Week 3 NFL Fishy Lines

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Dain Bramaged
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What lines seems fishy or look to good to be true???

Broncs +3.5
Cards -4.5
Det +7.5

Mostly Cards, this must win chit (Bills angle) is rubbish. They can cover 4.5 in their sleep vs da Bills.
Which is what they'll be flyin West to East early game, (Den same deal) but I will chance it :103631605
 

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Agree with all 3. I have to put my Cowboys in there at -7.5, I means yes, the bears are horrific but my boys in no way shape or form should be favored by 7.5 vs anyone. No pass rush yet and u can't sleep on royal and Jeffries. Cowboys -4.5 yes agreed. Not 7.5.

Another fishy line. Carolina -7 over the vikes. I'm sorry but losing AP is not enough to move a line 4 points off the 3 point home spread. Imo AP is starting to decline. I can tell with speed off the line. Again just my opinion. Vikings defense too good and Bradford is an improvement so to have the spread at 7 is mind-boggling to me
 

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Pitt only laying 3.5 not fishy to anyone??? Eagles beat probably the two worst teams in football
 

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Pitt only laying 3.5 not fishy to anyone??? Eagles beat probably the two worst teams in football

where would you put the line?

I believe it opened at 5.5 and was bet down to 3.5 after the eagles performance last night
 

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Honestly I pegged it at 6. Plus can't put too much behind their "performance" vs one of the worst teams in the NFL. Bears have lost 11 of 12 at home. Cutler is awful. They lost two safeties, nose tackle, etc during game. Can't put too much stock behind wins vs browns and bears.
 

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Agree with all 3. I have to put my Cowboys in there at -7.5, I means yes, the bears are horrific but my boys in no way shape or form should be favored by 7.5 vs anyone. No pass rush yet and u can't sleep on royal and Jeffries. Cowboys -4.5 yes agreed. Not 7.5.
Jeffery will be a mismatch, but thats about it imo: Their oline has been horrific, Cutler didnt have any time and last time Hoyer was pressured that hard, he got benched in HOU because he was turning the ball over left and right. Langford continues to be subpar, pretty much anywhere else he would be benched with his YPC or be limited to short yardage/goalline work. Backup Carey got injured vs PHI, but Howard might be their best RB anyways. White has been a disappointment, so not sure how bad the DAL defense will look: Hoyer and that offense will be the worst offense they have faced so far and they will have the crowd noise on their side.
But what looks really bad on paper for the Bears is their defensive matchup: NT Goldham is out and they lose their two best LBs Trevathian & Houston. Thats pretty much the whole core of their run defense vs a Cowboys team that, even though they have struggled so far, can pound it with their offensive line and Elliott/Morris. Add in the loss of their best Edge Rusher (McPhee), their supposed top CB Fuller and possibly two more players from their secondary (Safety Amos & Slot CB Callahan, who both suffered concussions), that defense is in shambles. And Dez is 6´2 220lbs, so thats another mismatch if he goes up vs Porter who is 5´11 and 200lbs. So a line of -7 appears rather low to me, esp. since I expect Elliott to focus on ball security, Dak has been very controlled and Hoyer without great protection tends to throw his fair share of interceptions. Last but not least DAL has arguably the best kicker in the NFL, while the Bears kicker has already had his own problems of converting kicks.
 

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Agree with Ari being only -4 or 4.5 against Buf.
 

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Arizona, OAK both seem suspiciously good.

All that said, last year I put 4 units on Carolina --4 at Tenn -- bought out of it when I saw reverse line movement -- and Carolina won by a million.

So some fishy lines cash. I don't think I could bet on Buffalo this week. But Tenn? Yes, I could.
 

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Pitt only laying 3.5 not fishy to anyone??? Eagles beat probably the two worst teams in football

Oh good one. I guessed it would be Pitt -6 but that was before the Eagles looked so good on Monday night.

Actually that total seems low to me. 46? Both of these teams can score.
 

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Loving the 10 pt dogs
...browns and niners...i started betting 2 years ago and have had my share of losses backing 10 pt favorites thinking they must win...it's no fun to watch...for some reason the 10 pt dogs cover with ease or the win outright..last year 10 pt dogs only failed to cover 3-4 times against a ATS team Cinci..... this year 10 pt dogs are 2-0..one upset

Something to look out for 10 might as well be 14 in my eyes
 

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Its sooo tuff taking points with crap teams but...books won't give the 14, they have a chance..any score puts 10 dogs right back in
 

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Philly -3.5 feels like a public overreaction to a 2-0 start vs 2 really bad teams. It is quite probable that Cleveland and Chicago are the two worst teams in the NFL. I have the steelers at -5.5.
 

Dain Bramaged
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Arizona is now only -3.5!!!

Total mindfuck goin on here.

Only way they dont win by 2+ scores is if they stay at the airport:):)
AND....this is sammitched between Jets and Pats for Buf
Call me square all u want but NO WAY can any $ be put on Buf .....Zona or Nuttin!!!:103631605


:toast:
 

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Loving the 10 pt dogs
...browns and niners...i started betting 2 years ago and have had my share of losses backing 10 pt favorites thinking they must win...it's no fun to watch...for some reason the 10 pt dogs cover with ease or the win outright..last year 10 pt dogs only failed to cover 3-4 times against a ATS team Cinci..... this year 10 pt dogs are 2-0..one upset

Something to look out for 10 might as well be 14 in my eyes

Miami covered +10.5 at Seattle but I believe San Fran came up short at Carolina +12 and lost 27-46 ?
 
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Stick with me and I will make you serious money guys. Pitt and Arizona aren't fishy lines cause their on the road so lines are accurate. Raiders is in my system so we go huge on Titans as my system play. I've won week 1 with chargers and week 2 with Texans. My system makes people serious money. Good feedback guys amd
you can ask me more questions just got to my Twitter vegaslinereader
 

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