| NFL Trends / Week # 3 |
| In Week 2 a Marc Lawrence Tanked Badly …. Not his fault …but it happens |
| Your Call |
| Over Spot since 2007 |
| Over /Under Rec 38-18-1 or 68% Over Total |
| Teams that start season 2-0 Record |
| Favored at Home |
| Over /Under Rec 24-8 or 75% Over Total |
| also when Facing the 1-1 Team |
| the Total closes between 39 to 55 |
| last 8 years … Over/Under is a Cool 12-1 or 92% Over Total |
| WOW |
| If tailing this trend Over /Under 12-1 last 8 years |
| Sf 2-0 vs Nyg 1-1 / Total 45 ….….. If Tailing the Trend Over the Total |
| Balt 2-0 vs Indy 1-1 / Total 44 ….. If Tailing the Trend Over the Total |
| These teams are Under this trend |
| Over /Under Rec 38-18-1 or 68% Over Total |
| Team that start season 2-0 Record |
| Favored at Home |
| Miami |
| …................................................................................. |
| NFL Trends / Week # 3 |
| Under Spot 4-16-1 Under Total |
| when |
| Teams that start season 2-0 Record |
| they are Road Fav -3 or More in Non-Div Game |
| and Total Closes 38 or Higher |
| The Wow |
| Last 16 Years with this Trend |
| 0-11 or 100% Under Total |
| Dallas -12 / Total 43.5 ….. If Tailing the Trend Under 43.5 |
| Phi - 5.5 / Total 46 ….. If Tailing the Trend Under 46 |
Buff ...7-0 ATS vs .500 > non-div opp off SU Dog Win
also ...more digging here on my own
Josh Allen ..vs NFC as a Road Fav - 8 or Less
4-0 SU/ATS ... Over / Under 1-3
I will be Using Buffalo ML in a few parlays .. and use Buff - 6 buying 0.5 pt in a few other parlays
Added Play
Buying 1.5 Pts
$10 Buff - 5 - 140
also ...more digging here on my own
Josh Allen ..vs NFC as a Road Fav - 8 or Less
4-0 SU/ATS ... Over / Under 1-3
I will be Using Buffalo ML in a few parlays .. and use Buff - 6 buying 0.5 pt in a few other parlays
Added Play
Buying 1.5 Pts
$10 Buff - 5 - 140
| Detroit |
| Under Coach Campbell |
| 5-0 SU/ATS at Home Only |
| After Allowing 35 or More Pts in Previous Game |
| 4/5 of those games they score 30 or more points |
| They were dogs in 4/5 of those games |
| Week 3 Line so far |
| Opened Det - 6 / Now - 3.5 |
| Total Opened at 44.5 / now 45.5 to 46 in some spots |
| Lean Detroit ML only here …but the loss of DB Gardner is huge |
| Lean Over 46 Atl / Det |
There is a NFL system if I remember correctly that home teams who lose by 3 points or less to a division opponent as a favorite don't cover if they play a non-conference opponent next game
Same sysytem where Redskins beat Broncos
Burrow not looking right
But at the same time Bengals gotta be desperate.
doubt they will kick off as the favorite since they did not run a single offensive play inside the Browns' 30 yard line last night. Will tell ya that Tomlin's record playing games outside of the Eastern time zone is pathetic as a favorite (3-19 ATS L22) but ok as a dog or pk'em (9-9 ATS L18)
if they do go off as fav then under trend is in action
| AF and division != o:division and team = Steelers and season > 2012 and total < 55 | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| p:division = po:division and p:LH and p:margin > -4 and not C and season > 2000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Leading TD scorers RB'S
