Week 6 (22-6 Overall, 7-2 big plays)

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I will post my plays in this thread as soon as possible.

Check back if interested.

My formula is kicking some bookie ass !
 
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GJ RR


I was wondering if you could check your formula against past years lines and see how reliable it is. Probably would require a lot calculating from what you said. I have a database to check against if interested.
 

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Thank you Toto and BigPete.

Toto, I will post one 3 unit play immediately, and the rest of the card will be ready later this week. Good luck !

BigPete, I'm working on that as we speak. Last five years I used a similar version of the formula, actually 3 of them, but this year I decided to join them up and study the results. So far so good. I will go back and check this year's formula against last year lines and I will try to post the results this week. I also use 7 systems that I developped over the years, with high winning %. Those systems produce maybe 5-6 plays a week. The formula and the systems worked even better in college hoops in past years but I'm only focusing on college football right now.

Good luck.
 
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3 unit play

Tulsa +11.5 (3 units)

Full card will be posted later this week.

Good luck all !
 

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I got Tulsa 24 - Hawaii 24 without a strength of schedule adjustment which Tulsa has the edge. Tulsa also has a good pass defense and Hawaii has a bad run defense so Tulsa definitely matches up well.
 

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Combined QB Rating for all QB's vs Tulsa : 94.94
Combined QB Rating for these same QB's against other teams : 134.94
40 pts differential, go figure !

I like Tulsa as well, good luck to us.

P.S. Excellent job so far. I will definatelly take a look at your plays before I make my own final decision.
 

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In addition...

Hawaii allowed 276 RY per game (5.36 YPC) vs Rice and F.Atlantic.
Rice and F.Atl. avg. only 148.5 RY per game (3.21 YPC) against other opp.

Sorry for posting this in your thread...LOL

Just wanted to share...
 
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BigPete, PRatings thanks for the info. Feel free to post your opinions here guys !
 

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hi rrp, what do you think about la tech chances against fresno this week ? thanks
 

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i'm asking because i know they are a very bad road team in october. 8-19 su and 4-21 ats in last 20+ yrs, 0-9 ats last 9, 2-17 ats last 19. 1-11 ats as fav, 0-14 ats in first road game in october. la tech is a very good home team in october, 18-5 su last 23, 8-4 ats last 12. 3-0 ats as dog. hard to ignore these trends.
 

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Win Big, I'm seriously considering LAT as a play this week but I haven't made my final decision yet. I do not follow trends, but as you said, those are hard to ignore. Good luck whatever you decide.

I will let you guys know if I have any mid-week pick, by the end of the day.

As of now, I only know that there will be no play on that Miami Ohio @ Marshall game.
 

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New Mexico +10.5 one unit
Tulsa +11.5 three units

That's all for now. The formula is kicking ass, but it takes about 3 days to cap all 50 or so games. The rest of the card will not be avaiable until Friday, since I also have some important familly duties to take care of this week. Good luck everyone !
 
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So far I got...

Tulsa +11.5 three units
Oregon -2.5 (- the hook) three units
North Texas -2.5 three units
New Mexico +10.5 one unit

more later...
 

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1 unit teaser : Marshall pk and New Mexico +17

The rest of the plays will be posted later tonight.
 
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North Texas??? Your killing me lol. Sorry, I can't put any money on N. Texas until they actually show up for a game. How about Kansas +13. Nebraska has not shown anything this year kind of like N. Texas and coach Mangino has been guarenteed $5,000 cash if KU beats NU. Surely they will cover the spread.
 
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north texas is baaaaad. but i will be on all of your plays this week.
marshall is in, we need new mexico for two wins tomorrow. thanks RP and good luck to us !
 

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