WeEK 6 upsets and picks!!!!!!!!! including thurs game

[thesportsforecaster]

YTD 8-6 ATS +38 UNITS
YTD GOTW 2-0

Thursday night game

Denver Broncos (-3) at San Diego Chargers

One thing I have noticed on Thursday night games is that its best to take the better team!!!!!!
Week 1 Broncos 21 Panthers 20
Week 2 Jets 37 Bills 31 (only week were better team lost so far)
Week 3 Pats 27 Texans 0
Week 4 Bengals 22 Dolphins 7
Week 5 Cards 33 49ers 21

Chargers are 3-13 ATS last 15 games at home !!!
Chargers have collapsed late in every game this year and this is by far the best team they will be facing so far in the Broncos !!!



Take Broncos - 3 10 units

Broncos 23 Chargers 17


cheers



tsf

more to follow this game is not part of my top 5 plays including my GOTW !!!

 

[thesportsforecaster]

1st pick and its my GOTW !!!!!!

Cleveland Browns (+7) at Tennessee Titans
Tennessee has yet to defeat a winning team, and they don’t have much of an edge at home, where they’ve covered the spread in just three of their last 24 games and are 5-21 SU last 3 years at home!!!. The browns could easily have been 3-2 with there 2 losses coming to the Eagles 4-1 and Patriots 4-1.... they lost to the Ravens week 2 leading 20-2 before QB McCown got hurt, missed 3 field goals vs the Dophins and still lost in OT, and then the terrible call in Washington that turned over possession with the Browns driving late, bad bad luck !!! yes they are the browns but i think they cover this number, a TD is too high for the Titans too cover at home !!! Breaking news Cody Kesler will play and McCown has been throwing the ball this week, he could also be available this Sunday !! Plus last week you had the Browns vs Bellichek and Brady this week your up vs Mularkey and Mariota !!! Big Difference !!!!!

Take Browns +7 GOTW 25 UNITS !!!!!!

Browns23 Titans20


cheers :toast:


tsf


more too come ...........

 

[thesportsforecaster]

2nd pick

Cincinnati Bengals (+9) at New England Patriots


[FONT=Source Sans Pro, sans-serif]The Bengals have not looked good at all this season, Dalton gets real good drives going only to be stopped in the red zone or turnovers have forced too many field goals. I would really love to see TE Eifert back, this Bengals offense really misses him badly check his status !! however i feel 9 points a little much for a real good team like the bengals vs a superior opponent at home in the patriots, have a feeling the Bengals will show up and play hard they know what the point spread is, and will keep this game close to avoid any embarrassing blowout!!

[/FONT][FONT=Source Sans Pro, sans-serif]Take Bengals +9..... 10 units[/FONT][FONT=Source Sans Pro, sans-serif]

[/FONT][FONT=Source Sans Pro, sans-serif]Patriots [/FONT][FONT=Source Sans Pro, sans-serif]27 Bengals 23


cheers[/FONT]
:toast:


tsf

 

[thesportsforecaster]

3rd pick

[FONT=Open Sans, Arial, sans-serif][/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, Arial, sans-serif]Baltimore Ravens[/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, Arial, sans-serif] (+3) at [/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, Arial, sans-serif]New York Giants [/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, Arial, sans-serif][/FONT]



[FONT=Open Sans, Arial, sans-serif] [/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, Arial, sans-serif]The Giants can’t generate any pass rush, and with Mark Trestman the OC getting fired I am looking for a more aggressive game plan in the passing attack !!! The Giants have now lost three in a row and their offense is dysfunctional at best !!! New York doesn’t have much of a rushing game Rashad Jennings still a question mark to play sunday with a bad thumb, and Baltimore’s defense has been good at stopping the run anyways, plus both Giants cornerbacks Dominique Cromartie and E.Apple are banged up. A game like this between two similar teams usually comes down to turnovers and the Giants have a minus-7 turnover differential second-worst in the NFL!!!!!
[/FONT][FONT=Open Sans, Arial, sans-serif][/FONT]


Take Ravens +3 .....10 UNITS

Ravens 23 Giants 20


Cheers :toast:


tsf

 

[3pointdog]

Good luck. Like em all

 

[thesportsforecaster]

4th pick

PANTHERS -3 AT SAINTS



Panthers expect Cam Newton back from a concussion to face one of NFL's worst defences, but Drew Brees counters with 27 TD passes in past seven home games. Carolina just played Monday night and the Saints are coming off the bye so they will be well rested and more time to prepare for this important divisional game, and I believe the Saints are the better football team getting points at home , the Panthers can't score even with Cam Newton back, there terrible season continues will a loss in New Orleans!!!!!



