<TABLE class=tborder cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt1>All Plays One Unit
Week 2 Total: 4-4 50.00% -0.11U
Preseason Straight Plays: 16-9-0 64.00% +6.47U
Regular Season Straight Plays: 8-4 66.67% +3.85U
Total Straight Plays: 24-13 64.86% +10.32U
Money Line Underdogs: 0-1 0.00% -1.00U
Total = +9.32U
Sunday 9/26
Minnesota -10 -107
Bears defense hurting with Urlacher possibly out & 3 from the secondary (Tillman, Azumah, & Brown) all out. The Bears have only one sack in 2 games so don't expect Philly-like pressure on Culpepper who should pick apart the Bears. On the other side of the ball, the Bears have struggled to score at Minny with just 1 TD in each of the last 3 meetings. Minny tough versus the run at home - only A. Green & Portis have ran for 100+ at the Metrodome since the start of 2003 season. They have only allowed 1 rushing TD versus the Bears L3 also. Vikings have an improved secondary this season as well so I just can't see how the Bears keep up in this spot.
Philadelphia/Detroit OVER 43.5 -112
Detroit also banged up on defense with Bly either out or hurting, nickelback Goodman questionable, Boss Bailey out, & Kalimba Edwards questionable. Not a good recipe versus a Philly offense that is in mid-season form. Detroit's offensive line will need to step it up for sure but if they can give Harrington time, he can exploit the size advantage his receivers have on the Eagles' corners.
Denver -9.5 -111
San Diego has scored a total of 33 points L3 in Denver. Tomlinson has averaged less than 51 yards/game in these games and was kept out of the endzone. Denver's defense is very good and the addition of Bailey is looking like a great fit. Plummer threw 6 TD passes versus SD last year and the Chargers defense has been awful so far this season. Another case where I just can't see SD keeping up.
Green Bay/Indianapolis OVER 48.5 -107
The Colts let Chris Brown run all over them last week & Corey Dillon would have topped 100 also if the Patriots ran more. GB with their O-line & A. Green should be able to control the line & move the ball with ease. The Colts secondary is banged up - Jefferson & safeties Doss & Sanders are out. Indy scored an average of 38 pts versus NFC teams in 2003. Green Bay is hobbled on the defensive line with Jackson & Lee out & Peterson questionable. Even if Rhodes must sub for James the Packers will still be hard-pressed to stop the Colts.
Seattle -10 -107
Seattle held the Saints to 7 points at New Orleans & McCallister rushed for just 57 yards on 16 attempts. No TEAM has rushed over 100 vs. Seattle L5. Hawks have 7 sacks and SF has given up 5. Hawks have allowed just 1 rushing TD L11. Seattle has allowed just 13 points total in 2 road games and now are at home versus Ken Dorsey. Other than Chad Brown, Seattle is healthy...SF - Rattay out, C Newberry out, OT Harris doubtful, WR Wilson & Lloyd questionable. DE Williams out, DE Carter doubtful, CB Rumph questionable. I know I am very CHALKY this week, but this shapes up as another mismatch.
Other leans but no play yet - TB, Dallas.
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Week 2 Total: 4-4 50.00% -0.11U
Preseason Straight Plays: 16-9-0 64.00% +6.47U
Regular Season Straight Plays: 8-4 66.67% +3.85U
Total Straight Plays: 24-13 64.86% +10.32U
Money Line Underdogs: 0-1 0.00% -1.00U
Total = +9.32U
Sunday 9/26
Minnesota -10 -107
Bears defense hurting with Urlacher possibly out & 3 from the secondary (Tillman, Azumah, & Brown) all out. The Bears have only one sack in 2 games so don't expect Philly-like pressure on Culpepper who should pick apart the Bears. On the other side of the ball, the Bears have struggled to score at Minny with just 1 TD in each of the last 3 meetings. Minny tough versus the run at home - only A. Green & Portis have ran for 100+ at the Metrodome since the start of 2003 season. They have only allowed 1 rushing TD versus the Bears L3 also. Vikings have an improved secondary this season as well so I just can't see how the Bears keep up in this spot.
Philadelphia/Detroit OVER 43.5 -112
Detroit also banged up on defense with Bly either out or hurting, nickelback Goodman questionable, Boss Bailey out, & Kalimba Edwards questionable. Not a good recipe versus a Philly offense that is in mid-season form. Detroit's offensive line will need to step it up for sure but if they can give Harrington time, he can exploit the size advantage his receivers have on the Eagles' corners.
Denver -9.5 -111
San Diego has scored a total of 33 points L3 in Denver. Tomlinson has averaged less than 51 yards/game in these games and was kept out of the endzone. Denver's defense is very good and the addition of Bailey is looking like a great fit. Plummer threw 6 TD passes versus SD last year and the Chargers defense has been awful so far this season. Another case where I just can't see SD keeping up.
Green Bay/Indianapolis OVER 48.5 -107
The Colts let Chris Brown run all over them last week & Corey Dillon would have topped 100 also if the Patriots ran more. GB with their O-line & A. Green should be able to control the line & move the ball with ease. The Colts secondary is banged up - Jefferson & safeties Doss & Sanders are out. Indy scored an average of 38 pts versus NFC teams in 2003. Green Bay is hobbled on the defensive line with Jackson & Lee out & Peterson questionable. Even if Rhodes must sub for James the Packers will still be hard-pressed to stop the Colts.
Seattle -10 -107
Seattle held the Saints to 7 points at New Orleans & McCallister rushed for just 57 yards on 16 attempts. No TEAM has rushed over 100 vs. Seattle L5. Hawks have 7 sacks and SF has given up 5. Hawks have allowed just 1 rushing TD L11. Seattle has allowed just 13 points total in 2 road games and now are at home versus Ken Dorsey. Other than Chad Brown, Seattle is healthy...SF - Rattay out, C Newberry out, OT Harris doubtful, WR Wilson & Lloyd questionable. DE Williams out, DE Carter doubtful, CB Rumph questionable. I know I am very CHALKY this week, but this shapes up as another mismatch.
Other leans but no play yet - TB, Dallas.
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