Week #3 Fishy Opening Lines Discussion

[Bad_Cat]

Just wanted to open a thread and discuss a few games that have fishy opening lines (BetOnline) in my opinion. Feel free to give your comments and opinions. if anyone has any other games that I don't mention that appear to have a fishy line feel free to post.

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta -4.5
Tampa Bay has lost their first two games of the year, both at home, and frankly haven't looked that good. Atlanta did lose this week on the road at Cinci, which is a tough place to play but they also looked great at home in week #1, defeating the Saints. This line seems short to me.

San Francisco -2 Arizona
San Fran looked good in week #1 but vulnerable this week at home versus Chicago. Arizona is 2-0 winning impressively on the road today versus the Giants. I was surprised to see the Niners open as the favorite on the road here.

Denver @ Seattle -3.5
Seattle did lose today in a tough game at San Diego but they are still a great team. Denver is 2-0 to start the season but they still have the old, slow Manning behind center and it was just feb of this year that Seattle dominated them from start to finish in the Super Bowl. Seattle is also coming off of a loss which should make them come out firing in this game. I thought this line would open closer to 7.

Minnesota @ new Orleans -9.5
One would think this line is correct with the game being played in the Superdome but the Saints are 0-2 and haven't looked that good so far this year. Sure the Vikes looked bad this week against the Pats but most teams will if they play like they did today. This line looks inflated to me.

 

[sunshine11]

Saints coming off 2 road losses will be focused here in this spot. Line you would think may come down to 7.5 or 8.

Take New Orleans 38-24

 

[palehose1]

I already jumped on Atlanta -4.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,When did Lovie Smith become Vince Lombardi I agree an update from Shiano but TB has a weak Team esp on Offense. Atlanta by 10-17 IMO

 

[Kojak]

Seattle line for sure. Denver 0-2 ats to boot at home. They will be juiced.
Houston -2.5 at Giants smells. Good spot here for Gmen?
Detroit-1 vs GB, begging for Pack money?
Cleveland Pk vs Baltimore, Ravens have owned them but with thus first road game do they letdown here?

 

[Bad_Cat]

I already jumped on Atlanta -4.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,When did Lovie Smith become Vince Lombardi I agree an update from Shiano but TB has a weak Team esp on Offense. Atlanta by 10-17 IMO

Looks to good to be true at -4.5

 

[Bad_Cat]

Saints coming off 2 road losses will be focused here in this spot. Line you would think may come down to 7.5 or 8.

Take New Orleans 38-24

I would agree but line looks inflated a bit.

 

[Bad_Cat]

Seattle line for sure. Denver 0-2 ats to boot at home. They will be juiced.
Houston -2.5 at Giants smells. Good spot here for Gmen?
Detroit-1 vs GB, begging for Pack money?
Cleveland Pk vs Baltimore, Ravens have owned them but with thus first road game do they letdown here?

Houston looks good and the Gmen look bad. Houston opened as a fav as they should. If the Giants opened as the fav it would look more appealing. Detroit plays well at home and GB hasn't looked to good, even winning yesterday. Clev looks about right to me they played well yesterday and are good at home.

 

[Bad_Cat]

I think the line that looks to good to be true is Atlanta at home versus Tampa Bay. That line should have opened at 6-7.

 

[Greenbacks]

Saints coming off 2 road losses will be focused here in this spot. Line you would think may come down to 7.5 or 8.

Take New Orleans 38-24

And they were supposed to be focused against the Browns...lol

You are a highly opinionated poster sunshine...

Go back to covers...lol

 

[Bad_Cat]

And they were supposed to be focused against the Browns...lol

You are a highly opinionated poster sunshine...

Go back to covers...lol

lol

 

[Celebdawg]

SF shouldn't be favored on the road. But if Palmer is out again this week, what else are odds makers supposed to do?

 

[wizard1183]

And they were supposed to be focused against the Browns...lol

You are a highly opinionated poster sunshine...

Go back to covers...lol

Saints at home are money. Plus Peterson coming back with the media jumping down his throats for "beating" his kids, the Vikes will take the beating here. Is it inflated? Damn right is it is. They're baiting imo.

 

[Bad_Cat]

Saints at home are money. Plus Peterson coming back with the media jumping down his throats for "beating" his kids, the Vikes will take the beating here. Is it inflated? Damn right is it is. They're baiting imo.

So you think its bait to take the Vikings? Could be a good point.

 

[Bad_Cat]

SF shouldn't be favored on the road. But if Palmer is out again this week, what else are odds makers supposed to do?

AZ at home with or without Palmer should be at least a PK, no? One player doesn't make or break a team. They had no problem with the Giants on the road yesterday. maybe because its a must win for the Niners coming off of a loss?

 

[Bad_Cat]

96% of the bets on the Falcons thus far. Tampa Bay may be the play, with a line approaching +7?

 

[Bad_Cat]

New Orleans Ingram OUT this week and for the next month.

 

[akphidelt]

I think the TB line is about right. TB has played two of the toughest defenses in their first two games and they played pretty well and have shown to have a good defense of their own. Falcons are a siv on the defensive side. Think TB could surprise people this week and Jackson/Evans/Jenkins can have a field day against this Falcons secondary.

 

[wizard1183]

So you think its bait to take the Vikings? Could be a good point.

Yes, I think they created that line entirely too high for the public to pound minny. Line should be what? 7? No more. Look at the saint past 2 games. Turnover in each game 2 away losses. Shit teams kicking their ass and yes Atlanta is shit. But my money was on them (Atl) wk 1. I understand saints are phenomenal at home, but after these 2 losses? No way that line should be 10. That's the only reason I can come up with is for the public to hit on minny and saints win by 10+. We'll see what happens during the week.

 

[Bad_Cat]

I think the TB line is about right. TB has played two of the toughest defenses in their first two games and they played pretty well and have shown to have a good defense of their own. Falcons are a siv on the defensive side. Think TB could surprise people this week and Jackson/Evans/Jenkins can have a field day against this Falcons secondary.

I agree that TB could surprise his week. ATL isn't 7 points better than any team in the league, except maybe Jax.

 

[Bad_Cat]

The public is pounding the Colts tonight and the line isn't budging at all.