So quick recap of week 2 - 3-2 in the SC now sitting at 7-3 good for 118th place. I really liked 3 games last week and that is all I won I had 5 leans played 2 of them and lost em both. My non played leans went 1-2. So need to get better at that.
For the week I went 4-3 +236 and am now 10-6 +$1156 for the season, one painful play was all week long I liked Pitt at -3.5 and then for some reason I switched to CINNCY +3.5 -130 and lost the bet that was $390 swing in my week. Lesson learned (again) don't change your mind SUNDAY AM.
So on to week 3 - This weeks theme, desperate teams 0-2 vs fat and Happy teams 2-0, teams with their home opener, division dogs again & Favs, after going 19-13 the first two weeks I think the Dogs slip a bit this week and maybe just maybe we will see some public on dogs....Looking for Favs getting 50-60% of the public support by Friday. 10 out of the 16 games are showing Favs opening lines above their power rankings & that the Fav is 10-7 the last two years.
Two plays in already;
I still had NE favored on this game despite being on Brisset. Houston QB play not great defense good but they fit the 2-0 fat and happy team playing their first road game. Then there is the angle of the Student coming home to the master with Bill vs Bill. NE is 23-8 as Home dog - NOT A SC Play
NE +1 -110 To win $200....
Seattle is Avg'g 7.5 points per game & 3 explosive plays per game that is a run over 12 yards and a pass over 20 yards the league avg is 5/game (stats from cleanup hitter). Wilson has a high ankle sprain which keeps him in the pocket and effects his accuracy. Thomas Rawls is dinged up and Christine Michael still has fumblist & Jimmy Graham is no where to be seen.. The defense is still great maybe top 5 in the league but 9.5 points is too much for a divisional game. In fact over the past 5 years home teams that are -9.5 is 10-14 ats and the fav has lost 5 games SU. San FRAN +9.5 -110 to win $200 and $50 ML +350
gl football fanz be back later in the week
For the week I went 4-3 +236 and am now 10-6 +$1156 for the season, one painful play was all week long I liked Pitt at -3.5 and then for some reason I switched to CINNCY +3.5 -130 and lost the bet that was $390 swing in my week. Lesson learned (again) don't change your mind SUNDAY AM.
So on to week 3 - This weeks theme, desperate teams 0-2 vs fat and Happy teams 2-0, teams with their home opener, division dogs again & Favs, after going 19-13 the first two weeks I think the Dogs slip a bit this week and maybe just maybe we will see some public on dogs....Looking for Favs getting 50-60% of the public support by Friday. 10 out of the 16 games are showing Favs opening lines above their power rankings & that the Fav is 10-7 the last two years.
Two plays in already;
I still had NE favored on this game despite being on Brisset. Houston QB play not great defense good but they fit the 2-0 fat and happy team playing their first road game. Then there is the angle of the Student coming home to the master with Bill vs Bill. NE is 23-8 as Home dog - NOT A SC Play
NE +1 -110 To win $200....
Seattle is Avg'g 7.5 points per game & 3 explosive plays per game that is a run over 12 yards and a pass over 20 yards the league avg is 5/game (stats from cleanup hitter). Wilson has a high ankle sprain which keeps him in the pocket and effects his accuracy. Thomas Rawls is dinged up and Christine Michael still has fumblist & Jimmy Graham is no where to be seen.. The defense is still great maybe top 5 in the league but 9.5 points is too much for a divisional game. In fact over the past 5 years home teams that are -9.5 is 10-14 ats and the fav has lost 5 games SU. San FRAN +9.5 -110 to win $200 and $50 ML +350
gl football fanz be back later in the week
