Another trend that is semi-meaningless. I doubt any of the teams involved in these 3 games even care about an opponent slightly higher or lower ranked than them. It won't effect their play. Home teams do well generally in college football. Give this trend a few more years and it'll be close to .500. And is that 17-7 ATS?
1* CMU/ Toledo- Over 55.5 Two pretty dynamic QBs, both team can run and pass well, and two MAC defenses. Now Toledo's D is better, but I still think CMU will be able to move the ball and score in the 30s. CMU has a defense that is somewhat rebuilding. Toledo tends to up its scoring once it begins MAC conference games. Hope Toledo doesn't just run 2/3 of the time and win a slog of a game.
1* BC +14 (-115) Waited and lost the better spread. One of those games where a home team is playing for their season. BC has had to rebuild their OL and that takes time. Maybe five games in, they are better unit. I also think BC's defense will play better than previous outings. UL has had its share of letdown games, undisciplined games where they are sloppy and penalized. Got a feeling BC puts all their attention on Malik Cunningham, and takes some chances offensively(and defensively). Football players are a gritty bunch, and I'm thinking BC is tired of losing and will be very physical here.
1* Wyoming +3 (+120) Wyoming is like a different animal at home. Truly, though, they are showing some life when it seemed they might be really bad in their 1st game at Illinois. San Jose travels to beautiful Laramie, with the cool weather, wind and elevation(70% chance of rain). Just seems like a drastic change of environment for a sunny California team. Besides, San Jose might have their own issues scoring. Not sure about former Hawaii QB Cordeiro. Was terribly inconsistent last season, and a number of games where he just sucked. This could be one of those own Laramie.
1* BC +14 (-115) Waited and lost the better spread. One of those games where a home team is playing for their season. BC has had to rebuild their OL and that takes time. Maybe five games in, they are better unit. I also think BC's defense will play better than previous outings. UL has had its share of letdown games, undisciplined games where they are sloppy and penalized. Got a feeling BC puts all their attention on Malik Cunningham, and takes some chances offensively(and defensively). Football players are a gritty bunch, and I'm thinking BC is tired of losing and will be very physical here.
1* Wyoming +3 (+120) Wyoming is like a different animal at home. Truly, though, they are showing some life when it seemed they might be really bad in their 1st game at Illinois. San Jose travels to beautiful Laramie, with the cool weather, wind and elevation(70% chance of rain). Just seems like a drastic change of environment for a sunny California team. Besides, San Jose might have their own issues scoring. Not sure about former Hawaii QB Cordeiro. Was terribly inconsistent last season, and a number of games where he just sucked. This could be one of those own Laramie.
Many of us waiting to see how this Tulane game shakes out.
1* Michigan State +7.5 Michigan State should be playing better than they are. Getting thrashed by Minnesota was embarrassing, and it's probably good that the Spartans are on the road. They can only think about themselves as a team, without the pressure from fans, boosters and family. I also think Maryland may be overdue for one of their "off" games. I'm not as impressed with their loss at Michigan last week. They don't stop the run well, and the Terms offense often can gain yards, no problem, but converting in the red zone(and turnovers) have plagued them n the past. MSU's defense shows up and makes this a tight game that can go either way.
1* Purdue +11 Purdue has injuries, including to their starting QB. But their backup is pretty good as backups go. Minnesota is also a decent team, not a great team, that is going to have some bumps along the way. They played a creampuff schedule until MSU, and I doubt they win consecutive blowouts. Minnesota has an average defense, lost their best WR to injury, and other playmakers to graduation. It's in the 4th, 5th and 6th weeks that undefeated teams start to regress a bit and lose a game or two. Purdue will be competitive as usual.
1* Miss. State -4 It makes sense to take the Aggies, getting 4 with the defense they have. But this line, and some are at 4.5, says that some sharp money think that A&M can be beaten by more than a FG. A&M, even with better teams in the past, have laid a number of eggs in these types of road games. In fact, even in some of their home games (App. State). We need to stop thinking of A&M , and Jimbo, as some type of recruiting juggernaut that gets so many 4 and 5 star HS players, that they are better on the field than they are. It hasn't translated to more wins on the field, unlike Alabama, Georgia and OSU. The Aggies are down their top WR threat, have semi-duds at QB, and that can mean trouble in Starkville where the fans will be wild for their homeboys to beat the highly acclaimed Aggies. Miss. State defense also is underrated. They will be a factor here.
1* Michigan State +7.5 Michigan State should be playing better than they are. Getting thrashed by Minnesota was embarrassing, and it's probably good that the Spartans are on the road. They can only think about themselves as a team, without the pressure from fans, boosters and family. I also think Maryland may be overdue for one of their "off" games. I'm not as impressed with their loss at Michigan last week. They don't stop the run well, and the Terms offense often can gain yards, no problem, but converting in the red zone(and turnovers) have plagued them n the past. MSU's defense shows up and makes this a tight game that can go either way.
1* Purdue +11 Purdue has injuries, including to their starting QB. But their backup is pretty good as backups go. Minnesota is also a decent team, not a great team, that is going to have some bumps along the way. They played a creampuff schedule until MSU, and I doubt they win consecutive blowouts. Minnesota has an average defense, lost their best WR to injury, and other playmakers to graduation. It's in the 4th, 5th and 6th weeks that undefeated teams start to regress a bit and lose a game or two. Purdue will be competitive as usual.
1* Miss. State -4 It makes sense to take the Aggies, getting 4 with the defense they have. But this line, and some are at 4.5, says that some sharp money think that A&M can be beaten by more than a FG. A&M, even with better teams in the past, have laid a number of eggs in these types of road games. In fact, even in some of their home games (App. State). We need to stop thinking of A&M , and Jimbo, as some type of recruiting juggernaut that gets so many 4 and 5 star HS players, that they are better on the field than they are. It hasn't translated to more wins on the field, unlike Alabama, Georgia and OSU. The Aggies are down their top WR threat, have semi-duds at QB, and that can mean trouble in Starkville where the fans will be wild for their homeboys to beat the highly acclaimed Aggies. Miss. State defense also is underrated. They will be a factor here.
Nice final drive by Tulane in regulation, by their 3rd string QB!
Lean:
Fresno/ UConn- under 51.5 Should be raining pretty much throughout the whole game, with a little wind. UConn has a hard enough time scoring in good field conditions. No Haener for Fresno. Might be a self preservation type win for Fresno, and they might not cover the 23.
Lean:
Fresno/ UConn- under 51.5 Should be raining pretty much throughout the whole game, with a little wind. UConn has a hard enough time scoring in good field conditions. No Haener for Fresno. Might be a self preservation type win for Fresno, and they might not cover the 23.
1.3* NIU -4.5 Northern Illinois might just be the top of the MAC this year. In their Kentucky game, they looked fast and athletic. Also, good size. Got a sense that Ball State is overmatched here. Also, not much of a home advantage in these poorly attended MAC games. Good chance we'll see a contingent from NIU.
Maybe a lean or two left. Looking at an FCS game.
Maybe a lean or two left. Looking at an FCS game.
Missouri got #1 WR, overall #8 recruit, speedster Burden, threw to him 6 combined times last 2 games, he took all references to Missouri off his social media, will almost certainly transfer, team is a mess they lost to Auburn in inexplicable fashion last week. Georgia is focusing on the running game which they think needs work so they will be fired up to get that done so I expect a major GA blowout 49-55 to 6-13.
