after a mediocre week 5, i'm looking to get back to where i need to be for week 6.
WEEK 6
MIA at HOU(3) 44.5...
hou 9-3 ats in 2nd of b2b home games s 02
system...road dogs of 3pts or more off b2b su dog wins are 4-11 under s 01
...HOUSTON and UNDER...
BAL at IND(4.5) 39...
bal 0-5 ats off a su home dog loss s 05
bal 0-10 under in 1st non-div road game s 98
ind 6-0 ats off b2b ats losses s 06
ind 7-2 ats after playing houston s 03
...INDIANAPOLIS and UNDER...
CIN at NYJ(6) 44.5...
ny 7-1 ats off a bye s 01
ny 1-11 under off a bye s 97
system...home teams off a bye with a su and ats win before the bye are 27-10-1 ats s 80 (if the opponent is off a su loss it's 17-2-1 ats s 80)
...NEW YORK and UNDER...
CHI(3) at ATL 43.5...
chi 1-5-1 ats before hosting minn s 00
atl 7-1 ats before a bye s 01
...ATLANTA...
DET at MINN(13.5) 45.5...
min 1-8 under as a fav of 7+pts s 03
min 2-11 under off a su win as a dog s 02
min 3-10 under at home off b2b road games s 99
series...an "8-year coincidence" stat.
point totals have alternated home sights the last 8 years with the lower scoring games happening in minn every even year...00,02,04,06, and in det in all odd years...01,03,05,07.
the last 5 years have seen the higher scoring games averaging 47.2pts per game with the lower scoring games averaging 38.8pts.
...UNDER...
STL at WASH(13.5) 44...
system...winless teams of 0-4 su or worse coming off a bye have gone 19-4 ats s 90
GB at SEA(2) 46.5...
gb 8-1 over off 3+ su losses s 99
sea 8-2 ats after allowing more than 35pts s 99
system...home teams on the road in thier last game who scored 13pts or less and allowed 42pts or more are 14-5-1 ats s 98
system...home teams with a bye 2 weeks back,lost by 14pts or more last week and are at home vs non-div opponents have went 22-6 ats s 80
...SEATTLE and OVER...
DAL(5) at ARI 50...
dal 2-7 ats off a su win and ats loss s 03
dal 11-3 over in 1st of b2b road games s 01
ari 7-2 ats in 2nd of b2b home games s 02
ari 9-1 ats at home off playing a non-con opponent s 02
10-3 ats at home before playing b2b road games s 01
system...non-div road favs off a su home win but ats loss vs a home team off a su win are 5-20 ats (if the road team is favored by 7pts or less it's 3-16 ats)
...ARIZONA and OVER...
NYG(9) at CLE 43...
system...home teams off a bye with a su and ats win before the bye are 27-10-1 ats s 80
system...home dogs off a su win as a road dog vs an opponent off a su home win are 30-11 ats s 97
system...home dogs off a su road win vs a non-div opponent off a su home win are 32-8 ats s 91
EXTRA POINTS
oak 0-5 under on the road off a bye s 01
tb 8-1 ats off a su loss of 3pts or less s 04
phi 1-6-1 ats before a bye s 00
ne 11-2 ats in 2nd of b2b road games s 00
GAME.
WEEK 6
MIA at HOU(3) 44.5...
hou 9-3 ats in 2nd of b2b home games s 02
system...road dogs of 3pts or more off b2b su dog wins are 4-11 under s 01
...HOUSTON and UNDER...
BAL at IND(4.5) 39...
bal 0-5 ats off a su home dog loss s 05
bal 0-10 under in 1st non-div road game s 98
ind 6-0 ats off b2b ats losses s 06
ind 7-2 ats after playing houston s 03
...INDIANAPOLIS and UNDER...
CIN at NYJ(6) 44.5...
ny 7-1 ats off a bye s 01
ny 1-11 under off a bye s 97
system...home teams off a bye with a su and ats win before the bye are 27-10-1 ats s 80 (if the opponent is off a su loss it's 17-2-1 ats s 80)
...NEW YORK and UNDER...
CHI(3) at ATL 43.5...
chi 1-5-1 ats before hosting minn s 00
atl 7-1 ats before a bye s 01
...ATLANTA...
DET at MINN(13.5) 45.5...
min 1-8 under as a fav of 7+pts s 03
min 2-11 under off a su win as a dog s 02
min 3-10 under at home off b2b road games s 99
series...an "8-year coincidence" stat.
point totals have alternated home sights the last 8 years with the lower scoring games happening in minn every even year...00,02,04,06, and in det in all odd years...01,03,05,07.
the last 5 years have seen the higher scoring games averaging 47.2pts per game with the lower scoring games averaging 38.8pts.
...UNDER...
STL at WASH(13.5) 44...
system...winless teams of 0-4 su or worse coming off a bye have gone 19-4 ats s 90
GB at SEA(2) 46.5...
gb 8-1 over off 3+ su losses s 99
sea 8-2 ats after allowing more than 35pts s 99
system...home teams on the road in thier last game who scored 13pts or less and allowed 42pts or more are 14-5-1 ats s 98
system...home teams with a bye 2 weeks back,lost by 14pts or more last week and are at home vs non-div opponents have went 22-6 ats s 80
...SEATTLE and OVER...
DAL(5) at ARI 50...
dal 2-7 ats off a su win and ats loss s 03
dal 11-3 over in 1st of b2b road games s 01
ari 7-2 ats in 2nd of b2b home games s 02
ari 9-1 ats at home off playing a non-con opponent s 02
10-3 ats at home before playing b2b road games s 01
system...non-div road favs off a su home win but ats loss vs a home team off a su win are 5-20 ats (if the road team is favored by 7pts or less it's 3-16 ats)
...ARIZONA and OVER...
NYG(9) at CLE 43...
system...home teams off a bye with a su and ats win before the bye are 27-10-1 ats s 80
system...home dogs off a su win as a road dog vs an opponent off a su home win are 30-11 ats s 97
system...home dogs off a su road win vs a non-div opponent off a su home win are 32-8 ats s 91
EXTRA POINTS
oak 0-5 under on the road off a bye s 01
tb 8-1 ats off a su loss of 3pts or less s 04
phi 1-6-1 ats before a bye s 00
ne 11-2 ats in 2nd of b2b road games s 00
GAME.