Brief writeups on plays $50 or more
ASU +7.5: Line would have been +5.5/6 IMHO maximum if it wasn't for the UNLV game. There was no way I could pass up this much value for a home team with a top tier QB going against a fallable (think I've used this word only once before) GA team. I've stated many times before that I first look at line play when making a sizeable wager (anything above $50 for me is a nice size wager considering this is merely a hobby for me) and quite frankly GA line has been very suspect thus far. They're defense line has suffered key injuries/losses that has made their unit that much more inefficient. After viewing their first two games its apparent they get no push in the majority of the plays and lack the key play maker that dominant teams are known for. Offensive line as expected has been anything but dominant. They have time and time again let rushers get to Stafford. I think this very reason plus Rudy's play will be the key to ASU's success come Saturday night. Erickson will have his guys really prepared after the disappointing loss. Quick summary now....
Reasoning:
A) Line Play
B) Carpenter
C) Intangibles (something to prove, home, weather, etc.)
Auburn +3: While LSU boasts arguably the best defensive line in the country. A defensive line in which has NFL talent up and down, even having silly ESPN commentators comparing them/stating that they're even better than Dallas defensive line (yes the Cowboys). Having said all this you must be wondering why on earth am I taking Auburn. Well maybe A) They're defense is actually on par if not better than LSU B) At home which the winner has won the last 10145 times C) Has a QB that doesn't make stupid mistakes D) Boasts a secondary which will make LSU pay for any brain farts via LSU QB
Arkansas +10.5: Simply knew this line was inflated when it came out. I keep my eye on high profile teams lines once they open and jump on the opposite side quickly if I see anything funky. Arkansas while not as talented as Alabama has the QB, home field advantage, and coaching to compete in this game. Lastly I knew that a middle would be available and guess what? There was
Air Force +8.5: While Utah boasts all the media attention in this one with their high powered offense nobody seems to be taking about these Falcons. They have a very formidable running game that will give the Utes fits once they have the rock. I see them doing they're typical 3,4,5 yard 1st down runs followed by another 3,4,5 yard run and then 1st down once again. If AF can control game tempo early I think they have a shot to keep this one real close. They have to be efficient and one thing AF happens to be is efficient.
Tenn +7.5: Another one of those perception games. Tenn goes to UCLA losses and then UCLA follows that by getting blown out. So now we all wonder whats going to happen when Superman aka Tim Tebow comes to Rocky Top. Well I'll tell you whats going to happen. Tenn will be able to run while UF won't. Tenn will then have shorter 3rd downs to work on and this will lead to longer drives. Drives which will tire UF's defensive line and UT will take full advantage of that come the 2nd half. I can't get into more for I need some rest. You get the gist of it though.
Temple +29.5: OK Penn State is the Little 10 flavor of the month, OK I get it. I understand suckeyes well suck and Purdue shits the bed when taking large leads due to their lack of a killer instinct via Tiller. I know Wisky barely beat a Fresno team that missed more field goals than Vinateri has missed in his lifetime. I know that Iowa is really not such a big deal. So Penn St. right now is what the media is shoving down are throats besides USC via Mark May. OK Joe Pa has a great team and hes one happy camper. So what am I doing taking Temple. A) Defense B)Defense C)Defense
N.C. ST +7.5 -120: I'm beat and I can't continue. I'm officially tapping out. I'm no GoSooners, BoxSlaya, Pags, etc. in which writing comes to them naturally. I'm a mere restaurant owner trying to make a buck. I do this to appease my Saturday's with some good old fashion fun. I'm no 1st rate capper, all knowing guru, and self proclaimed lock artist. I just know that come tomorrow I'll be wearing my "U" jersey when I wake up followed by a good dose of cologne. Then I will drive my little happy a$$ down to my joint and open up shop. I'll get everyone up to speed what are goals happen to be and voila football, football, and more football...mixed in with beer, beer, and more beer. So for all those that had the courage to read all this I thank you for I am just a taxpayer living in Miami.
:drink:
