Week 6 ....

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CFB Record 30-29

After getting my clock cleaned in my single plays .... taking some time away from posting

I will still provide info

Went through when FCS schools play each other .....

When the Total dropped in the game between 5 to 6 pts only .... Over went 8-2 in those game ............

When Total dropped 8 to 13.5 pts ..... Under went 4-0
 

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Ehhh, take it in stride Boom. Not every week going to hit. Was damn lucky with my few wins yesterday.

Always a why didn't I see that coming moment. BIG10 was 14-21 on Over/Unders before this week.
All 7 games went Over and now it's 21-21.:an_light:
Fav's in the BIG went 5-1-1 too. ILLINOIS was the only fav to lose and that really was a pic'em. Iowa was the push after closing -10 but that one was higher all week, so really a loss IMO. Overall though, favs and Overs.
 

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Lost some tough games yesterday. Not a single break went my way. It happens. Hang in there and GL!
 

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Iowa QB Cade McNamara: Reportedly likely to miss the rest of the season

Lean Pur / Iowa Under 20.5 1st h
 

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Private Message me if interested in the

Trends a bit outside the box

CFB Week 6 …....Various Trends
These Trends hit likely at a 50% rate so beware.... but you never know ... week to week
 

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Since 2019 Utsa 7-0 Ats
This year after a bye … 10/7 at Temple
I will be on Utsa ML Only in a Parlay ….
I don't trust this team this year
 

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Rutgers Since 2021
ON Road and last game they had 1 or less Turnovers
0-8 Over / Under …. 2023 …. 0-1 Over / Under
Not sure if we should count Rutgers last gane vs FCS
If we do they qualify for an Under Play here
I may live wager the game … the Under ????
 

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Private Message me if interested in the

Trends a bit outside the box

CFB Week 6 …....Various Trends
These Trends hit likely at a 50% rate so beware.... but you never know ... week to week
No interest in 50/50 Trends ... I get it

but this is just one of those trends

ND … 10-0 ATS last 10 vs ACC Opp

Regardless how you guys use trends ... it's added info ...

7 Likes here ..... I will release them ....

I shared with my twitter guys already ... they seem to like them ... who knows ???
 

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K. Boom....you always have solid info....
thank you for the time and thought's buddy....indy
 

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College football trends, in conference games only:

AAC home favorites 2-5 ATS

ACC home underdogs 6-3 ATS

Big X favorites 9-3 ATS, 7-2 at home

Big 14 home underdogs 2-5 ATS Conference

USA favorites 4-2 ATS









 

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CFB Record 30-29

After getting my clock cleaned in my single plays .... taking some time away from posting

Ok that's enuff time .... LOL

$10 Mid Tenn St ML - 165

$10 Ok St + 14 - 143

$10 Osu Over 38.5 TT ... last 9 Times Osu was held to 28 or Less Points .... if facing another FBS School

they scored 41 or more points their next game .......... if Osu scores 10 on Sat .... we move on ...LOL

$10 Wash St + 4 - 121

$10 Iowa ML - 130 .... with Iowa losing their starter everyone will think Boilers after they trounced a bad Illini club ....

as Lee Corso says ......... Not so fast !!!


May add / BOL
 

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K-Boom,
I like your Mid Tenn St play.

Many (most?) bettors will likely look at this game and say, "4-1 vs 1-4, SU and ATS, and I'm getting 3 points with the 4-1 team??!! I'll take it!"
But books don't stay in business by paying most bettors.

I'm not saying it's a trap line (there's no such thing), I'm saying bettors should dig deeper than just a quick look at a team's record.
For example - SOS. When looking at records it's beneficial to factor in Strength of Schedule (but with a nod to the fact that though a team with a winning record may have played a weaker schedule they can, after all, only play the teams on their schedule.)
SOS is relative but with the caveat that had they played better teams they may have beaten them, too.
Or not.

But looking at this game I see SOS indicators that are revealing for BOTH teams.
While Jax St is 4-1, here's who they've faced:

S Houston 0-4
E Mich 2-3
Coastal 2-3
E Tenn St FCS
UTEP 1-5

Not a single team with a winning record. A combined 5-15 on FBS opponents. Not exactly striking fear in my heart.

Now let's look at their opponent's opponents: (opponent's opponents? Solid alliteration right there.)

W Kent 3-2
Col St 1-2
Murray St FCS
Mizoo 5-0
Alabama 4-1

Three of the four teams they've faced have a winning record, a combined 13-5 (excluding FCS, including powerhouses Alabama and Missouri.)

We have a 4-1 team beating weak losers, and a 1-4 team losing to strong winners. Something to think about when handicapping this one.

I'm interested in seeing how Jax St - and the other FCS teams that have taken a step up in competition by joining the FBS this year - perform as the season progresses. Will they wilt to teams with stronger programs and better athletes/recruits? Will team depth/bench strength become a factor bettors can use as we enter the latter part of the schedule?

Bottom line, Mid Ten St needs a win tonight if they are going to have a realistic shot at getting a bowl game.
At home, in a nationally televised game, in what I see as a matchup that is closer than their records indicate, I like them for the win here.

In fact, though I meant to just drop in with a quick, short, "I like your Mid Tenn St bet - good luck to you tonight" I ended up publishing a full game analysis/soliliquoy that's more in depth than the writeup I actually made on my own post about taking the over tonight - and have talked myself into a little action on MTS, too.

Shorter version - Good luck with your play tonight.
 

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Keep on posting your trends, buddy. You and Roll Tide have provided some great information.
 

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