BYU -20.5 (-105) One unit. A crazy line considering just how good the Utah State defense has been over the past few years, and an in-state rivalry game. Even the loss of Keeton can't make this line seem reasonable. Not so. Utah State is a shell of its former self. They have lost many players to the NFL draft or free agency, their emotional defensive leader and best defender to injury, another starting LB, their 2 top WRS and RBs from last year, 4/5's of their OL, and now Keeton. BYU players have already stated that this is a big game and that they can't allow USU defenders from talking their usual s***t. Utah State just has nothing special anymore, and have recruited poorly even by MWC standards. Garretson, their QB is a short passer who is not mobile and has a 11-8 TD-int. ratio going back to last year- and that is mostly against the terrible Ds of the Mountain West C.
Taysom Hill is just getting better, especially in decision making in their veer option attack. Like in USU's game with Tenn. they'll get worn down, and be vulnerable to the pass because of the many running options and physicality included in the BYU run game. The USU secondary is small and the Front 7 is not what it used to be. At some point in this game, BYU will dominate. Meanwhile, I don't think USU has any chance to return to their glory years of past years-at least for a while. This spread reflects just what a mismatch this is.