week 6 nfl picks

cashducats · Oct 9, 2014

1st play of the weekend is:

Texans +2.5 , here are my reasons:

1. divisional home game on a short week. indi is not going to sweep the division. but they will beat titans twice and jax twice, so that leaves houston. they probably split with houston and if they split why wouldnt it be home and home??

2. both starting guards for indi are out.

3. the line is 2.5 with heavy public sentiment with the colts. if this line went to 3.5 for example, then i would lay off, but something is keeping this line at 2.5 (the smart money).

4. i think bill o'brien is a smart coach. he seems to have found a way to keep fitzpatrick from throwing 3 ints a game. if he stays mistake free, then texans win. luck is extremely talented and top 5 qb IMO, but he will give the defense ints. texans win t.o. battle at home and win the game OUTRIGHT !!

(i hate when people say "win the game outright" when referring to small underdogs like they are making some kind of crazy statement.... spread is 2.5. so basically i'm making fun of douches who say this.)

cashducats · Oct 9, 2014

5. forgot to add that 80% in my football pool are on colts. they all won last week, so this week they probably get blasted back to reality

cashducats · Oct 12, 2014

lions +2.5

1. lions have best defense in the league, going up against a very slight, delicate, and green teddy bridgewater. teddy had a good game in his debut, but lets face it, the falcons d is the worst in the league. now he's banged up a bit and playing a defense that will shut down the run game and force teddy to make plays.

2. i know cal johnson and bush are out, but this is a game the lions should win if they plan on being a good team. if stafford makes mistakes and errors in this game then he just doesnt have it and the lions should trade him and move on. you should be able to beat an overmatched divisional opponent when you have the number 1 defense in the league.

3. last yr lions lost by 1 to minn in minn. this was part of their season ending losing streak. this yr i expect them to finish better without that joke of a coach they had last yr.

4. probably the biggest reason i'm pcking the the lions is they now have a reliable kicker. they just signed prater. they could be undefeated with a decent kicker this year

cashducats · Oct 12, 2014

giants +1

got on this late unfortunately for me.

1. eagles scoring in unconventional ways which is winning them games but not sustainable way to keep winning IMO
2. these teams usually split the season series and they usually win in each other's stadium and lose at home.
3. giants o should keep rolling with another week of practice under odell's belt.
4. the only thing that gave me pause in this game is that the giants have been horrible on primetime as of the past couple yrs.
5. eagles d is getting a little better and have had a bunch of sacks the past two weeks but giants get the ball out fast so i doubt they get any this week.
6. lesean mccoy has been a thorn in the giants side but this yr he is not playing great, is it because of the o-line injuries to the eagles or lesean not playing great?? i don't know, either way it makes the eagles 1 dimensional.

cashducats · Oct 12, 2014

atl -3.5

1. atl at home is a different team
2. their o-line is banged up but they didnt play horribly against the giants in nj so i assume they will play fine at home against a weak bears d
3. i'll take ryan over cutler, especially in the dome
4. both defenses are jokes but crowd noise may help falcons
5. falcons win so i assume they cover