TAKE SAINTS +3 10 UNITS

SAINTS 34 PANTHERS 21



:toast:CHEERS



TSF

 

[thesportsforecaster]

5TH PICK which i have changed from the cowboys to the chiefs

CHIEFS PK AT RAIDERS

Here’s one of the NFL's better rivalries , this game Oakland opened favoured by 1 and now is KC pk to -1. Alex Smith has 133 rating in three games in Oakland, Jamaal Charles is 100 % and ready for an increased role, and HC Andy Reid is 15-2 SU in his coaching career following bye weeks!!!!!! This is a huge divisional game and the better defensive team will win !!!!



TAKE CHIEFS PK 15 UNITS

CHIEFS 24 RAIDERS 21


CHEERS :toast:



TSF

 

[TomandJerry]

good luck this week TSF

 

[thesportsforecaster]

good luck this week TSF

thanks tom best of luck to you as well this weekend !!!!!!!!



tsf

 

[thesportsforecaster]

Adding a few more with one of them another top play !!!

STEELERS -7.5 AT DOLPHINS

Pittsburgh Steelers come in on a big roll for their first visit to miami in six years, the steelers have there three headed monster in Big Ben, L Bell and A Brown. Dolphins defense had a hard time slowing the Titans and now they're supposed to stop the Steelers? Miami's secondary literally has nobody capable of covering Brown, and Bell could run up huge stats vs the NFL's worst run defense!!!!. BUT !!!..... this is a desperate Dolphin team, and if the team that showed up in week one that should of beat the Seahawks in Seattle of all places... they have a shot to cover this spread and maybe a possible upset, that's a big maybe however !!! Miami have historically played the steelers tough the last time they met in pittsburgh tannehill threw 3 Td to beat the steelers 34-28. The Steelers are among the most popular teams in the NFL and vegas knows this i.e. an inflated line on the road and maybe just maybe the steelers could be looking past this game... they have the Patriots on deck at home next week!!!! Desperation and pride can do strange things. Let's see if Miami has any!!!!


TAKE DOLPHINS +7.5 10 UNITS ( THE POUNCY BOWL)

STEELERS 27 DOLPHINS 23



CHEERS :toast:


TSF

 

[thesportsforecaster]

49ERS AT BILLS -8.5


Niners have lost four in a row while the Bills have won three in a row since firing there offensive coordinator!!!! The Bills have averaged 175 rushing yards and 5.9 per carry since the change!!!! how will the 49ers run defense which gives up the second most ground yards in league keep up ???.... Let’s also not forget how RB LeSean McCoy would like to stick it to Chip Kelly after their explosive relationship in Philadelphia. Colin Kaepernick starts and I've been reading that some NFL scouts think this is a perfect situation for him in Chip kellys system ??? what system ?? it doesn't work and hasn't in the NFL so far ?? who's smoking what ??? that statement is laughable !!! The bills have quietly moved up the power rankings 6th on my list and play a dreadful mess of a team in the 49ers, I originally had the 49ers early in the week possibly covering but after further thought i think the Bill lay the boots to them at home !!!!!


TAKE BILLS -8.5 10 UNITS

BILLS 34 49ERS 13


CHEERS



TSF

 

[thesportsforecaster]

Here are some incredible stats too consider !!!!!!!!!

there are 9 teams so far with one loss or perfect so far

all 1 loss teams
Patriots
Raiders
Cowboys
Packers
Steelers
Broncos
Eagles
Falcons
Seahawks

Vikings as the only undefeated team !!!! on the bye !!!

Teams at .750 win % are 89-113-9 ATS since 1989 in week 6 !!!!!!

Furthermore !!!!!

These elite teams as Fav's are 61-82 ATS 42% and .....
when these elite teams face under .750 win % they are ...... 39%
which falls to these 5 teams !!!!

Broncos (who already lost vs the spread and whom I bet and lost stupidly !!!!)
Steelers
Patriots
Raiders
Eagles

So far my plays this sunday which falls into this trend are

Dolphins + 7.5
Bengals +9
Chiefs pk

and my next play
Skins +3 in next post !!!!


cheers


tsf

 

[TomandJerry]

nice information TSF

 

[thesportsforecaster]

nice information TSF

Once again thx tom !!!!!

cheers


tsf

 

[thesportsforecaster]

Last pick and its a large play

Eagles -3 at Redskins


The Redskins have won three straight since losing its first 2, the redskins are good in their division, the Eagles were a three-point favourite in both games last year with the Redskins taking both straight up. The skins have 7 takeaways in there last 3 games and Kirk Cousins has been playing much better he has a pass rating of 100.6 over that 3 game stretch !!! Kirk Cousins has covered seven of nine as underdog against NFC East foes. The Redskins have allowed just 3 TD passes against in the past month !!!



