
GBY 120
HOU 110
IND 129
JAX 121
KC 121
MIA 118
MIN 109
NE 122
NOR 111
NYG 119
NYJ 118
OAK 114
PHI 119
PIT 127
STL 109
SD 128
SF 103
SEA 120
TBY 121
TEN 116
WAS 118

GAME.

be back on this thread with insights and choices tommorrow.

 

[THEGAME9000]

for reasons of time tonight, just a few breakdowns and some information on selections.

ind at hou(+15) 44.5...
hou 5-2 ats as a div home dog since 02
hou covered 3 of last 4 in series
home team covered 4 of last 5 in series.
system play...teams who scored 13 or less and gave up 42 or more the last week have went 12-2 ats the last 9 years(2-0 this year)
in mondays pregame interview coach dungy acknowledged the fact that they "had to put some points on the board tonight, because we can't count on our usual clock control and defense to win this one".
should houston cover and the public find themselves on the wrong side of this game it won't be because the texans scored 44 points....UNDER 44.5


pitt at cinn(-1) 43....
pit covered 5 of last 6 in cinn
pit 7-2 ats as a div road dog since 00
the road team covered 5 of last 6 in series.
pit 5-0 ats since 99 before playing mnf
pitt is in a must win and also a very convenient situation to make up ground. a loss to the bengals puts them 3 or more games back, while a win puts them in the thick of thier division run.
cinn likes to give up 5 or more yards a carry and have achieved thier record by beating cle,minn,chi,hou and tenn..........PITTSBURGH+1


sd at phi(-3.5) 47....
sd 9-0-2 ats last 11 road games
phi 5-0 ats after a bye week since 01
phi 10-1 under off a bye since since 92.
sd's road cover streak will not go on forever and philly has always been a streak ender. given d. mc nabbs injury status you can count on thier rested defense to do what they always do following a bye, and mcnabb to do just enough to secure the win......PHILADELPHIA-3.5 and UNDER 47


LATE GAMES.....


last week the giants played at dallas, love this game because when it happens you know what happens to the 2 teams the following week.

dal at sea(-4) 45.5....
dal 1-6 ats after hosting nyg since 96
dallas off a huge ot win vs the giants, and rolling of the hated eagles both at home takes thier show on the road to seattle, probably without j. jones.
i believe all but one of seahawk games have went over this year, let them force dallas to throw to try and play catch up in a huge flat spot.....SEATTLE-4 and OVER 45.5


den at nyg(-2.5) 46.5....
ny 0-8 ats after playing at dallas since 95.
even though every team who played the pats this year collapsed the following week, strength of playing schedule aids big in this choice.
just like the bengals, the giants got thier wins over ariz,no and stl. when they played quality teams sd and dallas they got beat.
denver on the other hand lost to miami then built thier record by beating sd,kc,jax,wash and neng...........DENVER+2.5 and UNDER 46.5



GAME.

 

[THECLOSER]

picks look solid

 

[cruisin]

Just to clarify, do I add/subtract the numbers for the teams, and then see where they fit as a fav/dog, home/away numbers? I.E.,

Arizona=110
Tenn =116 =Tenn+6,

Arizona HF of 5-1/2,


So, does this make Tenn a +11-1/2 Rd Dog?


Any help appreciated.

 

[THEGAME9000]

tennessee at arizona...

tenn 116
ariz 110

tenn road fav by 6...check chart......0-3 ats on the year

go against tenn regardless of spread.

in this case you would play arizona - 4.5

GAME.

 

[Jumpman23]

GL Game...Like Philly and Pitt also. :toast:

 

[cruisin]

Thanks, Game, got it now.

 

[BigTwelveFan]

bump

 

[BREADMAN]

thanks for the insights

and all your hard work


goodluck today GAME!!!