TAKE REDSKINS +3 15 UNITS

REDSKINS 24 EAGLES 21


RECAP FINAL CARD !!!

GOW 2-0 YTD
1.BROWNS +7 25 UNITS

LARGE PLAY
2.CHIEFS PK 15 UNITS
3.REDSKINS +3 15 UNITS

THE REST IN OREDER OF PREFERENCE
4.BENGALS +9 10 UNITS
5.DOLPHINS +7.5 10 UNITS
6.BILLS -8.5 10 UNITS
7 SAINTS +3 10 UNITS

THIS PLAY I ORIGINALLY POSTED AS 10 UNIT PLAY AND ALREADY PLAYED IT BUT NOT CONFIDENT BECAUSE OF TOO MANY INJURIES

8. RAVENS +3 (DUMERVILL, STANLEY, SMITH SR, AND MOSLEY ALL OUT PLUS WALLACE HURTING WILL WEAR A FLAC JACKET GOT CREAMED ON LAST PLAY OF GAME LAST SUNDAY VS REDSKINS)
I NEVER CHANGE MY BETS ILL STAND BY MY PLAY BUT I AM A BIT WORRIED WITH THAT MANY KEY GUYS OUT AND HURTING !!!


CHEERS AND WILL BE CRACKING MY FIRST BEER VERY SHORTLY !!!:toast:cheersgif


TSF

 

[thesportsforecaster]

update

ytd 13-9 ats +75 units !!!!!!
Gow 3-0 ats!!!!!!


today went 5-3 ats with my gow cashing and large play so far + !!!

broncos -3 loss 10 units
browns +7 win 25 units
bengals +9 loss 10 units
ravens +3 loss 10 units
saints +3 win 10 units
dolphins +7.5 10 units
bills -8.5 win 10 units
redskins win 15 units



pending chiefs pk 15 units

and have tonight game and monday commin up !!!!!!!


Cheers


tsf

 

[TomandJerry]

well, I think you profit around 40+ to 50 units [just a quick look through] very nice job.

 

[thesportsforecaster]

YTD 14-9 ATS +90 UNITS !!!!!
GOTW 3-0 ATS

LATE GAME
CHIEFS PK WIN 15 UNITS


TODAY 6-3 ATS


TONITES GAME

Colts at Texans -3
Texans are 3-0 at home and the Colts can't stop anyone they give up 70 plays of 10+ yards so far this year !!!! the bears and colts lit them up and the texans are a much better football team, the texans are 9-2 at home if they hold a team under 27 points I think they will, Texans pass rush with Clowney will have a field day, look for 5 or more sacks on poor andrew Luck !!!



TAKE TEXANS -3 5UNITS

TEXANS 28 COLTS 21

CHEERS


TSF

 

[thesportsforecaster]

well, i think you profit around 40+ to 50 units [just a quick look through] very nice job.

thanks tom up 52 units on the week since thursday


cheers

tsf

 

[thesportsforecaster]

Never thought Osweiler had it in him to tie game with 1min35 with no time outs, just shows you how pourous the colts secondary is when you throw away from Vonte Davis!!!


YTD 14-9-1 ATS +90 UNITS !!
GOTW 3-0 ATS

YESTERDAY 6-3-1 ATS +52 UNITS


MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

JETS AT CARDINALS -7

The Jets travel to Arizona first time since 2004, this will be the jets fourth road game in five weeks and WR Eric Decker is out for the year, without Decker the Cardinals will focus on WR Brandon Marshall and I don't think QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is that comfortable throwing to anyone else with all his INTs this year !!!! Fitzpatrick has thrown just two TD's and six INT's in three losses on the road.
Cards will have QB Carson Palmer back after missing last week in concussion protocol, the old pivot has looked confused at the beginning of the year, playing like father time has finally crept up on him, but this is the perfect matchup for him facing the Jets 31st ranked pass defence that could be without the services of Derell Revis too boot.


TAKING CARDINALS -7 10 UNITS

CARDINALS 28 JETS 14


CHEERS



TSF